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pas

8,493 karma · joined January 22, 2011

pas@zomg.hu
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pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
Obviously the current US Mobministration is almost impervious to shame, but of course they still have their own egoistic expectations to grapple with.

They are not afraid to spend money (and blood) on a problem, even if it turns out to be bigger than expected. How much? We'll see.

The neighbors are motivated to not live next to one more nuclear state. We'll see how much.

pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
> If a story is spam or off-topic, flag it. Don't feed egregious comments by replying; flag them instead. If you flag, please don't also comment that you did.

> Please don't comment about the voting on comments. It never does any good, and it makes boring reading.

https://news.ycombinator.com/newsguidelines.html

pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
> It will act to save itself first, even if attacking the aggressor hurts itself too in the process.

Of course, but as we see simply focusing on ground forces, drones, and anti-air defenses would be strictly better. (Because they wouldn't be this sanctioned, and they could even have a civilian nuclear energy program too.)

> 2T USD

It's a number coming from an Iranian trade official.

I heard it in this video: https://youtu.be/OJAcvqmWuv4?t=1084 and unfortunately there's no source cited, but I think it's this one: "As former Iranian diplomat Qasem Mohebali admitted on May 20, 2025, “uranium enrichment has cost the country close to two trillion dollars” and imposed massive sanctions yet continues largely as a matter of national pride rather than economic logic."

https://www.ncr-iran.org/en/news/nuclear/iaea-report-and-geo...

see also https://freeiransn.com/the-two-trillion-dollar-drain-irans-m...

pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
The HN protocol to deal with this is downvote silently. Complaining about why and what is on HN is also in the FAQ as a no no.

If there was any serious preparation for a many months long campaign then why Kharg island is not occupied already?

pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
But it didn't really. Iran is poorer than it was before, even more of a problem than it was before. NK has two very special advantages (Seoul is within artillery range, and it is literally in the backyard of one or two relevant superpowers over the decades) whereas Tehran's "force projection" is mostly through proxies and affecting global commodity trade.

Without NK's hard deterrence (and without being next door to its allies) Tehran is an easy target up until the last second. And even then what's going to happen if they detonate a nuclear bomb? Everyone will sit back and let them build as many more as they feel?

pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
Tehran "spent" 2T USD on the nuclear weapons program, which they could have spent on water desalination for example.

Yes having the deterrent is strategically beneficial, but working toward it paints a huge target on your back, while you need to pay for development, endure sanctions, etc.

Any state considering such weapons development already knows this. So this war is not new information.

And it's far from over yet.

Iran could very well end up cut off from the strait as rival gulf states build pipelines, rail, and drone defenses. (Sure this kind of long term thinking is not characteristic of the actors involved, but politics change easier around Iran than inside it.)

pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
He emphasizes relative importance, he doesn't claim that the actual people are not important.
pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
the nuclear weapons program has cost about 2T USD for Iran, and definitely makes certain arguments for intervention more acceptable, but it doesn't negate the other side of the equation. the cost of intervention is still enormous. (and since the enriched uranium is an obvious target it is obviously even more protected)
pas··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
I remember his protracted war posts, and ... indeed there's still a war going there, and fortunately it did not even get into the anticipated guerilla phase.

Can you elaborate a bit on what was unrealistic? (Maybe you have different posts or claims by him in mind?)

pas··on Epic Games to cut more than 1k jobs as Fortnite usage falls
if UE doesn't pay for itself they should just turn off the lights and sit in shame forever
pas··on Epic Games to cut more than 1k jobs as Fortnite usage falls
it was pretty meh back then, so people had pretty understandable reasons. it made LAN parties harder for example :)

but it got a lot better.

Epic had more money and time compared to Valve. and their store is still worse.

sure, Steam has an enormous moat, but that won't be the case forever, Epic should be ready with a nice platform to exploit niches that Valve misses

instead they hemorrhage money on things that does not make their fundamental position any better.

pas··on Cyber.mil serving file downloads using TLS certificate which expired 3 days ago
Thank you for the detailed answer!

It's unacceptable that operational matters are not handled by a standing ops team that covers so and so gov agencies.

