merman

No offense but I think you've gotten lost in your thoughts and wrote down a response mid-conversation with yourself. Your "complaint" has been responded to already. The author finds it useful in the moment for himself, to better understand the topic. The author finds it useful in the future, to reference. Some other people may find it useful, and if you are not one of those people, no problem. If you haven't tried this method, it's likely you are overly skeptical of it. It seems like you have an extremely high bar for anything that deserves to be written down - only that which is new, original knowledge, not written down anywhere in the total extant written history of humanity. There is an argument to be made against spam but I think you're erring on the other side. I honestly suggest you in particular try this method. It will address your underlying concern of "rehashing" which we are doing, right now.

I took a very charitable take of your comment, that at best can be interpreted as “this policy was completely useless” when the evidence is staring you in the face. TSMC was clearly motivated by CHIPS to build fabs in the US for dozens of billions and pocketed a fraction of that as a handout. The fact that I’m writing this obvious information down is charitable.

So if we criticize China we should do nothing? It’s not clear how you can be sympathetic that something should be done and against the obvious thing that should be done.

Good thing there are $200B worth of proof already. At what point would you be satisfied, if 100% of semi manufacturing took place in the US and 0 chips were manufactured elsewhere the instant the grants were handed out?

If you contort your thinking enough, 1920s Germans suffered miserably and unfairly and we could never comprehend their suffering, us being so fragile. How can we judge them for what they did later?

"The first attempts to replicate LK-99, reported in the past days, have not improved the material’s prospects. " This to me is sort of a summary of Nature's position.

Reframing- there is no reason to change from the default position of skepticism - that the material is uninteresting.

If you ignore the viral hype, and only pay attention to the replication attempts: They have been rushed. They lack rigor. Still, the summation of their findings is reason to think there is something very interesting going on with this material.

I do see some manic hysteria. I understand the urge to push back on that. It's smart to advise people to maintain skepticism. But if you do not think that the replication attempts are an indication that there is something there, I think it's because you have some sort of error in reasoning.

Your statement that placing bets does not affect the outcome is true but I don't think you draw the right conclusion.

If markets don't capture current sentiment accurately then bet against every news item.

Let's say there's a market for a coin flip, and periodically, news comes out that makes the market lopsided (one way or the other). You should trade against it. Every time. If you are correct, this strategy will win on average, until the true breakthrough news item, which you'll be on the wrong side of. Just don't keep doubling down, because the final trade will be the one you lose.

This will demonstrate who has "deduced a more accurate prediction". Everyone else put together, as events unfold, or the opposite of that.

*changed to will win on average.

If there’s no need to ‘single out’ China then there’s no need to ‘single out’ doping in cycling, and no need to ‘single out’ this one particular Stanford President researcher, etc. The objective of your comment, that I am pointing out, is that you are hand-waving corruption in Chinese politics away by saying “but what about…”

You’re making the preposterous assertion that all countries’ politicians are equally corrupt. That needs some extraordinary data to support.

What you are trying to do is called whataboutism https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Whataboutism#:~:text=Whatabo....

This is a good strategy. There's a trend to frame a comment as a question, as a tactic to disarm the people you disagree with. But the deeper the comments nest, the more likely the discussion will become confused

>Though really I think this is an indictment of the current state of Phoenix more than it is a reason to praise Manhattan

They also claim that many other states compare favorably to Phoenix, middle-America states. Suburbia, drive-centric states, like almost all of US.

Sorry your Phoenix experience was so bad for you. It's great out here though. Don't know why the top comment is dumping on Phx as if it doesn't have a great road system.

Our grocery options will improve as soon as the german discount chains set

Frys is not more expensive than TJs [0] When you drive east from AZ, you drive past the cheapest gas in the US[1]

[0]https://www.frysfood.com/savings/weeklyad/ [1]https://gasprices.aaa.com/