HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

mtviewdave

2,609 karma · joined May 14, 2010

Dave Schreiber. PayPal, formerly of Loopt and Green Dot. Creator of Nextweek (www.nextweekapp.com).
submissionscomments
mtviewdave··on San Francisco Is Preparing for Life After This Tech Boom
For most of Silicon Valley's history, the technology industry was generally no farther north than Menlo Park on the Peninsula, and southern Fremont in the east, with the occasional exception (Electronic Arts in San Mateo, Oracle in Redwood Shores). There were the beginnings of a tech presence in SOMA in the dot-com era, but it died when the bubble burst. Tech didn't start to come back to the City until 2006-07 or so.
mtviewdave··on San Francisco Is Preparing for Life After This Tech Boom
There was a nationwide recession in the United States in the early '90s. The chart reflects that.

And FYI, technology was not a significant factor in the economy of the City of San Francisco at that time.

mtviewdave··on San Francisco Is Preparing for Life After This Tech Boom
That merely shows the problem with calling every tech boom a "bubble". Technology has been boom-and-bust in the Bay Area for decades, but there was only one bubble: 1996-2000. There have been technology booms since, but there have been no "bubbles" in the Bay Area tech economy since March, 2000.

Recessions, while painful, are much less extreme than bubble-bursts, and can (and should) be planned for.

mtviewdave··on Silicon Valley's housing crisis, in one sentence
I grew up in the San Jose and live in Mountain View. I have never heard anyone in the Bay Area express this opinion, nor do I hold it myself. Moreover, I am a homeowner, and have voted pro-housing in every election where it was an issue, and expressed a strong pro-housing opinion in every survey the city has offered.
mtviewdave··on Airport Trains Suck. Will REM Too?
The reason the Millbrae<->SFO connection doesn't run all the time is because it's not cost-efficient to do so:

http://www.bayrailalliance.org/question/why-is-the-caltrain-...

In retrospect, an Airtrain connection to Millbrae would probably have been a better choice, but the person who pushed through the SFO BART station, Sen. Quentin Kopp, was hostile to Caltrain and had no interest in making a Caltrain<->SFO connection efficient.

mtviewdave··on Housing in the Bay Area
A list of private development projects in Mountain View, with a number of them (residential and commercial) currently under construction:

http://www.mountainview.gov/depts/comdev/planning/activeproj...

mtviewdave··on House tells NASA to start planning two Europa missions
XKCD has a What If on this very topic:

https://what-if.xkcd.com/143/

mtviewdave··on The Black Death: The Greatest Catastrophe (2005)
Even if it was official policy, it would have been official policy of the British government. The United States did not exist at the time of the weaponization of smallpox at Fort Pitt. Jeffrey Amherst, the Commander-in-Chief in North America at the time, was never on the colonies' side during the Revolutionary War.
mtviewdave··on In Cramped and Costly Bay Area, Cries to Build, Baby, Build
There are currently plans to build over 10,000 units in North Bayshore (the area around Google's campus):

http://www.mv-voice.com/news/2016/03/03/council-oks-plans-fo...

mtviewdave··on A New Map for America
>the individual rights of citizens are better protected when power is decentralized to the states

I'm guessing you're not black.

mtviewdave··on Will the proliferation of affordable AI decimate the middle class?
Unless Caesar spoke English, he didn't threaten "to decimate" anybody. Because "to decimate" is an English verb.

Rather, I'm sure Caesar used the appropriate conjugation of the Latin verb "decimō".

Two separate, but related, words. With two separate, but related, meanings.

mtviewdave··on Will the proliferation of affordable AI decimate the middle class?
"To reduce by 10%" is, in English, the novel usage. It was apparently invented by essayist Richard Grant White in 1870. The original meaning of the word, "to destroy", is attested to 1663:

https://arnoldzwicky.org/2009/06/03/the-decimators/

mtviewdave··on How to Make Pittsburgh a Startup Hub
>Focus on historic preservation. Big real estate development projects are not what's bringing the twenty-somethings here. They're the opposite of the new restaurants and cafes; they subtract personality from the city.

>The empirical evidence suggests you cannot be too strict about historic preservation. The tougher cities are about it, the better they seem to do.

