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pcbro141

2,449 karma · joined November 19, 2016

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pcbro141··on CMI says 2022 had the worst second half for mortality since 2010
Genuinely don't see what he's said wrong here. He's just quoting a legitimate scientific review? Do you feel he misrepresented what's in the study?

From the article you linked:

> A bombshell new study by a distinguished team of Danish researchers led by Prof. Christine Stabell-Benn suggests a surprisingly nuanced answer. In the randomized trials of the covid vaccines, the adenovector-based vaccines, including the AstraZeneca and Johnson & Johnson vaccines, reduced all-cause mortality of study participants relative to people randomly assigned a placebo. Indeed, the reduction in mortality is larger than expected from the Covid effect and may suggest additional beneficial “non-specific effects” from those vaccines against other health threats.

> On the other hand, Stabell-Benn and her colleagues found no statistically meaningful evidence in the trial data that the mRNA vaccines reduced all-cause mortality. The numbers of deaths from other causes including cardiovascular deaths appear to be increased in this group, compensating for the beneficial effect of the vaccines on Covid. Stabell-Benn is keen to stress that the sample is relatively small and is calling for further investigation, and also that the study took place during very low levels of Covid, so the relative advantage of protection against Covid would have been smaller at that time compared to at other points in the pandemic.

> However, these preliminary results stand in sharp contrast to the unambiguous message from public health agencies and governments worldwide, which granted emergency authorization to the vaccines based on evidence from the trials that the vaccines reduce the likelihood of getting symptomatic covid. From a purely scientific perspective, preventing symptomatic covid is an interesting outcome to study. From a public health perspective, prevention of covid symptoms is not as important as prevention of death or disease transmission, which the randomized trials did not study. Dr. Stabell Benn and her colleagues have now looked at overall mortality for the first time.

> At the very least, the plain implication (since both sets of vaccines are available) is that public health authorities should have recommended the cheaper adenovector vaccines over the mRNA vaccines all along for most patients.

> In other words, the international move to de-authorise the AstraZeneca vaccine across Europe and elsewhere looks like it may have been a mistake, and that AZ was actually a better option than the Pfizer or Moderna vaccines.

> It offers a potential contributory explanation for the better overall mortality outcomes in the UK (which overwhelmingly used the AZ vaccine) than much of continental Europe (which phased out the AZ vaccine) after the vaccine programme in the second half of 2021.

From the study: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4072489

> To examine the possible non-specific effects (NSEs) of the novel COVID-19 vaccines, we reviewed the randomised control trials (RCTs) of mRNA and adenovirus-vector COVID-19 vaccines reporting overall mortality, including COVID-19 deaths, accident deaths, cardiovascular deaths and other non-COVID-19 deaths. For overall mortality, with 74,193 participants and 61 deaths (mRNA:31; placebo:30), the relative risk (RR) for the two mRNA vaccines compared with placebo was 1.03 (95% CI=0.63-1.71). In the adenovirus-vector vaccines there were 122,164 participants and 46 deaths (vaccine:16; controls:30). The RR for adenovirus-vector vaccines versus placebo/control vaccine was 0.37 (0.19-0.70). The adenovirus-vector vaccines were associated with protection against COVID-19 deaths (RR=0.11 (0.02-0.87)) and non-accident, non-COVID-19 deaths (RR=0.38 (0.17-0.88)). The two types of vaccines differed significantly with respect to impact on overall mortality (p=0.030) as well as non-accident, non-COVID-19 deaths (p=0.046). The placebo controlled RCTs of COVID-19 vaccines were halted rapidly due to clear effects on COVID-19 infections. However, the data presented here argue for performing RCTs of mRNA and adeno-vectored vaccines head-to-head comparing long-term effects on overall mortality.

I don't see what's so crazy in his article, doesn't seem like a gross misrepresentation of the study.

pcbro141··on CMI says 2022 had the worst second half for mortality since 2010
Sounds like as far as the mRNA vaccine, he was skeptical of the need to vaccinate young children given the extremely low COVID mortality rate in kids and concerns about myocarditis. Doesn't sound all that crazy.

