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neogodlesson Tesla publishes analyst forecasts suggesting sales set to fall

I'm not sure how much of "the stock market" TSLA makes up, but at current valuation, it makes up 1.9% of VTI (so that's a good estimation). So it could blink out of existence and only take VTI down 2%. (2% is significant of course.) But more likely might be a slow erosion while other components grow, making index funds and "the entire stock market" quite resilient to such a shock.

neogodlesson Tesla publishes analyst forecasts suggesting sales set to fall

Based on Tesla's stock price and P/E ratio, it would seem most people do believe what you're suggesting, right?

But I am curious what the end-to-end math looks like for all costs incurred in Cybercab rideshare services, maintenance, insurance, repairs, and so forth, and how that calculates out per mile. And of course the volume of rideshares, given the tepid pace most Tesla announcements come to fruition and scale.

The Model 3 / Y scaled better than many predicted, but since then, other promises have gone the other way.

neogodlesson Tesla publishes analyst forecasts suggesting sales set to fall

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46433480 A Second Year of Decline for Tesla's EVs (electrek.co) 1 day ago (2 comments)

Original headline: Tesla (TSLA) does something unusual ahead of Q4 delivery results

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46436205 Tesla Compiles Downbeat Average Estimates for Its Vehicle Sales (bloomberg.com) ~1 day ago

neogodlesson A super fast website using Cloudflare workers

Speed: 350ms 1330ms

Is the site getting slower?

neogodlesson Intelligence – A Mystery Investigation Game

Ugh games like this make me feel so dumb.

I'm at the (very early) point where I identified 2 capital ships and have some info about 2 alien ships but I can't pin down what's not quite right about my info despite half a dozen "small hints." What am I doing wrong here?

neogodlesson Tesla’s 4680 battery supply chain collapses as partner writes down deal by 99%

And a few downgrades (if my 2023 Polestar 2 is an indication)

* Wait 60 seconds to start using the GPS / nav to become responsive

* Unreliable backup camera (even after several software "fixes")

* No buttons or knobs for climate control

* No way to disable intrusive line detection that makes car vibrate when you get close to yellow and white lines

* Overzealous auto-dim of high beams (our 2023 Mazda CX-5 is significantly better with almost no false positives)

It's not all bad, and once the infotainment warms up, it's plenty responsive. It's certainly a luxury car though (as an admitted Mazda fan) you can get a lot of nice from a $30k Mazda.

neogodlesson A faster heart for F-Droid

I was able to find 2 x 16GB DDR4 for $150...

Building a budget AM4 system for roughly $500 would be within the realm of reason. ($150 mobo, $100 cpu, $150 RAM, that leaves $100 for storage, still likely need power and case.)

https://www.amazon.com/Timetec-Premium-PC4-19200-Unbuffered-...

https://www.amazon.com/MSI-MAG-B550-TOMAHAWK-Motherboard/dp/...

For a server that's replacing a 12 year old system, you don't need DDR5 and other bleeding edge hardware.

neogodlesson Show HN: I remade my website in the Sith Lord Theme and I hope it's fun

Sorry, you know this stuff way better than me. I thought "gen AI" that generated visualizations / images used similar code, but as I say Large LANGUAGE Models in my head, I realize it must be something else (at least in name!)

Again this should in no way implicate a diminishing of the work and accomplishment of building your site. Just noticing some kind of "AI" (ANI) was used to make an image. Maybe worth clarifying for pedants like me (but probably not worth it ;-)!)

neogodlesson Show HN: I remade my website in the Sith Lord Theme and I hope it's fun

Ha, I like the site, and enjoyed playing some of the game!

So when I saw the "About Me" image, I thought Gen AI - https://cookie.engineer/about/me/teaser.jpg But no LLM used for that? (No judgment, just after seeing that image, and then you declaring no LLM use, I thought I'd ask!)

neogodlesson Tesla’s 4680 battery supply chain collapses as partner writes down deal by 99%

There's a simple third option you omitted:

Tesla is not the only company to achieve self-driving, and all companies that achieve it share the market with them.

(Or the fourth option, it will take decades for self-driving to take even a significant market of "driving" as humans continue to want to own and drive cars rather than short-term rentals.)

neogodlesson Show HN: Vibe coding a bookshelf with Claude Code

It is easy to defer to the "taste" of the mathematically mixed up assessment of "all internet-recorded human taste" if you prefer. And many will choose that. But many others will choose to remain in charge of their own taste, as best they can, and request that the machines still produce output per their bidding.

neogodlesson I'm a laptop weirdo and that's why I like my new Framework 13

I mean I have a perfectly good USB-A hub that is still working and doesn't need replaced either ;)

4-ports -- supports webcam, microphone, keyboard with no issues.

neogodlesson I'm a laptop weirdo and that's why I like my new Framework 13

At least with desktop you sometimes get a CPU upgrade path.

For example, with Socket 939, I started with an Athlon 64 3000+, and upgraded later to an X2 4200+.

With Socket AM4, I skipped the first generation, got a Ryzen 2700X, then skipped the next generation, and then got a Ryzen 5900X! (But a solid 4 generations on the same socket!)

neogodlesson Experts explore new mushroom which causes fairytale-like hallucinations

Someone Who Isn't Me?

neogodlesson I'm a laptop weirdo and that's why I like my new Framework 13

I think laptop gamers, and developers that use gaming laptops for work machines are somewhat niche (and I'm in that niche).

Because PC gamers often buy desktops. And console gamers buy consoles while handheld gamers buy handhelds and smartphone gamers...

Then there are other kinds of laptop users... the various Macbook users from the lightweight travel Air to the beefy desktop replacement 16" Macbook Pro, and the Windows business laptop users, and the Linux laptop users.

(I think we'd all do well to remember the variety in computers and computer users...)