Interesting contrast to the common belief here on HN that historic preservation is just unimportant NIMBYism and should be opposed in the name of bringing down housing costs.

mtviewdave··on The 1% hide their money offshore, then use it to corrupt our democracy
>...George Soros, who's donated far more money and influenced far more country's politics...

Prior to 2012, that was probably true:

http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2010/09/opensecrets-battle-k...

But since then, the Koch brothers really ramped it up. The Koch brothers spent an estimated $412MM in the 2012 election alone, about an order of magnitude more than the amount Soros spent in the entire previous decade:

http://www.thenation.com/article/koch-brothers-spent-twice-m...

Combine the $412MM they spent in 2012 with the $900MM they want to spend in 2016, and that's ~$1.3 billion this decade, compared to Soros's ~$40 million in the last. That's not even close to the same level. And I haven't found any evidence that Soros is spending at the same level as the Koch brothers this decade.

mtviewdave··on Ask HN: Getting harassed at work for my sexuality, what should i do?
I would recommend going to HR, but not recording the conversation. The laws in your jurisdiction may make such recording illegal.
mtviewdave··on San Francisco Tech Firms See Workers Flee from $4,500 Rents
>Mountain view's NIMBYism is especially objectionable since it actually green lighted the corporate construction that brings many new workers to the area, while almost with the same stroke of the pen banned new housing around those places of business.

This is out of date, and has been for a while. The voters of Mountain View responded to the housing crisis by voting in a much more pro-housing city council. There are now over 10,000 units planned for North Bayshore (the area around the Google and LinkedIn campuses):

http://www.mv-voice.com/news/2016/03/03/council-oks-plans-fo...

As a long-time resident and voter in Mountain View, it's exasperating to have people so fixated on the NIMBY narrative that they ignore the significant steps the city and voters have and are taking to address the housing crisis. Regardless of what Matt Yglesias said, or that article from the Washington Post said, the votes of the Mountain View citizenry, and the resulting choices of the City Council, should make it clear that we're not a bunch of anti-density NIMBYs.

mtviewdave··on U.S. Moves to Thwart Use of Foreign Acquisitions to Dodge Taxes
For those of you starting companies now, probably the last thing you should be optimizing for is the amount of corporate tax your company will be paying after it becomes a unicorn.
mtviewdave··on Developers don't build cheaper housing because we make it illegal (2014)
In California, the state constitution forbids (in general) state and local government from using eminent domain to acquire an owner-occupied residence for the purposes of conveying it to a private entity. This restriction was added to the state constitution in 2008 via referendum.

On a broader note, while I understand the frustration with NIMBYism, a lot of these discussions about housing here on HN cross the line from anti-NIMBYism to anti-democracy. The United States is not China. The solution to the housing crisis in the US is not and never will be for governments (at any level) to impose solutions contrary to the general will of the American voting public. Any government that tries to do so will find itself replaced. Quickly. And quite rightly so.

mtviewdave··on Developers don't build cheaper housing because we make it illegal (2014)
After 1906 or so, people in San Francisco discovered that they cared very much.
mtviewdave··on Disarray at the Hacker Dojo
Having been a member the Dojo until recently, and a fan since they opened, I disagree with a lot of your characterization, and am going to give Ghufran the benefit of the doubt. However, this is important:

>Lesson: Bake your culture into your DNA, or when the good King era ends, the bad king era will begin...

What I see at the fundamental problem with the Dojo is that, baked into its DNA, is the belief that legal compliance and good management are not really important. The Dojo had to leave its old space because they were so in violation of Mountain View building codes that it would have taken hundreds of thousands of dollars to bring them into compliance. A problem that could have been easily avoided if they had bothered to talk to the City about code compliance before moving into that space.

And now they've demonstrated a lack of interest in basic financial governance.

I wish Ghufran, and the new board, the best in terms of turning the Dojo around. But I worry that the disinterest in compliance and management is so integral to Dojo culture that it will have another (completely avoidable) crisis in 3-4 years.

mtviewdave··on Disarray at the Hacker Dojo
The Dojo is still at 599 Fairchild (it's second location, where it's been since 2012). The lease will run out end of May. The Dojo has a potential new space in Santa Clara, though they have not signed a lease yet.

