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3,866 karma · joined October 12, 2014

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mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
> Far more likely was she misread J4 as J3

Per Robbi herself, " i ran it twice because i didnt think j high could be good".

https://youtu.be/9NNKjWscKWo?t=717 (says it at 12:00)

mod··on Bash one-liner to produce a list of HEX color codes that read like English words
I like my pseudo-anonymity here.

It's in the US. Here's the census data to discover many occurrences of "1337"

https://www.census.gov/data/tables/time-series/demo/popest/2...

FWIW the town I'm talking about has a different population listed there, a little bit short. The road sign still says 1337, though, as of Thursday.

mod··on Ask HN: Anyone has a spouse/partner who doesn't work a full-time job?
I had that arrangement, in an identical (rural, remote work) circumstance.

She could have worked, but it would have meant a commute. She didn't earn much anyway, we had very disparate incomes. I didn't have any expectations for her in either direction, I just wanted her to do whatever she thought would be best for herself.

FWIW, she chose not to work, watched a lot of netflix, gained weight, rarely went outside, and wound up leaving. She blamed the location.

I think it's hard for many people to find purpose when they are their own boss in each moment. Many need outside direction, and we all need a purpose.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
I agree it's way up for debate, there's no consensus among pros, or anyone besides people with political agendas.

I also doubt this will resolve, it's going to be the next Postle scenario.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
> The presumption that people don't call with JX is a weird one, unless you have never played poker before.

This assertion belies your mistakes. Giving you the benefit of the doubt, I think you're talking about playing J4 preflop. It's pretty bad, but whatever, people do it all the time. And of course they can win with it.

They don't usually rely on calling a $109k bluff on the turn with jack high to win, though.

> unless you have never played poker before.

I was a professional player before they shut down the big 3 online sites.

Also you're calling out a whole lot of top professional players with that statement.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
Her call is good even if she knows his hand. Amazingly good, since almost no players have ever called with jack high, no draw. Ever.

I think if she cheated (I don't have any strong opinions on whether she did), that her signal was binary. It makes the most sense given her actions, and inability to explain them.

Buzzer that buzzes when "you have the best hand right now" makes a lot of sense and is easy for a bad player to understand.

It's a coin flip, but she's 55% favorite unless she knows the discarded/dead cards. If she knows them, she has 47% equity which makes her call very profitable given the pot size of 40k.

This is basic "pot odds" or EV calculation, I encourage you to do it.

If she didn't know his exact hand, her play is unspeakably bad. She has virtually zero equity against Garrett's range here. He's holding one of the two or three hands she can beat given his line. Most of his bluffs are crushing her.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
He bet 10k into 11.7k, she clicked it back to 20k, he shoved covering her 129k total to start the turn.
mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
> Most of the pros think [she didn't cheat]

I don't have that impression. I follow about 100 pros on SM.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
I think one of the best arguments that she didn't cheat is that it requires a lot more.

Option 1: She didn't cheat and made an incredibly bad play because she's very stupid.

Option 2: She did cheat and she made an incredibly bad play because she's basically showing off that she's cheating, which makes her very stupid.

So option 1 requires that she's really stupid, and option 2 requires that she's really stupid AND she cheated, making option 1 more likely.

That being said, it ignores a lot of the poker nuance. That's going to be lost on the discussion here, unfortunately, in spite of your comment.

I've long found you can't have any serious poker discussion here.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
Knowing about a cheater and not telling other poker players about it is a really good way to destroy your reputation in the poker world.

Poker players, in the almost 20 years I've been playing, have a pretty standard policy of outing guys who cheat, steal, angle, and owe. Particularly in the high stakes world.

The cheating accusations did not originate with the players in the game, anyway. Garrett maybe told a story with his eyeballs--he's maybe uniquely qualified to do that. But his first mention of "cheating" was after it had already blown up, trust me.

It was on a livestream, it wasn't a subtle event, and people love controversy.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
If Garrett turned his hand face up, she makes about 20k by calling on the turn.
mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
As an ex-professional player and a software engineer, gotta agree here. There have actually been proofs-of-concept for reading cards off these RFID tables. It's not hard to believe someone improved on that technology and put it all together with a buzzer in her pocket saying "you have the best hand."

Agree that these levels of bold, decisive claims are signals about what makes poker a great game.

Nobody has near enough evidence to be sure. I think the play is incredibly suspect, and I think I've met many players at the tables stupid enough to make it. It's not common, but they exist and keep playing.

What is exceptionally stupid are the guys saying "it would be a mistake to call here if you were cheating" while still believing "she called with J4 because she's really bad." Their logic requires her to make a (massive) mistake with J4, but assumes she wouldn't make a much more nuanced mistake doing an EV calculation.

I personally think if there was cheating involved, it was a binary signal ("you have the best hand") and she's too dumb to understand the implications of calling with J4 in the spot.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
How do you equate "giving the money back" with "doubling down"?
mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
Your conclusion is correct, and your math is wrong.