So yeah, I've rarely bought anything but a gaming laptop that could easily be upgraded via RAM or SSD, and when I've bought non-upgradeable laptops (a tiny Asus 2-in-1 touchscreen) I found it just wasn't for me and I ended up selling it.

My favorite gaming laptops... Lenovo Legion 5 Pro, Acer Nitro 16. My spouse uses a Legion 5 Pro. My sister uses my 5+ year old Legion 5. They've all been a combination of good or great screen, great keyboard, good hardware, pretty quiet except when cranking up for demanding games, and so far all have been reliable, upgradeable, etc. We don't tend to use them on battery, but I've found that they tend to do 4-5 hours easily for basic usage. I wouldn't expect them to do well at all when pulling 100+ W for gaming. (My sister had an older Nitro and the quality was lacking, but I've been impressed by my 2023 model.)

neogodlesson I'm a laptop weirdo and that's why I like my new Framework 13

Current items in my possession that are still in use and use USB-A

* keyboard

* mouse dongle

* webcam

* microphone

* mouse charging cable

* smart watch charging cable

* SATA hard drive dock

* 32GB and 64GB USB memory sticks

Things that use USB-C

* new SD card reader

* new headphones dongle

* smart phone charging cable

Some of the above could maybe be replaced with a USB-C equivalent, but they are still working and I'm still using them. Why waste money and create waste replacing them?

neogodlesson I'm returning my Framework 16

It certainly doesn't compare which is why I've never bought a Mac....

But that's a goofy argument. Different use cases, different value proposition. My speakers are actually really nice though I alternate using them or using my HyperX headset.

Still I think you probably have zero experience with an Acer Nitro 16 if you think it's as bad as you're hinting at.

neogodlesson I'm returning my Framework 16

I don't know how many laptops people own to rule out every possible model. My own experience is owning several various versions of Lenovo Legion for gaming and work, and currently an Acer Nitro 16.

None of them have given me a single issue.

Great screens, great keyboards, great performance, easy to upgrade the SSD or RAM. Short of really intense gaming, the fans aren't audible.

And they are all around $1000-1200 USD. All with AMD CPUs and Nvidia GPUs. Doesn't seem like they are unicorns.

neogodlesson Volvo Centum is Dalton Maag's new typeface for Volvo

2023 Polestar 2 Performance / Pilot / Plus...

Bought after depreciation reduced the cost by 57%...

neogodlesson Volvo Centum is Dalton Maag's new typeface for Volvo

I don't use voice so I couldn't be sure, but in the video, the instructor pushes a button to activate Voice. So that may vary depending on the specific year and model.

neogodlesson Volvo Centum is Dalton Maag's new typeface for Volvo

In my Polestar 2, it's at least two presses.

1. Press "heat controls" space on tablet. This "expands" the controls, showing steering wheel heat, seat heat, seat ventilation.

2. Press "seat heat" once to be on High (and more presses to get to Medium, Low or back to Off)

Wish it was a button. Buttons are much better for this sort of thing.

In this video, the Volvo controls are identical to Polestar, and, again, require at least two presses: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D29Nm-fwsHQ

While it's great to have a choice to do so, I personally detest voice controls (which require a button press, and a memorized phrase.)

neogodlesson Volvo Centum is Dalton Maag's new typeface for Volvo

At least in the current state, you do not have to carry an extra fob. Most of the time, I hand "my" fob to my spouse, and once she's in the car, she presses the appropriate memory recall button. All optional, of course. You can adjust seat position and change radio stations yourself manually.

neogodlesson Volvo Centum is Dalton Maag's new typeface for Volvo

My Polestar has this, and while I haven't tested it thoroughly, because my spouse rarely drives the car, it does swap profiles just by getting in the car with the fob that is linked to your profile.

neogodlesson Volvo Centum is Dalton Maag's new typeface for Volvo

https://bobistheoilguy.com/forums/threads/if-microsoft-built...

If microsoft built cars (joke) (2004)

Possibly better reference:

https://trillian.mit.edu/~jc/humor/WindowsVsCars.html Comparing Microsoft Windows With Cars

"If GM had kept up with the technology like the computer industry has, we would all be driving $25.00 cars that got 1,000 miles to the gallon"

neogodlesson Flock Exposed Its AI-Powered Cameras to the Internet. We Tracked Ourselves

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46356182 Benn Jordan – This Flock Camera Leak Is Like Netflix for Stalkers [video] (youtube.com)

neogodlesson Benn Jordan – This Flock Camera Leak Is Like Netflix for Stalkers [video]

A bit more detail:

Flock Exposed Its AI-Powered Cameras to the Internet. We Tracked Ourselves (404media.co)

neogodlesson Prepare for That Stupid World

What are "4fs"? Is that the "4X" e.g. games where you eXplore, eXpand, eXploit, eXterminate?

neogodlesson US Tech Force

https://americabydesign.gov/

Design is separate but equal.

neogodlesson US Tech Force

> This is President Trump going bigger than President Nixon.

You don't say...

neogodlesson Thousands of U.S. farmers have Parkinson's. They blame a deadly pesticide

https://kagi.com/search?q=Pesticide

> Pesticides are substances that are used to control pests. They include herbicides, insecticides, nematicides, fungicides, and many others (see table). The most common of these are herbicides, which account for approximately 50% of all pesticide use globally.[0]

[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pesticide

You're trying to be pedantic, but you're actually wrong. If you think about it, from the perspective of anyone trying to raise crops, weeds are pests. (They are pests to lots of non-farmers, too.)

Similarly...

> A pest is any organism harmful to humans or human concerns. The term is particularly used for creatures that damage crops, livestock, and forestry or cause a nuisance to people, especially in their homes.

> Plants may be considered pests, for example, if they are invasive species or weeds.