Marie Knox has been suspended, so I suspect the web description of her being in charge is merely out of date.

FYI, membership is $195/month. And yes, with TechShop at $125, and Founders Floor in downtown San Jose at $200/month, $195 seems far too high for what you get at Hacker Dojo.

mtviewdave··on A history of the Amiga, part 9: The Video Toaster
>It was so far ahead, how could it possibly fail? C= marketing.

True. But also, the hardware barely advanced for a long time. Commodore didn't even start to architect a next generation graphics chipset until 1988, and didn't release a significant upgrade until the AGA in the Amiga 4000, in 1992. Seven years after the original Amiga! In retrospect they should have been far more aggressive with their hardware upgrades. Their inability to do so let the rest of the market catch up.

mtviewdave··on Study: Immigrants Founded 51% of U.S. Billion-Dollar Startups
>Vinod Khosla - Founder of Sun Microsystems and well known VC was on H1B visa initially

The H-1B visa was created in 1990. Khosla started working in the U.S. in 1980 after graduating from Stanford, and founded Sun in 1982. It seems doubtful he was ever on an H-1B.

mtviewdave··on Millennials Flee Vancouver for More Affordable Cities
>We've seen this in 2008. Banks behaved insanely.

It's not 2008 anymore. Things have changed substantially. Banks became much more risk-adverse in the wake of the burst of the housing bubble and subsequent economic crisis. The era in which loan officers are incentivized to skip risk evaluation has passed.

My point was not that there's some grand conspiracy among banks. Merely that any loan that uses real estate as collateral will be riskier if real estate prices are declining, than if real estate prices are increasing. That means that construction loans are going to be harder to get when prices are decreasing. Which suggests that the ability to use construction loans to lower the absolute price of housing is self-limiting.

mtviewdave··on Millennials Flee Vancouver for More Affordable Cities
>Every bank is sound until land prices go into reverse.

Generalize that to building prices, and if true, that's going to make it very difficult to use construction to lower housing prices. Banks aren't going to lend for construction if they think making loans is going to threaten the bank's own soundness.

Or to put it another way, if falling housing prices add unacceptable risk to construction loans, then the banks efforts to mitigate that risk might include not lending if housing prices are in decline. Which means you could sweep away all zoning and NIMBY impediments, and you still wouldn't be able to use construction as a way to lower housing costs, because the banks wouldn't let that happen.

mtviewdave··on Analyzing Caltrain Delays
Every day direct BART service between SFO and Millbrae was the original intent, and they provided that level of service when the station opened. But ridership fell well below expectations, and BART eventually limited that service to nights and weekends only.
mtviewdave··on Analyzing Caltrain Delays
You don't need to replace Caltrain to achieve that. A easier solution would be to convert Caltrain to a gated fare system (like BART is now), and then put a combined BART and Caltrain station behind one set of turnstiles at Millbrae.
mtviewdave··on Analyzing Caltrain Delays
It's not as if Caltrain is required to run at grade. It's just a historical artifact of how the system evolved. If we had the money and political will to replace Caltrain with BART, we'd have the money and will to create a grade-separated Caltrain.

What would be the advantage of BART over electrified, grade-separated Caltrain? I'm hard-pressed to think of one, and there's definitely one major disadvantage: the nonstandard rail gauge.

mtviewdave··on Why Tech Degrees Are Not Putting More Blacks and Hispanics into Tech Jobs
>How could any programmer worth his/her salt would not know about a whiteboard interview?

These are students. I would not expect them to start their education knowing about whiteboard interviews. At some point, all of us professional software developers were ignorant about how interviewing worked, and then we learned.

The question is: why are black and hispanic students not reaching this level of understanding at the same rate as whites and Asians? Perhaps they're not doing internships at the same rate? Some other reason? Regardless, this question deserves a serious answer, and not a flip dismissal based on stereotypes about work habits.

mtviewdave··on A number that fascinates physicists
The most fascinating part about alpha to me is the implication that it isn't actually constant, and varies over time and/or distance. I once read a suggestion that perhaps the observed universe is simply the portion of the greater universe where alpha has a value that lets things like stars, planets, and life exist.
← PreviousPage 2 of 7Next →