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nickpp

2,601 karma · joined March 2, 2009

Coder. Entrepreneur. Not an island. Rational. Opposing dictators of any sort. My Liberty ends where yours starts. Respecting Nature's laws and abhorring religions.
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nickpp··on NASA freezes Starliner missions
Venezuela is one of the most oil-rich countries on Earth - and they had gas shortages.

It isn't enough to have resources in the ground. They are worth zero until extracted and turned into products and services. And for that you need technology, companies and entrepreneurs.

When you tax "the shit out of rich people" that's what you lose. You can do it exactly one time - next time you won't have what to tax.

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
> Antitrust laws do not impact startups

They do, through second order effects. Read up on them.

> Customers don’t care.

Of course we care. We get attached to the brands we buy and value the services and products they provide. And most of all we care about reduced competition.

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
No, it doesn’t.

Besides, a vicious cycle in which antitrust creates monopolies to only take them down later is a nightmare for consumers.

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
> foreign companies

Incumbents by definition. Besides, crushing your local businesses in favor of foreign competition is not a very smart strategy.

> boutiques and lifestyle businesses

Which are also obeying startups laws and thus are simply not started under an onerous regulatory regime.

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
> they themselves become incumbents […] after the previous incumbents were brought low by antitrust action

Haha, you’ve never built a startup have you? Try it and let me know how easy it is to become incumbent. :)

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
> We shall simply patronize other businesses.

Which won’t be any new business, since you know, no startups. So we’ll patronize whatever state-granted too-big-to-fail monopolist is left and then whine for more regulations when their planes fall from the sky.

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
> armies of lawyers

Which no startups have. So, antitrust favors incumbents, of course.

> money they've made operating in the competitive space cleared out

Again, not startups. It’s incumbents that take advantage of opportunities like that.

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
Grow - why?! So we can be the next company squished by the bureaucrats?
nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
Well, let's say ads work. I am not convinced, but you're persuading me. :)

Can't outlaw them - we still need them to quickly inform & educate the masses. The governments will definitely use them even if just for "good" purposes. Who will define "good" though? In a world without ads people will not build an immunity and any ad will have such an effect that the temptation to use it will become irresistible to anybody in power. And mark my words: they'll use them for worse stuff than smoking and eating.

Also, we'll loose all ad-supported free stuff. And there is a lot there, like pretty much all media. The poor will be the most affected, too, since stuff can be paid with money or attention and they have no money.

> Tobacco industry

I don't know any smoker that is not aware of the dangers. But what they get out of it makes it worth it to them. Believe it or not, most people do not live to maximize their life expectancy, they have other criteria as well - like pleasure or enjoyment of life. Otherwise everybody would start their day with 4 hours in the gym and walk everywhere.

> After advertisement was abolished, Tabacco use went down significantly.

I'm sure there were many other measures taken as well.

> the obesity epidemic [...] believe advertisement has something to do with it

How about the food pyramid pushed by governments that was full on processed carbs? How about the vilification of fat & meat made by the medical establishment I believe? How about people naturally choosing comfort and pleasure over hard work and restraint? How about partners working both with little time left to chop and cook at home?

I doubt you need ads to explain the obesity epidemic.

> I've never seen an ad for not eating. I've never seen an ad for not buying a pair of shoes.

Because we must eat and have shoes - we can't not buy food or shoes. None of those ads made me buy, they just influenced my purchase decision. And I see plenty of ads for health advisors and nutrition experts that tell me to eat more veggies and less sugar. Maybe they are not on main stream media, but alternative media is full of them.

> The trick is getting them to do it and letting them believe they made the choice.

If I wanted to protect my kids from that, I would expose them to more ads, not less. Because they would be even more vulnerable to ads if they saw fewer of them.

I believe that for the best ideas to win, we need to debate more, read more and learn more - not to burn the "bad" books.

nickpp··on Starship Flight 5: Launch and booster catch [video]
> this sort of generic ideological argument isn't the intellectually curious conversation we're looking for here

Do you have a concrete advice on how to deal with ideological tangents like the "late stage capitalism" meme? Flagging obviously doesn't work. Answering it is frowned upon (it's "feeding it").

Finally just ignoring it would leave a HN full of leftist ideas and anti-capitalism snark. They are already here, heavily upvoted. Is that something you want? HN is a gathering place for hackers but it also educates and inspires. An HN where businesses are the bad guys and capitalism evil is not an HN that inspires startups and founders. So my question is: what do you want and recommend?

Thank you!

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
> Debatable.

It's only debatable among people who never built a business in their life, not not among entrepreneurs.

> Microsoft falling prey to antitrust only led to a new generation

The slap on the wrist Microsoft received with the antitrust action was completely inconsequential on the subject matter (browser bundling) but managed to discourage the company and thus reduced competition exactly when we needed it the most: at the onset of the mobile wars which were fought and won by companies already founded at the time of the lawsuit - instead of startups. Because regulation favors the incumbents. Always.

