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mholmes680

454 karma · joined June 24, 2014

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mholmes680··on As epidemic rages, ER study finds opioids no better than Advil and Tylenol
I've found through my experience that the choice of urgent care vs a non-urgent care doctor is more important than I have always thought: An urgent care center wants to focus on the shortest path to getting you relief (your story aside). They'll err towards slightly over-prescribing. The non-urgent care doc will take a more comprehensive treatment path.

A slight distinction that might not matter sometimes, but i often wonder how many antibiotics/pain killers I've taken prescribed from urgent cares that were possibly overkill.

mholmes680··on To Understand the Benefits of Tax Reform, Start by Understanding Apple's Taxes
I think OP's point is that its not "guaranteed" to do any of the things you listed. If the FED raises rates, the companies may want to hold it, as an example. Or if the best business application is to do a buyback or dividend, you're bypassing the jobs part.

We're also talking two buckets of money. The money coming back in to the US, and the taxes the govt collects. I think this one-time tax money in this case is already spent with these tax cuts?

mholmes680··on To Understand the Benefits of Tax Reform, Start by Understanding Apple's Taxes
I disagree with your propaganda take on this because after i read this i finally understood the tax shelter piece (but maybe i'm naive). I do agree with everything else you said though.

If I couple this with Warren Buffet recently advising that the Dow will go to 1 million in 100 yrs [0], I can read between the lines (as you always need to with Warren) that big money already knows it can keep its big money for a very long time. Getting value consolidated into a) a few really large companies; in b) preferably the US; c) quickly; seems to be the bet.

I also agree that jobs is the target here. Special dividends and buybacks will be the way to extract this money back to the US economy (unless your a foreign rich investor who already sees this and starts pulling money out of oil and into the US - still a win for the US?). And then we get some more case studies in whether trickle-down works or not. If it does, we've created a (more?) solid small business climate, where theoretically more innovation and growth comes in. (?) If it doesn't, well, we'll continue to see the middle class disappear.

At least that's what i think i see, but who knows on timeline and i'm not a finance guy. All I know is that this current tax plan puts about $60/month back in my pocket using my 2016 numbers, so if i invest that $60 into AAPL i'm most likely going to have more than $60*12 at the end of the year.

[0] https://www.google.com/search?q=buffet+dow+10k - and thats 1000000 in points, not dollars... (!)

mholmes680··on Bob Lutz: Kiss the good times goodbye
I thought more the Wall-e dystopia, which fills me with great sadness.

https://vignette.wikia.nocookie.net/disney/images/3/36/John-...

mholmes680··on How slot machines are designed to be addictive
blockchain slots? I like it....
mholmes680··on Poly – Browse, Discover and Download 3D Objects
haha, first thing i looked for too!
mholmes680··on Ask HN: What service do you use for human translations of your website?
"Translation Memory". Thank you I could not for the life of me remember that. 5 years was so long ago !
mholmes680··on Ask HN: What service do you use for human translations of your website?
I've used, with plenty of success (ending around 5 years ago), both welocalize.com and lionbridge. We sent them .JS files, XML files, PDFs, and Word Documents.

Some things to look for: Across multiple transactions with these [edit: localization] companies, they end up building a database of phrases, of which some companies might try to claim ownership over. Watch out for that when negotiating.

You're also most likely going to pay per word, so if you can figure out a good way to not send them sentences you've already had translated you can save some money.

Its also good to spot check some of the translations. These companies will basically post out the requirements and get freelance translators to do the job (in other words, they're managing all the UpWork work for you so you don't have to). We once caught a translator (NOT of the above-mentioned companies) located somewhere in Europe inserting some choice political statements about a specific biotech/GMO company we had as a client.

(editted for clarity - below the first Paragraph is general knowledge of the industry, not specific to the two aforementioned vendors)

mholmes680··on Show HN: Baby Buddy
100% this. I showed my doc some stats once, and she looked a) annoyed; b) surprised; c) disbelieving. All of which i was not expecting.

By the second child i was too tired to keep stats, so we winged it and the docs and I happily acknowledge that ignorance is bliss (sarcasm, i think).

mholmes680··on Atlantic salmon swim far and wide after fish farm collapse
oh man, this just ruined my day. You can normally see the difference immediately by color between farm and wild raised.

At least they have to label it as color added now...

mholmes680··on Amazon Key is a new service that lets couriers unlock your front door
worth every penny, those guys (in my town, volunteers) are heroes.
mholmes680··on Amazon Key is a new service that lets couriers unlock your front door
I'm going to buy one of these for my fire company. It took them (I'm told, I still wasn't there) 5 mins to get through my old 1960s solid wood door.
mholmes680··on Amazon Key is a new service that lets couriers unlock your front door
You should probably talk to your own home insurance company as well. Owning certain breeds raise your premiums already (at least ours does), and enabling strangers into your insured property to now potentially interact with those breeds probably needs coverage.
mholmes680··on Amazon Key is a new service that lets couriers unlock your front door
Maybe I'm seeing it wrong -- but "giving a company full access" isn't exactly right. Its more, you have "the ability to control who has access to your locks and Amazon is probably your biggest user".

Some other anecdotes:

When my townhome was broken into, I learned that windows are way less secure than smart locks. If someone wants in your home, they're going to get in.

