There's going to be a question about the expected probability of this across cloud service providers.
I've done security work for multiple cloud service providers and know a lot of people in the industry. I'm not really privy to give details.
I can say: dev teams face limits on what they can build securely, platform teams face limits on what secure by default and monitoring features they have time to implement, security operations teams have a lot of data points to look at, and in theory even changes in personnel in a couple of teams can have an impact on the threat posture for a given set of a company.
People are trying. But if you do the math for introduction of attack surface over time versus risk mitigation effort over time for that attack surface you can derive some estimates for likelihood of attack.
If your cloud provider isn't providing you that data as a customer, it's not simple to make a determination about likelihood of risk introduction and breach of your cloud provider.
This hasn't really been something people talk about because there was a tacit assumption that the biggest companies are mostly getting this right.
I'm not trying to say the cloud is inherently broken, I run a lot of workloads in the cloud and trust sensitive data to the cloud. But I do wish there were better ways for customers to have data points with which they could evaluate platforms besides extrapolating the history of public breach reports.