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pclowes

1,037 karma · joined November 30, 2024

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pclowes··on RAM prices are forcing companies to choose higher prices, worse specs, or both
RAM prices experiencing a spike due to a demand shock is not shrinkflation. Its a single COGS line item not a broad increase across all line items.

Note: some single item shocks can lead to broad inflation (eg: oil) but that effect takes awhile to play out.

pclowes··on Ti-84 Evo
Good point, my understanding of a cubic function in 02 was totally stunted by the processor speed…
pclowes··on Ti-84 Evo
IIRC You don’t use them in the dumb kids class much, you use them a fair amount in the sort of smart class, and you don’t use them much in the actually smart class.
pclowes··on Ti-84 Evo
75” 4k OLED screens would have been unobtainable when I first used a TI.

10yrs ago they would have been 4 to 5 figures.

Now they are what? A couple hundred?

How in the world is a TI graphing calculator still $160? These 30yr old calculator chips apparently hold their value like gold…

pclowes··on UK to permanently ban future generations from buying cigarettes
The Prohibition was actually very effective and reasonable. Especially considering the rampant alcoholism of the time.

Also, Singapore seems to have conclusively won the war on drugs. I would not mind those policies in San Francisco.

pclowes··on A Man Who Invented the Future
Agree, I felt initial discomfort reading it because it goes against the grain of the simplistic technical style that is most of hacker news. Surprised it got to the front page.
pclowes··on A Man Who Invented the Future
Interesting article. Assumes a fair amount of background knowledge of the reader that may not be reasonable and definitely has a unique style.

It is interesting that many of the comments critique it for being meandering, lacking in utility. I think the author is talented enough to write it that way intentionally. Its oblique direction and far flung references help make the point. The reactions against this style made the argument more compelling.

> that same positivism was leading less to liberation than to disenchantment, smashing the sacred icons and reducing the world to what can be instrumentalized, commodified, and calculated

pclowes··on Refuse to let your doctor record you
I don’t necessarily disagree with you here. However, there is a timing concern. Training doctors takes too long and the boomers are aging now.
pclowes··on Refuse to let your doctor record you
The economics of medical school cost, time, and capped residency spots (some would argue this is price-fixing with artificial scarcity) make it hard to just “make more doctors”. Combine this with a highly litigious society that always demands a full doctor (when for 90% of things an NP or PA would do) plus inverted population pyramid all exacerbate the problem.

We need more doctors now and it takes 12 years to make a doctor and by then the boomer cohorts aging and medical needs will peak.

Finally, even if we could do that, the top of the funnel candidate is substantially weaker with lower test scores and higher need for remedial classes. And for the good candidates, the ROI of medical school is not as good as it once was.

pclowes··on Refuse to let your doctor record you
I understand the concerns and I am not sure I would allow myself to be recorded until I knew more.

However, I do think we are in a situation where everybody knows that healthcare costs need to come down that doctors and medical professionals are spread too thin, forced to see evermore patients in the same number of hours, and yet for every attempt to improve efficiency there is a “no, not that way“ response.

pclowes··on It's time to reclaim the word "Palantir" for JRR Tolkien
Look at revenue per employee. Revenue growth year over year. Margin etc. then just look into any command center, 90% of screens are displaying Palantir software.
pclowes··on It's time to reclaim the word "Palantir" for JRR Tolkien
Very small workforce (~3k) for a fortune 500, much higher than consulting margins. One of if not the single largest AWS customer. Only software company that is also a defense prime. Also their software is has some rough edges but is very powerful. Nobody else really offers what they do.
pclowes··on It's time to reclaim the word "Palantir" for JRR Tolkien
> which is a database consultingware company and a JV version of Oracle in all the senses we care about

Are you sure about this? I would kick the tires on that theory a bit.

pclowes··on California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget
I think there are mistakes and then there are mistakes.

There is a point where the postmortem needs to stop being blameless.

Getting things like this wrong is an existential risk to a important institution. We can’t be genuinely concerned about lost faith in institutions and also not hold them to the highest levels of accountability.

pclowes··on I don't want your PRs anymore
This isn’t about the PR. This is about the back-and-forth.

