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phjohnst

330 karma · joined May 21, 2010

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phjohnst··on Marco Arment: The new MacBook Air
That's funny, I was having a conversation with a friend last week about how neither of us ever use the keyboard backlight. Cool to see that someone actually does!
phjohnst··on Google Instant Search Released
Marissa Mayer apparently said: "Sometime in the next few months this is something that will be activated in the browsers"

via: http://techcrunch.com/2010/09/08/google-instant-chrome/

phjohnst··on Why is a bag of weed always $10 (man)?
Actually, inflation would raise prices. Given the figures cited in the article, $10 in 1980 should give something like $20-25 now based on the US CPI. Thats precisely why it's interesting - the real (vs nominal) price has actually fallen since 1980.

And then you're right, basic supply and demand theory would suggest that supply growth has outpaced demand growth over the same period (and by a rate about the same as the inflation rate to keep nominal prices constant). But why? loosening regulation/enforcement is mostly on the demand side, I would say. It's probably getting easier to grow higher quality pot (more information readily accessible, better equipment, mobility, economies of scale, etc). The overall market likely behaves perfectly competitively (its a commodity, no single dealer could charge more per unit of 'high' without losing business). So, perfect competition with supply growth = lower real prices.

phjohnst··on Staying Healthy and Sane At a Startup
A thousand times yes. Having water at hand and always sipping is a really great way to tame hunger and oral fixations, and is great for your body to be flushing itself out.

I find that tea doesn't give me as much of a high as coffee, but it lasts longer without any come-down. Awesome.

phjohnst··on Staying Healthy and Sane At a Startup
This is a great article, very useful ideas.

I think that the last point he makes is probably the most valuable and one that I only just learned, that is to not worry if you miss a workout or two, or if you have that cake on the weekend every once in a while. I always used to set myself a very strict plan for whatever I was trying to do, and inevitably whenever I fell off I would feel like I failed and wouldn't be able to get back to it. I've recently started taking a more relaxed approach to my 'goals' and I feel like I've made much more progress, as long as the trend is in the right direction you're good to go.

phjohnst··on Steve Jobs "never had any designs. He has not designed a single project"
I actually had dinner with a well-known hedge fund manager a few months ago and while talking about Blackberries and iPhones, he mentioned "that nobody has ever got rich betting against Steve Jobs"

Sums it up for me pretty well.

phjohnst··on Steve Jobs "never had any designs. He has not designed a single project"
Also good to note is Andy Hertzfeld's account of "Black Wednesday" in February 1981 when Raskin was fired and Hertzfeld given his desk.

The book was published in 1986, which would probably mean that the interview was done after he was fired by Jobs. Certainly reinforces the warning to take Raskin's word, too, with a grain of salt.

http://folklore.org/StoryView.py?project=Macintosh&story...

phjohnst··on Ask HN: When are you allowed to quit a startup?
So two programmers and the company would already have 4 levels of hierarchy? No thanks.

Says something about their idea of a 'business'

phjohnst··on Why the iPhone will fail (2007)
I'd be curious to know, a few years on now, what type of phone he's using.

I'd have to say that as far as simplicity, iOS seems to be the leader right now (maybe not the most powerful/customizable though), in comparison to RIM/Android.

phjohnst··on Why the iPhone will fail (2007)
Exactly. My iPad hung a little yesterday and didn't do anything when I hit a button. I had, in fact, pressed the button, but there was no visual feedback. It's startling when it's not perfect, but when it works just so it doesn't really matter that it's not tactile feedback, it's that your brain gets the message that "yes, I just did x-action"
phjohnst··on The first step is to start
I love this. I've been trained as an accountant, so the bookkeeping, legal, sales side feels like a breeze. Its the 'I have to build something awesome' that cripples me!

Only reinforces the point of the article. Like he said at the end: "In fact, the projects where there is doubt are the ones to pursue." Those projects are different for everyone, you just have to jump in.

phjohnst··on Foursquare iPhone app now supports SSL
I haven't had a chance to check re: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1623482 but this could be good hole fixed, especially since so many users undoubtedly use the same password everywhere.
phjohnst··on DuckDuckGo on This Week in Startups
Agreed. I cant handle anything with Calcanis, but a chance to listen to Gabriel Weinberg is always worthwhile.
phjohnst··on What happens when you give homeless people a prepaid credit card.
Yeah, in Ontario the LCBO sells wine/liquor, and then The Beer Store sells, well, beer/coolers/etc.
phjohnst··on What happens when you give homeless people a prepaid credit card.
Totally agree with this. Spend a year out east and all of the homeless people there get a seriously rough deal all winter. I cannot actually comprehend how anyone survives it.

Living in Vancouver though, it seems that everyone that could get some form of transportation has ended up here or in Victoria; it certainly feels disproportionate to the population/economy.

phjohnst··on Apple's attention to detail
Interesting, I had definitely not heard that. The name that I thought was passed around regularly was Tim Cook.

I'd have to think that letting the design guy worry about design would probably be the better route, rather than clouding with all of the other business decisions and realities in a major way

phjohnst··on No, You can't retire rich at 30 if you sell your startup
- Any time/money trade-off

Exactly! It is surprisingly easy to buy something in a store instead of ordering from Amazon and waiting, for +20%, or taking a cab home instead of the subway/bus, or hiring a weekly cleaning service, or buying nicer ingredients and eating out at nicer places because it's convenient, or, ...

