pdog

Mark Spitznagel, a cofounder of Empirica (Taleb's old fund), went on to start Universa which did pretty well with similar theories (tail-risk strategies and insurance via options against extreme market risk) in both the 2008-2009 period and last year, when they booked a huge return. So there's some evidence that the theories work to produce uncorrelated (or negatively correlated) returns that outperform the market[1].

[1]: Universa's flagship "Black Swan Protection Protocol" fund has produced a mean annual return on invested capital of 76% since the firm was created in 2008. https://www.forbes.com/sites/antoinegara/2020/04/13/how-a-go...

Since when has not knowing something been justification for intervention?

Given that people have been getting sick from COVID-19 for at least as long as vaccines have been available for testing, shouldn't experts have a reasonable understanding of whether previously infected people are as protected as recently vaccinated people, or how often (or rare) it is that people can be infected with the virus again?

Which stock broker app lets you deposit in Bitcoin? Or withdraw your Bitcoin to your own address?

For $7 a year you can host a website that's accessible from anywhere in the world. Things are better not worse.

Tesla scaling electric vehicle and battery production by 60% CAGR for a decade doesn't seem too ridiculous when you put it that way. And that doesn't factor in new products. Look at Apple in 2007.

If you're convinced Tesla is vastly overpriced, you should prove it by shorting the stock or buying put options.

Betting against Elon Musk has been a terrible move up until now, but if you really think the stock is overvalued, you're probably better off simply not owning it. If you're still concerned about its inclusion in the S&P 500, you can buy an S&P 500 index fund and short just enough Tesla stock to exclude it, or buy a different index fund that doesn't include it.

Here are some of her recommendations:

* Lite should be called Free and it should be lower on the Pricing page compared to the paid plans.

* Paid plans should segment customers by value.

* Premium and Pro plans can be combined into one Premium plan for $29 per month minimum.

* Enterprise pricing should be on request ("Call Us") or $249 per month minimum.

* You should be price testing via list offers.

https://www.aljazeera.com/gallery/2016/10/26/kolkatas-age-ol...

I tried reading the article, but I gave up after twenty or so emojis. They're attention-grabbing for no reason.

There's something seriously off-putting about so many emojis in an article written by an adult. It's like the author doesn't even care about his own writing.

The median stock actually performs worse than short-term treasury bills. In other words, cash is a better investment than most companies.

In fact, if the exemplary tools of resistance are lasers and traffic cones, it sounds like the system is well on its way to being perfected.

What was the reporting like and how has it changed?

It feels like the entire media is always trying to highlight the next systemic failure. "This is wrong." "This failed." "We don't have enough ventilators." "New York cases are surging." "California cases are surging." "We don't have enough PPE." "We don't have hand sanitizer." "We don't have masks." "We don't have enough tests."

Are things actually this consistently bad, or does the media magnify the negative and ignore the positive developments (of which there are plenty)?

It's like the difference between acute inflammation (which is good for the body when it's fighting an infection) and chronic inflammation (which causes a lot of problems).

The key person to think about is the reader.

People generally read only one screen and SELDOM read more than two screens. (A screen typically is around 300 words.)

A long story on a complicated topic can save readers time if it replaces the need to read a lot of short ones.

Readers either want to have a quick piece of information or something that justifies the longer read.

A good rule of thumb is that stories should either be shorter than 400 words or longer than 900.

Taking 700 words or 800 words to make a single point will just annoy readers.

Keep it short. Think of the reader.

The state of the art in the browser was jQuery and ES5. CoffeeScript was mature and stable. The Express framework and Node.js 0.8 were perfect for server-side JavaScript.

It was blazing fast, unopinionated, and minimal. It's too bad it didn't last.

On a cold morning this winter, Rogulja leaned over a tablet in her office, her close-cropped dark hair framing a face of elfin intensity...

To answer your question, there can be an economic interest in claiming a competitor treatment (which is generic and manufactured cheaply) doesn't work.

Our brains used to compete for scarce calories and nutrition, but now we can vastly increase these things with little to no downside.

There is no scientific distinction between food, drugs, and nutrients. They're all molecules. All that matters is the dosage.