If the maintainer authors every PR they don’t have to waste time talking with other people about their PR.

pclowes··on California has more money than projected after admin miscalculated state budget
This is wild. A mistake of this magnitude should result in several positions becoming vacant and many politicians being ineligible for any future offices.

If a government can’t budget accurately everything else they do is likely even less competent. Every number and statistic they report should be treated with suspicion. Without clear data who is to say they are doing anything helpful at all?

pclowes··on I don't want your PRs anymore
Merging code
pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
Just stumbled across this: https://www.latimes.com/opinion/story/2026-04-16/debunking-a...
pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
I am doubtful here (but eager to see data that says otherwise)

- The US median per capita income is quite high (top 2 or 3 globally IIRC). In light of that and the stat that the bottom 40% don’t pay federal income tax makes me think the tax brackets are already fairly progressive vs thinking the lower 40% is especially low earning.

- Additionally income inequality has been decreasing in recent years with lower percentile income earners increases outpacing even the relatively high inflation.

- I agree we should revert back to some policies.

- I don’t think there is much hoarding of capital, most high earners invest heavily.

pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
I think we can debate on how progressive (in terms of as you earn more you pay more) the US tax brackets should be. They are already fairly progressive relative to peer nations.

However, I am skeptical that higher taxes or just taxing the rich or high earners more will solve the deficit or government efficiency issues.

Also I disagree with 90% of income should pay 90% of taxes. People who are better capital allocators than the government should be incentivized to allocate over paying taxes.

pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
That’s not the point the point is to illustrate that right now for every tax payer 20% of every dollar collected is spent on interest. Not even on the principal just on the interest expense.
pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
1. I am not a boomer.

2. Do you think an ageist ad hominem improves your argument?

3. What even is your argument? That in this contrived hypothetical the person in question is making a “shitload” and that somehow invalidates that 20% of EVERY tax dollar collected is used to just pay interest on debt (not even principal, just interest)

pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
Yes, IRS SOI tables. https://www.irs.gov/statistics/soi-tax-stats-individual-stat...

You can find high-level summaries from various websites, but they might have a bias eg: taxfoundation

pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
I would need more data here. The US is highly solvent because of the global dollar as well as being a hegemonic military superpower.
pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
Yes, both parties have objectively failed their mandate to look after the long-term interest of the American people and instead focused on short-term wasteful policies focused on their own party goals.

Governments that consistently make bad choices eventually die one way or the other.

pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
They are almost all also going bankrupt. Also, those governments may be efficient but the US is not. You do not get a more efficient government by making it larger.
pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
Put another way if your tax rate is 33% and you had to pay the government first.

Then every dollar you earn goes to the government until May 1.

In this scenario if you have to pay govt interest expense first then almost every dollar earned in January would go to paying the debt.

We are spending almost an entire month of everyone’s salary, not on providing anything of value but merely on paying for previous overspending.

pclowes··on America will come to regret its war on taxes
We developed chronic overspending habits when interest rates were historically low. This made servicing the debt cheap and deficit spending reasonable. Why wouldn’t the government borrow at 0.14% (!!!) with GDP growth at say 3-4%.

Now the math doesn’t work with a federal fund rate of 4-5%. And now as our debt rolls over it gets refinanced at the higher rates. Debt servicing is roughly 20% of the government budget and will soon be 25-35% in ~10 years assuming we don’t further accelerate deficit spending (which seems unlikely).

US govt needs to cut dramatically to avoid this and the otherwise likely “solution” otherwise is inflation to make the debt effectively less expensive which also raises interest rates.

We can’t tax our way out of this. Only 60% of US households earn enough to pay federal income tax. The top 1% of earners already pay roughly half of all tax revenue, top 10% is roughly 75%. Furthermore, there is profligate waste in government, inefficiency, no matter where the taxes came from even if we could materialize them.

The government needs to shrink dramatically. This type of change is best done gradually but immediately to avoid later shocks (eg: Medicare suddenly disappears)

pclowes··on Where did my taxes go?
I did not know this, really puts a perspective on it, thanks
pclowes··on Where did my taxes go?
More and more I find my politics drifting towards whoever will balance the budget and pay down the deficit.

Since that party doesn’t exist I am politically homeless.

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