Its all the little things in life that really make your experience better and allow you to do the things you want to be doing, not the big ticket items that people traditionally associate with wealth. I think that that is what FYM is all about, really

phjohnst··on Foursquare iPhone app sends passwords in plain text, don't use
Exactly... I guess this is just another lesson that security of a network (in this case meaning all the different services we use) is only as strong as the weakest link. Certainly not going to be firing up the foursquare app for a while
phjohnst··on Foursquare iPhone app sends passwords in plain text, don't use
Yeah, I have a hard time believing that this is accurate. Definitely scary if true, but I would like to put my faith in Foursquare having checked this box a long time ago.

Also: why, after millions of checkins over public networks, is this only coming up now? Surely someone would have got burned by this by now?

phjohnst··on Is a Crash Coming? Reasons to Be Cautious
Exactly! I think that there is a rather substantial silver lining to major change, in that it forces people that would otherwise not have to/not have the guts to, go out and do what they want, like start a company or follow a passion (hopefully not mutually exclusive). That is ultimately where growth is going to come from. Assuming relative stability, the cost of trying something new falls dramatically in bad times.
phjohnst··on Is a Crash Coming? Reasons to Be Cautious
Indeed, but remember that there as long as the collectors don't come knocking, whether or not you can pay at any one moment is irrelevant. In this case, it would take China calling in its US loans to adversely affect the States' ability to maintain, and even extend their levels of debt. For various reasons (the least of which is not that the US is the largest importer of goods from China) this isn't likely to happen. At worst China just moves away from holding US Dollars and more reasonably distributes its holdings worldwide. This will likely move the dollar lower, but is unlike to cause any long-term distress.
phjohnst··on Is a Crash Coming? Reasons to Be Cautious
Real vs reported means that the real numbers have been adjusted for inflation from some base year (and looking at the CPI from his data, the base year is mid 1983). The problem with looking at such a huge data set (this goes back to the late 19th century, is that the companies, industries and the world that we live in shifts significantly over time. So the 'real' numbers are extremely important, but I'd have to do some more research to find out how his CPI calculations change from one era to another. This is important because (to the best of my knowledge) there is nothing that says that the P/E ratio of a major industrial company in the 30s (thinking like Rockefeller, etc.) is equivalent to that of a big tech company now. So as industries change, investment attitudes, etc. change, which will affect the overall P/E.

And as far as the market being expensive in relation to historics, again you have to compare apples with apples. There are more people investing now than 50 years ago, and there are more big companies. Both of these facts will drive up the price of the mainstream companies' shares.

phjohnst··on Is a Crash Coming? Reasons to Be Cautious
Pretty much, yeah.

A bunch of my friends are traders, and it seems that the consensus right now is that as far as the stock market is concerned, nobody knows where this is going (either way), and is scared to take any real position (that's why volatility has been up lately, volumes are down (and not just because it's August).

My take is that we're most likely headed for a period of Japan-like stagnation. There are huge structural employment issues in developed countries to take care of, properties are likely very much underwater for many homeowners that do still have jobs in the US, and governments are taking the knee-jerk reaction to the stimulus needed in 08/09 by introducing austerity measures, which will only serve to slow the economy further than it is at the moment. The debt levels in developed economies are still waaay too high, but there is a very real risk of taking the crutches away before the economy can walk again (hence Bernanke returning to easing measures: he sees the writing on the wall).

So, while governments worldwide go about trying to tackle the debt problem, growth will slow and there will be little job creation in many sectors. But the real change has to come from the people learning that, fundamentally, they can only spend what they earn, and that debt is not a bottomless pit.

phjohnst··on Google, Just Cut The BS And Give The Gordon Gekko Speech Already
I think this is spot on. The problem here isnt that Google did what it did, it's that they shouted about it for the other side for so long, and then switched teams. The same thing with China. If you're going to take a hard stance on something, then do it and people will respect it for you. But Google is turning into all talk and no walk, and walking straight into the next Microsoft.

If they had just said from the beginning that they were out for their own interest (just like everyone else), and not tried to play the good guy even when it would hurt them, then nobody would be surprised by this.

phjohnst··on Ask HN: What is the best city to start a start-up in Europe?
I'd definitely say London, purely for that fact that it has many of the same things that make Silicon Valley so appealing: a (relatively) thriving tech community, especially around the Old St area, it's close to VCs, there's lots of networking events, conferences, etc. Only downside is cost of living, which has frankly been overemphasized here. NY is just as expensive, and theres a pretty sweet scene there...

London for sure.

phjohnst··on Valedictorian Speaks Out Against Schooling in Graduation Speech
But why? You can develop grit by doing things that really suck, but ultimately get you somewhere you want to go, or that leads to some sort of innovation down the line. But to force people to do things that are completely unrelated to what they want to do in life, just for the sake of doing it, is a huge waste of time.

You gain grit by doing things that need to be done, hopefully in pursuit of some greater goal (more than likely, just getting paid). Not by for-the-hell-of-it forced work. That just turns you off everything.

phjohnst··on O'Reilly is selling any eBook for $9.99 today
You get free updates on eBooks, eh
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