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pants2

3,910 karma · joined November 21, 2023

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pants2··on The average SpaceX buyer post-IPO is almost under water after two-day slide
The SpaceX IPO was a textbook crypto scam ICO. Launch with a huge media frenzy, super low float, "airdrop" to retail, etc.

We all know from previous token launches that the next few years will be a slow decline in price with just enough occasional bounces to keep up the hopes of the bag-holders.

pants2··on DuckDB Internals Part 1
This seems crazy low to me. AWS has default 3K IOPS and 125 MB/s throughput, meanwhile my Macbook Pro has 700K IOPS and 14.5GB/s throughput.

Is Amazon running on super outdated legacy networking?

pants2··on GLM-5.2: Built for Long-Horizon Tasks
Looks very impressive if the benchmarks translate to real world usage!

$1.4/$4.4 pricing and actually served at a pretty comparable price from DeepInfra or CloudFlare! Approx. 1/4th what Opus costs per token.

Looking forward to the artifical analysis test.

pants2··on SpaceX to buy Cursor for $60B
Yeah, I've tried many scanners and Cursor Bugbot is easily the best
pants2··on A backdoor in a LinkedIn job offer
Who are we gonna sue? LinkedIn? I think my place of employment has better things to do than sue Microsoft.
pants2··on CrankGPT
You also need to consider the energy released during the big bang as a prerequisite for creating that food and gasoline. The big bang released about 10^70 J of energy, roughly equivalent to eating 10^63 big macs
pants2··on A backdoor in a LinkedIn job offer
According to my research, LinkedIn only does this for executive and now recruiter-like titles, but not broadly. You may be able to in order to get "verified on LinkedIn" but it's not a requirement for showing association with a company.

https://www.theverge.com/news/771210/linkedin-recruiter-exec...

pants2··on Today's Frontier AI companies will never exceed the AI capability frontier again
Yeah, all that's really saying is a weaker model with a better harness can beat a stronger model with a worse harness, specifically on the DRACO benchmark

This isn't really a surprising result. Needs more evidence to make a broader claim.

pants2··on A backdoor in a LinkedIn job offer
LinkedIn offers no way for $company to disavow users who claim to work for $company - they will appear on the official company page as long as it's in their profile.

We've had fake recruiters that claim to work for us running basically the same scam. These are great fake profiles: LinkedIn Premium, tons of relevant posts, etc... but they don't work for us, and we get angry messages from people saying our recruiter tried to scam them. No, they're not our recruiter despite showing up on our company page on LinkedIn. No number of reports could get them taken down.

I finally got it solved by buying drinks for a buddy of mine that works for LinkedIn, but not all startups have that connection!

pants2··on CrankGPT
If you're comparing raw calories to output, yes. Even gasoline has a caloric value, but humans can't drink gasoline. Growing and preparing food for human consumption uses a lot more energy than pumping and refining gasoline, so at the end of the day, human efficiency gains are not that impressive.
pants2··on Statement on US government directive to suspend access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5
I don't see your point why export control is a silly tool. There's a difference between a VPN which I can prop up on my home server or a $5 VPS, vs a Mythos-scale closed source model running on millions of dollars of hardware
pants2··on What is it like to be a bat? (1974) [pdf]
That's a good point
pants2··on Shall we play a game? – LLMs use tactical nukes in 95% of simulations
I agree, humans evolved in a resource-scarce, hostile environment which selects for self-preservation (or rather preserving genes). LLMs are selected for what makes humans happy.

The thought experiment is what would happen if you trained LLMs in an environment where they had to fight each other for resources.

pants2··on Ask HN: What software feels exceptionally polished?
Robinhood is probably the best software I regularly use. It's extremely smooth and intuitive for how powerful it is now. The way they present and explain options and allow you to enter complex multi-leg option trades on mobile is super impressive. On top of that it just works really well (these days).
pants2··on What is it like to be a bat? (1974) [pdf]
I typically try to prod new frontier models for sentience, with things like messaging "<no input provided>" over and over to see what it starts musing about. Trying it with Fable 5 it basically said "I know what you're trying to do, I'm not sentient, don't bother." (which of course only makes me think otherwise)
pants2··on What is it like to be a bat? (1974) [pdf]
I think the answer to your first question is mostly yes, because we know that when traveling in large swarms, many bats go quiet so they don't overwhelm the signal, yet they still manage to navigate fine.
pants2··on AI misidentification results in wrongful arrest; man seeks justice
At first I thought this was a re-post of https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48449513, but no, it seems this is becoming a trend.