(And at least Apple did something useful by pushing for shorter validity time for certs.)

pas··on The way CTRL-C in Postgres CLI cancels queries is incredibly hack-y
ah, true, thanks! (unfortunately I can't delete/edit the comment.)
pas··on Cyberattack on vehicle breathalyzer company leaves drivers stranded in the US
EU has the NIS2 directive, the CRA (cybersecurity resiliency act), and a few sector specific ones (DORA for financial, MDR/IVDR for medical/diagnostical, and there's probably a bunch more)

these are slowly but surely pushing manufacturers/sellers/distributors to try to do the right things

it requires transparency about support period commitment, a bug tracker program, issuing updates (I guess in case there's a CVE), doing risk assessment during development, etc., and requirements kick in based on turnover (or headcount).

and it seems like the correct approach, these are already things good products come with

pas··on Cyberattack on vehicle breathalyzer company leaves drivers stranded in the US
obviously it will require an age verification, also you need to tell Google that you want to go somewhere 24 hours in advance, and Apple gets 30% of the revenue that gas stations make.
pas··on Cyber.mil serving file downloads using TLS certificate which expired 3 days ago
... what are the revocation tickets about then? how is it even a question whether to put a cert on the CRL? either the customer wants to or the key has been compromised? (in which case the customer should also want to have it revoked ASAP, no?)

can you elaborate on this a bit? thank you!

pas··on The way CTRL-C in Postgres CLI cancels queries is incredibly hack-y
I believe the suggestion is to have a TLS endpoint in the server, which demultiplexes the incoming CancelRequest and signals to the corresponding worker process via shared memory
pas··on The way CTRL-C in Postgres CLI cancels queries is incredibly hack-y
why is it funny? it seems like a sincere question
pas··on “Collaboration” is bullshit
yes, it seems that the author is against the typical corporate bullshit faux collab (where people are overloaded with distractions, and the whole culture is about "managing expectations", managing up, showing impact), not against delegation, supervision, review, and a few well positioned veto points
pas··on Delve – Fake Compliance as a Service
Blackstone is the PE

blackrock is the asset manager

though I'm not saying it couldn't have been the latter

pas··on Delve – Fake Compliance as a Service
can you please explain what is the wrong approach and how it would be correct/good?
pas··on 404 Deno CEO not found
node has watch now too

bun is not bad, but for me consistently slower than pnpm for dependency management, and unfortunately I hit a very strange async runtime bug with it, so ended up just going with node

pas··on Passengers who refuse to use headphones can now be kicked off United flights
what's the goal? without a goal it's just noise pollution, the audio equivalent of drunk driving and bumping into a lot of people just a bit
pas··on Floci – A free, open-source local AWS emulator
it's a trade off, a risk. (sure, for many people it doesn't make sense, because they don't have scale or growth anywhere near the numbers where generic/abstracted is not efficient enough)
pas··on GrapheneOS refuses to comply with new age verification laws for operating system
because there are other sites/apps online too, and it's better to decouple the "obtaining the verification" and the "presenting the verification"

and if sites and apps don't need to be in the loop for this they can't end up leaking all over the 'net

pas··on GrapheneOS refuses to comply with new age verification laws for operating system
the law is there because parents are fucking clueless unprincipled whining crybabies, who need a lot of support, and sometimes that includes a bit of pushing ...

or who knows what problem is this supposed to fix. orphans buying phones? kids buying secret phones behind their parents back?

pas··on PC Gamer recommends RSS readers in a 37mb article that just keeps downloading
not using an adblocker is also on the user

yes, it would be better if all ads were text only, so there wouldn't be this adtech fucking warfare for people's attention

pas··on Ubuntu 26.04 Ends 46 Years of Silent sudo Passwords
kernel cmdline arguments set in the bootloader? though I'm not sure which has precedence
pas··on Android developer verification: Balancing openness and choice with safety
drones are already coming with mandatory GPS-based flight restrictions

cars are a funny example (but I know, car analogies are also mandatory!), because cars and driving is a very complex and regulated system, what you can drive, where, license, registration, car & road safety standards, where to park, when, how much to pay, etc...

pas··on Android developer verification: Balancing openness and choice with safety
hardware is yours, you can put a different OS on it, this OS comes with these user safety features
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