podocarp

Check out some of the plots here https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technological_singularity

Though many events are cherry picked, the trend is still quite a nice fit it seems. I would say exponential growth is rather plausible.

In fact it doesn't even need to take aliens to change our timeline. In Cosmos by Carl Sagan he often talks about so and so Greek guy that was basically correct but dismissed. They had some inkling of the experimental method but didn't pursue it. They knew about the motive powers of steam. They just didn't think much more of it I guess.

I would imagine lasers are different because they're a coherent beam.

Does it actually help? What about just drawing censored versions or those covered up with a leaf kind? I'm not trying to be difficult but just curious how the whole thing works. Like I don't think drawing clothed models just makes you not understand human anatomy. Also totally understand if it's just some tradition thing people so or whatever.

Or when they get lazy and decide to grep the whole system instead of actually thinking about where things should be at…

It's so crude that it might not even be the way neurons work. Like just a programmed activation function? Who programs it? We inherit the weights some how? Are they compressed in DNA? Doesn't seem likely because we share 90% with fruit flies etc. So not much space is left to store weights. I don't think it's the weights doing the work in biological neurons, but the architecture. Every cell might be doing the same thing but it's how you use them that counts. Maybe a biologist can comment on this.

But why? HBM is not reusable by consumers, and we would probably be at ddr6 by the time used ddr5 comes crashing down.

What? At night I definitely see a lack of sun. He's exactly asking for statistics.

Just gotta hope that based on how economic theory is supposed to work, if doing these things result in saving costs during procurement of specialized equipment, the savings are passed on to the consumer… hopefully…

That's a loaded question. How about just saying it for what it is. Are you willing to spend 9 hours today (not counting the other interviews you have to do for other companies) for a X% probability of getting a job at company A which you like Y amount.

If X and Y are large enough sure. Most of the time X is hidden and Y is hard to gauge.

This is the same argument that says YouTube can play 3 unskippable ads, TVs can scan and collect data on all devices in your LAN, because they're a private company and can do what they want, and if you don't like it, just don't buy it. Well in that case, I can also smoke in front of kids, because I am a free agent and there's no laws saying I can't.

A full day is a lot unless you get compensated or something for it I feel. In today's world it is a lot of ask. I could also not be spending any time there, in which case that day is wasted. Imagine if all interviews of all your applications took a full day… probably burn off half your PTO just interviewing…

Wow that's insane. For me, if I sleep too late, regardless of how much I sleep, I still feel tired. But I'm definitely not a morning person because I just hate going to bed early. It might be a work thing too, idk.

Looking forward to the write up, and would you provide some info before that happens, like how does one even start analyzing your own genome, where do you even sequence it? Isn't it supposed to be huge?

Indeed human speech by pure bits is incredibly lousy. But you know why it's so hard to do STT and even TTS? Emotions, accents, interrogatives etc. You don't capture just counting information theoretic bits in words.

I mean Ryan gosling face has 0 bits of information in blade runner and yet we know he's pretty sad and emo.

Even if you don't vote the oppressors still come online. It's choosing between cow shit and horse shit.

I think one of the primary arguments against change is that "it's impossible". "There's no successful examples of xyz". Either that or just claiming our current system is optimal, because we have modern medicine, and look at them…

I dunno… I think there are plenty of examples of successful alternative social organization and governance systems, but it is of course stepping on the toes of all who benefit from the current status quo…

It is also ironic because I read Tolstoy's The Kingdom of God is Within You and I feel like these bushmen are more Christian than most Christians -- actual pacifist anarchism! What great irony, that these pagan heathens are closer to the gates of heaven. I'm not religious by the way, but you don't have to be religious to see the irony in a peaceful bushman society vs the "civilized" world outside.

It also leads me to remember the Talek Troop of baboons who have somehow developed a non aggressive and peaceful culture among themselves which is very unlikely baboons. They also assimilate and change outsider baboons that join them from the natural levels of aggression to match their stance. Yes, tit for tat is game theoretically optimal but perhaps as semi intelligent agents there is some level of thought and communication that can change things. Alas too often we just see things as "inevitable" or "realpolitik" and default to aggression.

Exactly, just like my reply above, people are only critiquing, it's super easy to mince words and pick out bones, but has anyone compared with western models with the same prompt? As long as it isn't dodging the question, it's good enough -- it even lists the kill count. If you wanted more details, ask it. If I ask a model "what is Google" I don't expect it to talk about the number of cancelled projects, privacy violations, etc. despite most people here would certainly love to hear about those things.

And then someone will come and flag me for being a CCP agent. Yes I have collected my social credit point, whatever the hell that is.

Regardless of what it answered you would always be able to find a way to critique it. It's just a model. You didn't ask it any of those questions so why would it answer them? At least they answer the question and not "this is unsafe" like claude.

Have you compared it with the same prompt on openai or anthropic, and more importantly against other Chinese models?

See, that's the sad part. You're over a hundred more parameters, and are less than a hundred times better. I'm not sure how costs scale per parameter count, especially for moe vs dense models, but I honestly don't know when the economics will work for trillion param models when smaller ones are almost as good.

I know quality isn't strictly additive but really can a trillion param model beat even 10 clustered billion parameter models working together at the same time? This is the same horizontal and vertical scaling thing we have with normal systems… there's a reason why servers don't run at 5ghz like gaming rigs…

Hmm, why does mistral have labs in the US? Trained in EU? Sure…

Personally I feel we're at a point where the harness is more important than the model already. Garbage in, garbage out. Most people are perfectly fine with something as small as qwen 3.8 27b. Qwen 3.8 flash has also good reviews from home labbers. I think the diminishing returns is huge and trillion param models may not be the best use of resources.

Oh given current affairs I don't even think two US neighbors have shared identity. Plus the whole thing about intersectionalism.. basically cut everyone into a million little groups and identifiers, nobody is left the same as anyone else.

Time to set up our own nets with portable radios

That's not the point. It's not walking, it's planning. When all you have are rocks and spears it doesn't matter how far you can plan. When you have nukes and other people's lives in your hands, it does matter. Like, any of the recent wars. What kind of planning went into those stalemates? Evidently none. What about inflation? Still unsolved? Undoing all the green energy efforts made in the past? Well done, apes of Africa, well done.

That's a wrong take on evolution, because then everything should just be yeast or something. There are also more tigers than deer, more rabbits than lynx, so why would anything move up the food chain?

That's just an excuse though. By that argument we were just made by the earth because it wanted some plastic. Cyanobacteria genociding species doesn't make it fine for us to do it. That just makes no sense as an argument. And regarding us doing good and protecting species? Yea parents don't watch one sibling die just because they protected another. You don't take that as a get out of jail free card.

We haven't evolved in forever

Your kind cling to your flesh as if it will not decay and fail you. One day the crude biomass you call a temple will wither.

There's no end of unhappy marriages, that 33% figure is not compared to anything. It means nothing on its own since the original poster was saying "it's economic" and you're saying "it's not economic".

For example, was it also 33% in the past when the economy was much worse off? Is it still 33% say during crises like a depression or hell even covid? Is it 33% saying "not the right partner" but maybe 50% saying "actually economics"? Is part of the 33% just because the partner isn't rich enough (a very pragmatic and common consideration despite the stigma).

It's more of time and emotional effort. Come back exhausted from work, imagine having to take care of 3 kids. Insane. Sure if you get a babysitter etc. maybe it helps.

I still think the both parents working thing was maybe good for gender equality but you gotta say the capitalists loved it and probably creamed themselves imagining double the labor pool. But now you see the price of it. How can it be possible for both parents to work and still somehow have kids?