She loses her share/EV (47% per the graphics) of the pot (41.7k per the graphics) if she folds.

So it's worth more like 20k to call, if she knows his exact hand.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
She's also not losing the hand at the time she called, percentage wise, unless you factor in the cards folded by the other players. We don't know if she had that information.
mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
> I haven't played running it twice but it looked like there was still importance to secrecy before the second river was flipped given the way they were acting.

No, there isn't.

In tournaments, players are forced to put hands face-up when no more betting can take place. This is in part so people can see there's no cheating/collusion going on, and in part because it's better for TV.

In cash games, there's no such requirement. Players often don't show their hand because they don't want to give away information to the other players. There's rules about who has to show first, but if she had lost the pot, she could have folded without showing.

> Assuming the cheater doesn't know the deck (which would be extremely hard to pull off)

The insinuation is exactly that, that she knew the deck. (Rather, that software knew the deck and alerted her to a favorable position)

If you're not up-to-date on how that can happen, I suggest you review the mike postle scandal, and other proofs of concept where people are, in fact, reading the state of the entire deck.

mod··on After chess, cheating rows rock poker and fishing
It makes sense if her signal is binary.

"you have the best hand" buzzing in her pocket

Calling with J4 doesn't make sense in any other scenario, so it's hard for us to say "well it doesn't make sense to call in the flip scenario."

It makes way less sense to call with J4. She did something that doesn't make sense.

She also announced that she did not have a pair of threes, out loud.

Also for anyone else who wants to watch it, it was livestreamed, so it doesn't matter if you watch it live or now.

mod··on Ask HN: What tool do you use for journaling? Privacy vs. availability tradeoff?
I am not very paranoid about what I write, but my setup might work for someone who is.

I rent a VPS from one of the providers. I use this machine for many things, like running WireGuard.

I also use it as my development platform, as I work in a tmux session over SSH.

Anyway, I use a ".txt" style on there. It has backups already.

Phone availability is not a priority for me, though.

mod··on Ask HN: Favorite meal planning and recipe hacks?
It takes me about 20 minutes to prep this, it cooks on its own for about an hour, it's delicious, and it reheats well.

https://www.seriouseats.com/colombian-chicken-stew-with-pota...

I cook a portion that gives me 4-5 meals, in my 6-quart instant pot.

I consider that recipe a start, and I add some ingredients. I like the listed ingredients, plus red pepper flakes, garlic, chicken boullion, a little olive oil, and whatever else sounds good that day--usually spices. You just cube the stuff and dump it in there.

Even just the listed recipe is great, and it's the simplest full meal I make and I've never grown tired of it.

mod··on Bash one-liner to produce a list of HEX color codes that read like English words
Little town I frequently drive through has a population of 1337.

I always have a little giggle.

mod··on Why “go nuts, show nuts” doesn’t work in 2022
I think 100 years ago the metrics for good vs bad would have been different, fwiw.
mod··on Why modern software is slow
I was in middle school. We called it Nutscrape. It was abysmally slow, agreed.

But it wasn't a simple piece of software, either. This sound recorder is.

And I'll let an expert chime in here, but I think we're many orders of magnitude faster now, on the hardware side.

mod··on Ask HN: Do you plan work goals, etc. that take 1 yrs to bear fruit? Why/why not?
Do you mean the "long term"-ness has gotten easier? Or just focusing up in general?

I am 39, and I feel like I have 20% of the (mental) focus I had at 20. What's your secret?

mod··on Can brown noise turn off your brain?
Yeah, I think we cleared that up about four hours before your comment.

Thanks!

mod··on Two hundred years ago, Jean-François Champollion deciphers the Rosetta Stone
Since you mentioned it, I looked it up.

The sheriff dept I donate to gets about 30% of the county budget.

The city police get just over 10% of the city budget.

mod··on Can brown noise turn off your brain?
Thanks, I should have realized searching for "play" in a package manager was going to be a poor user experience.

I think it must be installed by default in my distro.

mod··on Two hundred years ago, Jean-François Champollion deciphers the Rosetta Stone
I donate to the state police retirement fund occasionally, and I donate to the local shop with a sheriff, which I'm actually intending to go to the kids, but of course the sheriff is all about it and the one soliciting donations.

My business actually started the shop-with-a-sheriff in this county, although the new sheriff took it over after a couple of years.

I waste plenty of money, but I don't particularly feel like I'm wasting it here. You should meet the kids, and the deputies.

mod··on Two hundred years ago, Jean-François Champollion deciphers the Rosetta Stone
I support the police via donations. I doubt it's all that unusual.
mod··on Ask HN: Offline resources during internet outages?
A small solar charger designed for camping (charging phones) might make this pretty self-sufficient.
mod··on A Reflection on the Small Web
This should meet your standard, I think:

https://woodgears.ca/

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