When my house caught on fire, I would have loved to have been able to let the first-responder in remotely as we were an hour away, the fire company was 20 mins, and seconds count.

mholmes680··on Amazon Key is a new service that lets couriers unlock your front door
Yes, I assumed Amazon Shed as a personal outside-the-home locker would have been next, but installing a key and camera does seem probably cheaper.
mholmes680··on Welcoming Our New Robotic Overlords
i dunno... i just read about alphago zero. Only needed to teach it the rules of the game, and it thrashed the current level of cumulative human expertise (alpha go) 100-0 matches, which had just thrashed a single human the year before.

This seems like its happening at some hedge funds as well for stock picking.

I guess the closed system of the game rules is more manageable than all of medicine, but... I can't agree with "stuck as the current level of expertise".

mholmes680··on Welcoming Our New Robotic Overlords
I don't know if this adds or subtracts from your dystopian view, but the act of training the machine would introduce the same reasoning/bias flaws one has.

(see the MIT moral machine)

mholmes680··on 75% decline over 27 years in total flying insect biomass in protected areas
I highly recommend planting some milkweed in that area. I've done just about the same as you, although the previous owner had planted the milkweed. The monarch butterflies rely on it, and they're currently in decline.
mholmes680··on Amazon, Apple, Google and Facebook will all go away within 50 years, says author
I agree with you on Netflix. 5th horsemen candidates on my short list: Microsoft and SoftBank. Tesla if they can stop burning money and cut out the hype? Verizon as a long stretch.
mholmes680··on Amazon, Apple, Google and Facebook will all go away within 50 years, says author
i think if they stumbled, google would be the buyer. or maybe microsoft.

amazon already built their version of netflix, the only thing they would need to acquire is the original content, and consumers seem to be so fickle over content anyways a licensing deal with the real buyer would be better business strategy. (probably).

mholmes680··on Amazon, Apple, Google and Facebook will all go away within 50 years, says author
everything has a price, no? especially a public company with shareholder voting rights...
mholmes680··on Select Transform: JSON template over JSON
This is cool, nice job. And thanks for open sourcing the Jasonette code.

I've done something similar to ST out of the same frustrations at work, but my use case was way more specific, and you took it way farther with better execution.

mholmes680··on How to set up continuous deployment using free hosted tools
>>So you equate "world-class" with "enterprise"

Well as part of my current world, sure I do. I have to satisfy the needs of not just dev, but operations, compliance, security, business, the people overseas that i've never met, etc. What I'd really like to see are startups that bootstrap this stuff to think that way prior to growing.

My original point was that this was cool for the dev crowd and perfect for the blog use case, but "world"-class seems hyperbolic. But if you are working for other people: people walking around who have strung together various automation stacks are a dime a dozen -- I've literally seen 4 different takes this month. Execution matters, and execution for your audience matters more.

>> Tools that scale down can also be world-class

We are of the same opinion. I love me some elegant free solutions, and I need to because then I can judge what I'm buying when I need to buy something.

>>Once you get big and purchasing decisions are made far from the front lines I'd argue it gets harder to really have the best tech.

I guess I see where you could be coming from, but it doesn't HAVE TO be that way does it? Isn't the whole point of work to empower yourself to affect the company decision-making. Failing at doing so is sort of, without offending you, you not doing your job. At least that's how I look at it.

[edit: formatting]

mholmes680··on How to set up continuous deployment using free hosted tools
In my world, its not world-class if i don't get some SOX compliance around it. Its a cool example though.
mholmes680··on Colorizing black and white photos with deep learning
that is an amazing idea.
mholmes680··on Chop and change: Hacking is making its way to furniture
yeah, but marking it "rustic" solves all my rough-looking problems :) The warping is definitely happening, but my table is also an outdoor patio table so its fine in this case. Thanks for advice though... will help on later projects.

I would like to get some time back this winter and make some inside pieces.. I agree with the pocket screws, but I think I can get around some of that with a joiner. I feel like a joiner and planer are the next tools I will invest in.

>>people want things cheap and nice looking

I agree 1000% but, after the aforementioned fire, I personally have a new perspective. "Collecting" things is way below being able to say I invested in myself/family and built something.

mholmes680··on Chop and change: Hacking is making its way to furniture
re: laymen-friendly guides: http://www.ana-white.com/plancatalog

I recently had to buy an entire house's worth of furniture due to a fire. We shopped every store we could find, and apart from any store that sources from the Amish, its all crap. The prices are obscene. We also got to see the innards of the old burned furniture... there's so much chip-board and laminating that I think there must be more plastic/glue than wood fiber. Just like electronics are being designed with obsolescence as a requirement, maybe more so is the furniture in your house...

Its so much more rewarding to build a giant custom table and be able to grunt, "hey look what i did". OR even pick up some older pieces at an estate sale and upcycle with a new varnish or paint and some modifications.

mholmes680··on Chop and change: Hacking is making its way to furniture
Have you had tough times sourcing your raw materials for construction? I'm finding it tougher/expensive at least in New Jersey.
mholmes680··on More Americans Are Falling Behind on Student Loans, and Nobody Quite Knows Why
I think the "cancelling" action you're saying would be some way to pay the loan companies off with US govt funding. So, as a US taxpayer who is almost done paying his student loans, I lose out. Twice, i think.
mholmes680··on Basic Income Research Proposal
impressive, but i feel like this is why we invented computer models and have technology (maybe) to start returning immediate results.

We're basically saying here that $60M (plus the other group) is better spent to see what weights to give to models to see how UBI scales-up rather than spending it to run a full gamut of Test Cases through the models and figuring out which outputs to motivate people to do with the money.

I mean, why are we spending money to figure out what people will spend the money on when we can already envision all the possibilities. Or am i wrong, and no one has modeled this yet??

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