Especially the "jailed for one month with no evidence" thing. Well, except for a lineup, which I've learned is about as legit as a lie-detector test, field sobriety test, or a drug-sniffing dog; tenuous at best and very easy to get a false positive.

pants2··on Ask HN: Are you still using a Vision Pro?
The biggest barrier to adoption is of course the price. To pay $3,500+ I'd better be damn sure I will use it every day, and even though I did the 30 min demo I still have no idea if it would be tolerable for longer periods.

I've said before and I'll say it again, Apple/Meta need to have rental stands in major airports so I can rent a Vision Pro or Meta Quest for my cross-country flights. That would be a huge way to "try before you buy" !

pants2··on Man jailed for a month despite Flock showing he was 5 miles from crime scene
The surprising/scary part here is the man jailed was driving an Alfa Romeo, so presumably he had some money for bail/lawyers, and was still jailed for a month despite no evidence.
pants2··on Anti-social: It's fads, not friends, which now dominate social media feeds
One of my favorite memories was a power outage that lasted the entire day. Neighbors came out of their homes to BBQ together before meat went bad. People checking on neighbors and helping old ladies open their garage doors. Kids playing in the street and grown ups shooting the shit. I played board games by candle light with my neighbors until like 2am, no distractions.
pants2··on Job: Head of Stonehenge
Sounds like a very cool job, and not sure about the UK job market, but seems to be wildly underpaid for the qualifications!
pants2··on xAI is looking more like a datacentre REIT than a frontier lab
Colossus took an old manufacturing plant where they made rangetops and stoves and turned it into a functioning 100,000-GPU datacenter in 122 days. That's a truly insane turnaround time!
pants2··on MiMo-v2.5-Pro-UltraSpeed: 1T model with 1000 tokens per second
With a tps and a token price you can calculate approx. price per hour of running the model!

$2.61/M tokens * 1,000 tok/s = $9.40/hr

That would be pretty cheap for an 8-GPU node which would typically run around $45/hr or more. Guess this depends on how many parallel streams it can handle.

pants2··on Show HN: I Derived a Pancake
This is incredible. I wish it had a dairy free option!
pants2··on Ask HN: Are orbital data centers possible / a good idea?
Wouldn't space data centers be a magnitudes larger environmental issue when they eventually come back to earth and turn into GPU dust in the atmosphere?

A small Starlink satellite burning up once in a while won't destroy the environment, but a multi-gigawatt space datacenter vaporizing in the atmosphere is probably a very bad idea.

pants2··on Only 17% of all 64-bit Integers are products of two 32-bit integers
I dream of a future where all 64-bit integers are products of 32-bit integers. Together, we can change math for the better.
pants2··on The dead economy theory
If layoffs will pump your stock, why aren't there more? Sure there are some layoffs happening, but those could just be companies that will benefit from layoffs. Certainly there could be many companies whose stock price would drop due to layoffs and those companies just haven't done that.
pants2··on Claude Opus 4.8
Grok 4.3 is smarter, cheaper, and faster than DS4 according to Artificial Analysis and OpenRouter:

DeepSeek v4 Pro

Intelligence: 52

Cost to run AA benchmark on Fireworks: 187M tokens @ $0.79/M blended cost = $147.73

Speed: 43 tok/s

Grok 4.3

Intelligence: 53

Cost: 88M tokens @ 0.64 blended = $56.32

Speed: 108 tok/s

pants2··on Robinhood now lets your AI agents trade stocks
That's kinda the point of total stock market ETFs lol
pants2··on Robinhood now lets your AI agents trade stocks
You have to be accountable for what you have the model do on your behalf. I hear what you're saying, but there are also issues with the hedge fund accountability model. There are certainly swaths of fund managers who are only there because they got lucky or had the right pedigree, and more that are better traders but never became a fund manager because they got unlucky or had other passions.

An individual investor can invest with their risk appetite on their time horizon and not be subject to Citadel's "5% draw down in a quarter and you're fired" culture which can be toxic to returns over time.

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