2,568 karma · joined February 23, 2007
The biggest bottlenecks are raw ingredients, power, and factories. Once the automated manufacturing flywheel gets started, units can be produced very rapidly. Specialized machines produce low-level components, while more generalized machines assemble higher-level components as well as products like themselves and other robots.
People don't factor a human's total compensation beyond an hourly wage.
Machines don't need as much breathing room as humans.
Machines can work a 6-day, 16-hour schedule.
20 - 30% cannot spend $100k per year as funny money, that is more like the top 5% but probably more like the top 2%.
High earners in the 20 - 30% often also live in expensive areas, so their dollar doesn't go as far as some of the more affordable places to live (housing, food, etc).
The concept that "every augmentation is an amputation" is best captured in Chapter 4, "THE GADGET LOVER: Narcissus as Narcosis." The chapter explains that any extension of ourselves is a form of "autoamputation" that numbs our senses.
Technology as "Autoamputation": The text introduces research that regards all extensions of ourselves as attempts by the body to maintain equilibrium against irritation. This process is described as a kind of self-amputation. The central nervous system protects itself from overstimulation by isolating or "amputating" the offending function. This theory explains "why man is impelled to extend various parts of his body by a kind of autoamputation".
The Wheel as an Example: The book uses the wheel as an example of this process. The pressure of new burdens led to the extension, or "'amputation,'" of the foot from the body into the form of the wheel. This amplification of a single function is made bearable only through a "numbness or blocking of perception".
etc
Creating models for this specific problem domain will have a better chance at reliability, which is not a solved problem.
Jules is the gemini coder that links to github. Half the time it doesn't create a pull request and forgets and assumes I'll do some testing or something. It's wild.
If you are starting at a display which displays a video feed (VR/MR form factor), you are correct.
They will have to work really hard to incentivize developers and studios to invest in iOS and macOS and it's bespoke low level libraries.
https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/seattle-crosswalk-...
I paid for that to get access to Deep Research from OpenAI and I feel I got more than $200 of value back out.
These companies have a hard time communicating value. Capabilities make that easier for me to understand. Rate-limiting and outages don't.
Maybe stick to "secret" warrantless surveillance on US citizens.
The gold rush, wether real or a bubble is still there! NVIDA will still sell every shovel they can manufacture, as soon as it is available in inventory.
Fortune 100 companies will still want the biggest toolshed to invent the next paradigm or to be the first to get to AGI.
The gold rush, wether real or a bubble is still there! NVIDA will still sell every shovel they can manufacture, as soon as it is available in inventory.
Fortune 100 companies will still want the biggest toolshed to invent the next paradigm or to be the first to get to AGI.
Nope. Anything inheriantly serial is better off on the CPU due to caching and it's architecture.
Many things that are highly parallizable are getting GPU enabled. Games and ML are GPU by default, but many things are migrating to CUDA.
You need both for cheap, high performance computing. They are different workloads.
In the past I would hand write 8 or 9 unit tests. Now I write the first one or two and then brain dump anything else into the LLM prompt. It then outputs mine plus 6 or more.
I delete any that seem low value or ridiculous or have a follow up prompt to ask for refinements. Then just copy/pasta back into the codebase out of the chat.