It's kind of expected some people will be skeptical about such an unprecedented situation (mass lockdowns, school shutdowns, quick vaccine rollout, mRNA being a relatively new technology at scale etc). Honestly it's a good thing to have scientists who are willing to be skeptics within reason, scientists make mistakes all the time and it's good to have other scientists checking them.

Also important to remember some of what was considered 'crazy' and 'misinformation' and got people banned is now accepted as fact (like vaccines don't stop the spread, myocarditis risk etc)

https://www.salon.com/2022/12/16/why-elon-musk-and-right-win...

> Bhattacharya is expressing tacit agreement with the panel's premise that "the Biden Administration and pharmaceutical corporations continue to push widespread distribution of mRNA vaccines on the public, including children as young as 6 months old, through relentless propaganda while ignoring real-life adverse events." Bhattacharya is also agreeing to work with individuals like Florida Surgeon General Joseph A. Ladapo, who has spread misinformation about mRNA vaccines. Additionally, in May he argued the data on whether COVID-19 vaccines save lives is "surprisingly nuanced" and that it led him to believe "public health authorities should have recommended the cheaper adenovector vaccines over the mRNA vaccines all along for most patients."

pcbro141··on mRNA vaccines induce higher long-term IgG4 response versus adenovirus vaccines
tangent: but are any of you still getting boosters? Like 4th, 5th shots and stuff. Seems a lot of people gave up after the 3rd shot (1st booster).
pcbro141··on Taxpayers paying billions for the renovations and construction of NFL stadiums
Their issue is not with the athletes making lots of money alone. It's that the league is spending so much, and bringing in so much revenue, while also taking taxpayer handouts.
pcbro141··on California passes law banning Tesla from calling software FSD
> Tesla's model right now is to have a driver in the seat. They aren't trying to deploy a car without anyone in the driver seat. There's no need for them to have any license other than the one they have.

Don't they need to get past the driver in seat level to make Musk's "1 Million Robotaxis by the end of 2020" promise come true?

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/22/elon-musk-says-tesla-robotax...

pcbro141··on Twitter suspends pg's account [fixed]
Could be personal/family issues as well. Perhaps his daughter transitioning genders and disavowing him, combined with Grimes moving on to date a transgender woman triggered something inside of him to go on this crusade against the "Woke" who he blames for these things happening.
pcbro141··on Twitter suspends pg's account [fixed]
Speaking of which, Kanye, Alex Jones, and Nick Fuentes are interestingly still banned. Hard for anyone to believe Musk's free speech claim anymore.
pcbro141··on Twitter just announced to employees via email is closing offices until next Mon
Resignations over the Thursday "agree to hardcore mode" deadline.

Verge reporter: "Story to be updated soon with more: Am hearing that several “critical” infra engineering teams at Twitter have completely resigned. “You cannot run Twitter without this team,” one current engineer tells me of one such group. Also, Twitter has shut off badge access to its offices."

https://twitter.com/alexeheath/status/1593399683086327808

pcbro141··on Meta Is Preparing to Notify Employees of Large-Scale Layoffs This Week
TikTok is not a copy of Facebook. The fact Facebook/Meta/Instagram is trying desperately to copy them is proof of that.
pcbro141··on Musk’s inner circle worked through weekend to cement Twitter layoff plans
Well he did basically have to be forced to actually buy it.
pcbro141··on Ask HN: What Happened to the Reddit IPO?
The stock market started declining.
pcbro141··on Granting Pardon for the Offense of Simple Possession of Marijuana
Note: The vast majority of people arrested for marijuana possession are not charged Federally. This only applies to the Federal charges specified, Biden can't do anything about the State level charges most people are charged with.

