1,141 karma · joined August 31, 2017
Peterson does not argue data - he suggests analogies and then holds those analogies as iron-clad transitive relationships to argue his preconceived position.
So we are the drunk looking for his keys in the pool of light under the streetlamp, but not in the dark carpark where we dropped them?
At some point you have to trust others in order to take advantage of network effects, and network effects are exactly what these crooks were seeking to manage. The criminals in this case wanted secure, supported hardware in order to conduct operations and logistics across a range of countries.
Not OP but the college entrance scandal is a great example. With the super wealthy taking up all the philanthropic entrance positions the "just" wealthy set had to resort to cheating and rorts to ease little Johnny Blueblood's way into society.
There is only so much room at the top.
In other Western countries it is not uncommon for 7-10+% of the vote to go toward extreme right-wing parties. This is not the death knell of Democracy. 10% of the vote is a long way from winning government.
The problem for would-be dictators who are trying to usurp the West's governments is that, once things get tough under their leadership, the population turns against them very quickly. Take the Tories in the UK - if an election were to be held today they would likely become only the third largest party in the UK lower house. Similarly the conservative Coalition in Australia; they were trounced in both state and federal elections after their competence and corruption became clear.
The West takes some hits from time to time. It's strength is in its ability to recover.
Two blocs are emerging. One is largely unified around shared cultural interests in resilient democracy and defence of human rights. The other is a hodge-podge of malcontents, allies-of-convenience and one strong but largely regional power (i.e. China).
If we look at this as a political struggle then we have to look at the problem-solution ledger to see who holds the advantage.
The US (and the West) have issues with an imbalance of power and wealth, and growing numbers of disillusioned, young voters - this is the problem statement. What is the solution that the non-aligned movement can offer? Worse inequality? Fewer rights? What?
The non-aligned countries have fractuous political bases and are shoring up their systems by cracking down on dissedents, attacking neighbours and attempting to corrupt other nation's foreign policies. No one is lining up to migrate to these countries, no one is holding them up as a beacon of rightousness (outside of the wingnut extremes, of course).
Contrast this to the Cold War. The Soviets held a significant sway over the "International Left". They had answers to the problems of the West. Not good answers, but good enough to sway a lot of students and intelligentsia.
China has no allies of note. Russia is a basket case. The rest of the non-aligned bloc are essentially local dictators trying to keep the pin in their respective grenades. All of them are experiencing the same struggle of either a rapidly aging population with no migration, or a rapidly growing youth who want a better life. For example, China's median age is rising 6 months for every year that passes, and they are a long way from being a sustainable, powerful economy.
These are interesting times in the political sense but unless the West starts kicking a lot of "own goals" - which is very possible but not exactly probable - then the US (and to a lesser extent the EU) will own this century as well.
The experience of building a toy db created a schema onto which a lot of my on-the-job learning required.
Im already scrounging my pennies for some flavour of Aya.
> Here's hoping if they break their promise on income tax they'll be tossed soon enough.
The economic realities suggest this promise should be dropped. This does not hurt Labor's voters terribly, and does not impact the more left-leaning voters much at all. I expect this will be dropped and this will not hurt Labor at all, but will build them a reputation as economic pragmatists.
Personally I will be impacted by a "Stage 3" cut and yet I hope they are dropped. Even in this political climate, and with a mortgage to pay, I don't really see that this tax cut will help me more than a functioning public health system. Or help the country, as a whole, better than an actual welfare system.
Here's hoping the Coalition will continue their rightward march and another, actually conservative, party will grow from the wreck of the Teals and blue-ribbon seats they Libs lost.
That would be too late, by definition, for China to invade. The US would likely be very wary of letting their missiles fall into enemy hands.
The PRC don't have a huge amount of time to take Taiwan. Their median age at 2020 was 37.5, their projected median age in 2030 is 42.7. For every two years that passes, their current demographic trajectory suggests their median age will grow by 1 year.
Unless they wish to fight an "old man" war, with all the societal tensions that arise from essentially sending the only grandchild of four grandparents to their death+, then the PRC need to hurry up and take Taiwan to allow them the force projection into the deep pacific.
Otherwise the Chinese century will be delayed another 100 years (or probably longer).
+Or the only great-grandchild of eight great-grandparents
Cancel culture is what the powerful call the power the weak have over them.
No one is forcing you to dislike songs by Michael Jackson, or to stop watching movies by Woody Allen or Roman Polanski. But enough people are making this choice to abandon the products of powerful people/organisations, and are making the choice to not utilise services that support these producers, that powerful companies are choosing to disassociate themselves from producers whose stance is morally repugnant.
You may not like the fact that everyone has this power - but that's the price of freedom I suppose.
Is the lack of bias a bias in and of itself? Adversarial systems can smudge data to remove the correlations between the training data and characteristics such as race, religion, etc - does this constitute bias?
Same, and we have just implemented 2 x 7.1kw units along with about 7kwh solar panels. Our heating costs have plummeted and we can survive on days like today (17th Jan) with minimal impact to our comfort.
We are looking at changing water heating next as this is now the biggest part of our utility usage.
If you believe it is a probe you must assume an alien civilisation.
Occam's Razor suggests fewest assumptions win.
No. This is the difference between following a car that slows suddenly and stops versus a stationary object suddenly appears on the road in front of you.
> if the car in front of you suddenly comes to a complete stop,
This is the point - the car in front of them moved and revealed an already stationary car.
The SUV jerked out of the lane without warning or prolonged use of brake lights right behind the stopped Tesla. The following drivers suddenly have far less processing and reaction time and likely would not be aware for at least a second that the car now in front of them was actually stopped and not just slowing down.
This is all part and parcel of society, of corporations, of any multi-site organisation. Each node has its own advantages and disadvantages. High "shrinkage" sites often have high sales and a corporation that sticks to "small town Illinois" is never going to be able to offer the economies of scale of Walgreens.