mikert89

this reads like angry old man shaking his fist, obviously theres truth in it, but its too one sided to be taken seriously

a major part of outdoors risk is the uncertainty, which by definition, you cant look up ahead of time

this is an absurd thing to say, there are so many situations that are way safer with more information. alot of bad situations happen when people make the wrong decision under uncertainty, or they are in over their head. access to the internet, and increasingly claude, is incredible and changes alot of outdoors risk for the right users

I'm in the desert in utah right now, i drove two hours offroad from a small town, turned on starlink, and got faster internet than my office in NYC. Incredible. I can run the whole starlink off a small battery pack ($100), dont even need the car on.

I can bring it on long hikes, and be sure ill have internet access if i need it. completely changes the risk profile of remote outdoors activity

ai models are clearly a threat to the world order

Correct someone else at work and get ready for endless politics

People inside deep mind are using Claude code

gemini is so far behind. starting to wonder if their strategy is launching the low cost alternative to image/text models. last release was 3.5 flash

the models suck

none of these local models are good for development, complete waste of time. nobody has $100k+ hardware sitting around at home to actually run a good model

stack 4/5 jobs, put the money into TQQQ (levered nasdaq), by far the easiest and most certain

Source: I used fable, can project into the future

Anthropic is probably approaching AGI, and everyone wants to be there for it

models will get smarter, this wont be an issue

demand for software will increase, but it will become a lower skill job

what would you use instead?

self driving works

only on hacker news, do we see the biggest innovation in tech in our lifetimes, and you get this weird cynical negativity

for now the LLMs will build off human understanding, eventually we will be left behind

So disappointed in jetbrains.

This is going to kill Saas

no i mean the opposite, some programming is actually hard

I've come to the conclusion that if AI can do it, its not hard. None of the complicated software i work on can be reliably written by ai yet

alot of financial engineering happens if the company is raising large rounds, if you leave early as a cofounder, they will absolutely mess with your equity. And even if you are there, youre considered an expense, unless the CEO explicitly advocates for you

its so common that I am shocked people willing enter roles like co-founding CTO without serious legal protections in place. go spend time in NYC/SF and talk to actual cofounders

Quick equation:

1. is it an ai lab with a well know founder -> equity might be worth something

2. are you the CEO founder? -> equity might be worth something

3. are you a non CEO co founder? -> equity might be worth something, will probably be stolen from you

4. is the company a year or two from a certain IPO? equity might be worth something

5. all other cases likely zero

alot of software engineering, especially in complex systems, is still just tweaking retries, alarms, edge cases etc. it might take 3 days to even figure out what went wrong

Jetbrains has gone so far downhill

hacker news is so useless, look at all these negative cynical comments

how many recent security breaches have we seen?

this like is saying email marketing is done better if you hand write every email. Thats true, but the hit rate is so low, that you are better off generating 1 million hyper personalized emails and firing them off into the ether