And you can't count the unfounded startups but I am not happy with the state of competition in today's high-tech scene. I remember when there were dozens of compiler, word-processor, spreadsheet, OS and microcomputer companies competing in the 80s and 90s. I blame it squarely on government regulation: the Microsoft lawsuit and Sarbanes-Oxley. Their chilling effect on startup creation was clearly visible in the 00's.

nickpp··on NASA's Europa Clipper Launch
> private business is there to enrich its owners

The value captured by the owners is a tiny slice of the value provided to the society. For example, the value I get from my iPhone is much much greater than the money I pay for it - it's just logical, I simply wouldn't buy it otherwise.

And the value received by the owners is the well deserved reward for creating the business - a very hard and low chance of success endeavor - but essential to our society.

Everything in my life is created by private businesses: from the clothes on my back, the food I eat, the car I drive, the house I live in to the computer I earn my living and write this on.

I lived in a society without private businesses, under communism, and everybody was cold and starving.

nickpp··on NASA's Europa Clipper Launch
> private business, whose mission is to serve only itself

Any private business's primary mission is to serve its customers - in order to even exist.

nickpp··on Starship Flight 5: Launch and booster catch [video]
I never said that, please reread my post.
nickpp··on AMD's Turin: 5th Gen EPYC Launched
Just in time for Factorio 2.0.
nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
Only if that fall comes as a result of natural competition and market forces (like what happened to IBM for example). But if the fall was the result of government culling and interference with the free market, a chilling effect will take place among the most vulnerable in the business chain: startups and entrepreneurs now thinking twice before starting new startups.

The end result will be even less competition and more monopolies - inviting additional government intervention in a vicious cycle that ends up with only large, incumbent, too-big-to-fail corporations on an overregulated market. Like how it's in the EU for example. Or the aerospace industry in the US.

Politicians are quite happy with this state of things since their role is expanding and everyone is asking for their help. The ones suffering are, of course, the consumers having fewer and crappier choices...

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
So far, in software, no they don’t. Still want their competition: keeps the local business on their toes. I want them both.
nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
As a consumer a care greatly about the fate of businesses: they are the ones providing the services and products I enjoy. The government gives me nothing. Less than nothing, actually, since they are taking most of my income for the crap they provide.

And I care about every single business since I know that the more competition there is - the better and cheaper the products and services will be.

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
What do you think innovators will feel when they see the government breaking up a private company? Do you think they’ll be more or less motivated to create one to meet the same fate down the road in the unlikely case of success, after immeasurable difficulties and struggle?

Ever heard of second order effects and chilling effect of regulation?

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
We are learning and teaching machines. We can't help influencing and being influenced. Any interaction we have with another human being will influence us. Reading a book, an article or a simple blog or forum post will influence my mind. A lesson or a chat will influence me. Even a smell or a color will generate thoughts and actions in me. We can't help it - they are using the same mechanism we use for learning and without that we can't survive.

But does that mean that they control me? Only if this information comes from only one side and is well integrated in my regular trusted information streams overwhelming my defenses. Like propaganda. Or a Guru. Or an academic institution.

Ads on the other hand are quite easily defeated because they are both clearly delimited and coming from numerous, competing directions. In a world without Ads I would be very vulnerable to them. In our world though they are reduced to a more utilitarian function: to inform me. They tell me what options are out there, what is available and how to get it if I so choose.

I don't think they can "make me" do anything against my own interest or even change my mind. They can merely inform me and I have no problem with that.

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
> convince you to buy stuff

Ever bought something you didn't actually want? Were you persuaded to want something? What was the exact mechanism? Were you lied to? "Made to" somehow?

> net positive for the world

How exactly do you find out what is "net positive for the world"? Who assigns the the values and who does the tallying?

nickpp··on US weighs Google break-up in landmark antitrust case
Life is a "paperclip maximizer".
nickpp··on The missing middle: firms in developing countries
I assure you I am not. I lived under communism so I know it’s stench.

It is usually quickly followed by dictatorship though, since force must be used to keep people living under it. Otherwise productive people will naturally pursue prosperity for themselves and their loved ones, which leads straight to capitalism.

nickpp··on The missing middle: firms in developing countries
A communist government will manage to convert any riches into abject poverty. Every single time.
nickpp··on Working in the office 5 days/week to build company culture is a myth: PwC report
I thought getting regularly infected with seasonal diseases keeps your immune system up-to-date against the pathogen mutations and avoids a rarer but more dangerous episode down the road.

But I guess without a serious study my belief is hard to check & validate.

nickpp··on Three Mile Island nuclear plant restart in Microsoft AI power deal
Fewer and fewer get nothing. Capitalism raised billions out of poverty and continues to do so, in every place it is allowed to work.
nickpp··on Three Mile Island nuclear plant restart in Microsoft AI power deal
Without profit there is no reason anybody will provide those. Countries that tried socializing food - starved.

Capitalism is the only one that brought plenty - because there is an incentive to do so.

nickpp··on Amazon ordered a return to the office – but research says they'll backtrack
Got it. Thank you!
nickpp··on Amazon ordered a return to the office – but research says they'll backtrack
I really didn’t get this tweet. I go to the mall anytime I need to. Support local businesses every day. What’s the connection with going to the office?! Can anybody explain?
nickpp··on Amazon tells employees to return to office five days a week
The very first words of my initial message warned you I am talking strictly about my team.

I do know excellent engineers working solely remote. Not on my team though, and they are freelancing contractors. Different organizations, different dynamics.

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