Just noting for non-American readers.

pcbro141··on Fake Men on Hinge
I agree, but

None of the men I talk to in real life have the experiences I see men complaining about online

This is dismissing all the complaints of men. Not all the complaints men have are baseless. This dismissive mindset of declaring every complaint men have as black pill/extremist/incel is probably why young men are gravitating to more extreme 'red pill' characters like Andrew Tate by the tens of millions. This is what happens when you dismiss any chance for nuanced and balanced conversations where both sides grievances are heard.

pcbro141··on Fake Men on Hinge
Well I guess that settles it. All the tens of millions of men having issues with dating don't exist in real life since you haven't personally met them.
pcbro141··on Fake Men on Hinge
The raw male perspective on modern dating is rarely featured in mainstream media. The only place to get men's perspective on modern dating is basically 'red pill' type of content, which is unfortunate. Most journalists are women, and quite frankly in most of their dating columns they don't seem too interested in understanding male perspectives on the frustrations of modern dating (unless it's to bash extremist incel/red pill types). I can't recall reading many mainstream media dating articles sympathetic to men's frustrations with modern dating, you can find plenty sympathetic to women's frustrations though.
pcbro141··on Fake Men on Hinge
Same thing with Tinder and their multiple tiers, multiple types of boosts, multiple types of Super Likes. All these dating apps exploit desperate men.

The truth is if you're not already getting a decent amount of likes on the standard tier, there's no point paying for 10 boosts like that will change your attractiveness.

pcbro141··on Immigration accounts for over 94% of Canada’s population growth in Q2 of 2022
Most likely aggrieved the immigrants are nonwhite and spouting Great Replacement Theory. I just wanted to see if they were brave enough to say it.
pcbro141··on Immigration accounts for over 94% of Canada’s population growth in Q2 of 2022
Are immigrants mostly just leeching benefits and not contributing to building Canadian society? Based on what facts do you come to this conclusion?

Has immigration historically played a role in building the exquisite Canadian society you speak of?

pcbro141··on Immigration accounts for over 94% of Canada’s population growth in Q2 of 2022
> Replacement?

What exactly is your question? Could be interpreted a number of ways.

pcbro141··on San Francisco braces for commercial real estate crash
Brazil's murder rate is ~10x SF.
pcbro141··on Has tiktok_us been breached?
This looks like user data: https://twitter.com/AggressiveCurl/status/156617369684225638...
pcbro141··on The toll of dating app burnout
These mainstream media articles on dating seem to almost always be completely absent of a man's perspective. Typically focused entirely on the woman's perspective.
pcbro141··on The toll of dating app burnout
Is it just me or are most of these mainstream media dating articles written from a woman's perspective? I rarely see mainstream media discussing the struggles of modern dating from a straight man's perspective.
pcbro141··on A16Z Substantially Invests in New Adam Neumann Real Estate Startup
He turned $22 billion in funding into $4 billion valuation. That doesn't take much talent lol.
pcbro141··on Kanye West's Stem Player – An engineering disaster
He's literally a multi-billionaire from his taste and vision (Yeezy fashion, music production).
pcbro141··on We could have universal Covid vaccines soon
This specific vaccine doesn't stop the spread especially of the current dominant variants (still seeing plenty of spread among vaccinated people in ~90% vaccinated populations), so the comparison to drunk driving (putting other people at risk) is poor.

This is specific to the current covid vaccines. It's a valid point for highly effective vaccines like the polio vaccine which should be mandatory.

pcbro141··on Andrej Karpathy leaves Tesla
It’s a scam when you’re taking people’s money for it and it doesn’t exist and keep extending the release date.
pcbro141··on Ask HN: Recommended crash courses in web UI design (30 minutes or less)
https://www.refactoringui.com/

Commonly highly recommended UI book. From skimming the preview it looks good and practical. You have the taste of knowing when things don't look right, the book shows you why it doesn't look right and how to improve it with examples.

pcbro141··on Ask HN: How to remember technical topics which you don’t use/refer everyday?
Anki spaced repetition software
pcbro141··on How This Ends
Overpaid based on what?
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