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randusername

1,087 karma · joined May 29, 2022

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randusername··on Hot coffee could cause oesophageal cancer
I agree. Sensationalizing "is correlated with increased risk of cancer" to "could cause cancer" undermines the legitimacy of the inquiry and findings and just generally makes everyone dumb.

I'm annoyed I had to go googling around for the baseline rate. At 5 per 100,000 cases of this cancer, does even a 10X increase in risk matter versus having your beverage the way you like? Maybe cut the cream and sugar first.

randusername··on Diesel prices in U.S. top $6 a gallon for first time
Lately I've been making a conscious effort to flip my coordinate system around on inflation.

Instead of tracking cost increases of fuel, I try to conceptualize prices for all things in equivalent fuel or metered energy.

The fed can overlook energy and food in their "preferred metric of inflation", but that's 90% of what I care about as an individual. Very interesting to track your purchasing power in MWh

randusername··on I have a theory that software drives people insane
My observation is simply that tech leaders misinterpret rewards from the market in conquering some abstract representation of a facet of a domain with conquering the domain itself. Then they become egomaniacal.

Did you conquer commercial real-estate ushering in the future of work and society, or did you build a handy scheduling app?

Did you have a neat idea for an online community or did you revolutionize human connection?

randusername··on Who People Talk to When They're Struggling
Much lower odds of default support on average, but not zero, and the odds are not uniform throughout all the red states or any given one.

For example, my small town in a red state was not accepting of homosexuality in general, but my church was tolerant, and my church youth group was affirming and supportive.

randusername··on Who People Talk to When They're Struggling
It's also about where you go with your struggles.

Do you go home and talk to your spouse? Do you go to church and talk with your pastor? Do you go to your therapist or to the local bar?

> Comfort with mental health care has become another facet of political sorting in the U.S.

I'm skeptical. Bars and churches and friends are way cheaper and more accessible in red states. It's hard enough to get poorer, less educated men comfortable going to the doctor, let alone a therapist.

randusername··on Show HN: The same nine streaming subscriptions cost $702/year more than in 2021
Price increases are tolerated if the value increases. Even rent-seeking is tolerated if the value is relatively stable. But what we have here is value proposition decreasing from fragmentation and shallow content and increasingly intrusive targeted ads while the prices keep going up.

We traded one annoying cable company for dozens.

randusername··on iPhone Duo
It's a vague ick.

Both parent and child are now mediating their experience through technology with the parent blaring recognizable intellectual property at the child to psychologically manipulate them into a better photo.

randusername··on iPhone Duo
Well "kid cue" is pretty uncomfortable for some reason
randusername··on What will our economic future look like?
The whole idea that AI will usher in this utopia where workers in healthcare are able to realign their primary job functions with obvious value creation by sweeping all the paperwork under the rug is just silly.

It will just fester out of sight and out of mind: audit bots and compliance bots and malpractice bots and insurance bots will arms race creating such a mess it will become unfixable.

randusername··on Ok, but does it scale?
I had a coworker that would always ask this, like a javelin thrown in the bicycle spokes of every demo.

We hoped for tens of users.

randusername··on Wendell Berry has died
Surely there is an agreeable third option between life-and-death subsistence farming and spiritually/ecologically/gustatorily desolate conglomerate monocrop agriculture.

Food literally grows on trees.

randusername··on How accurate have Ed Zitron's AI skeptic predictions been?
> I think that is tied to the general trend that people see themselves as far less replaceable than others.

What if (almost) everyone is right, that their work really is more difficult to automate than others realize?

This could be the lesser minds problem. Based on it I am doubtful most knowledge workers are as immediately replaceable as everyone suspects.

randusername··on Evidence of Fraud in an Influential Study About Procrastination
Science as a monolithic institution is a trap.

We ought to be able to trust the public with complex realities and contradictions. The scientific method and dogged researchers have brought us many wonderful things, but at the same time fraud happens and the layman might reasonably question to what extent the academy attracts fraudsters and to what extent it creates them.

If we can get over the absolutes then we can discuss policy changes.

Graduate student collective bargaining is one experiment; how can anyone blow a whistle on malfeasance with such an extraordinary and widening power imbalance?

randusername··on Reverse engineering my ADHD test
I did a similar test and it came back neurotypical.

Given the overlap between ADHD and video games, I'm not convinced of the accuracy. It felt like a lame rhythm minigame to me.

I don't think the research is solid, my guess is these tests are convenient for insurance and liability paperwork since stimulants are controlled substances.

randusername··on No country for mediocre mathematicians
> We're all frustration addicts. We just want to bang our heads against problems we don't yet know how to solve.

I've been tapering off AI lately. I think I've realized that conquering the struggle is the fun part, and accomplishments just don't hit the same if AI is smoothing over every friction and cordoning off all the pitfalls and rabbit-holes.

randusername··on GUIs should be fully keyboard-driven
fully keyboard-driven is a high bar, I'd settle for prioritizing the most common actions for keyboard shortcuts.

I would love a return to function keys. You get 12, make 'em count.

randusername··on Nvidia agrees to acquire Hugging Face for $13B
You're probably right. It was mostly hyperbole, but the older I get the more I think hyperbole does eventually come to pass in situations like this. It's gradual, though, not all at once.
randusername··on Asahi Linux Progress Report: Linux 7.2
Yeah, I'm optimistic we're getting really close to "forever laptops" once competing hardware catches up on efficiency.

What do I need any higher specs for, other than battery life?

randusername··on Nvidia agrees to acquire Hugging Face for $13B
Grim prediction:

"Quantized models are no longer permitted on the Hugging Face platform. Reduced precision models are a safety hazard and a violation of our TOS. Click here to speak with a sales representative about our many exciting cloud hosting offerings or enterprise GPU packages."

randusername··on Bill Gates: The turbulent AI era is here
It is a well known physical property of lawn rakes that one end is heavier than the other, as opposed to evidence my neighbor is abusive in hitting me with one over and over.
randusername··on U.S. gov't moves to suppress pushback on data centers
How naive I was to hope that the strain data centers will place on the electric grid would spur very big, very public investment in renewable energy and nuclear.

Somebody has to realize that gas turbines are backordered to the 2030s meanwhile the ROI on solar is getting impossible to ignore.

randusername··on Where did all the public bathrooms go?
So what's the answer? Where did they all go and why?

Was the takeaway supposed to be "public bathroom" meant either public urinal (ruined by stigma for gay sex and blackmail) or saloon (ruined by temperance)?

We're missing like 100 years of the story chronicling psychiatric over-optimism, deinstitutionalization, gentrification of barely livable housing, rent-seeking, and all the rest of the factors.

I think it's a maintenance story. It's unglamorous, invisible maintenance. There's no such thing as a perpetually clean bathroom because it is exclusively used by tidy people-- messes happen everywhere but they are ignored more in some places and that compounds and invites abuse.

randusername··on Coding expertise is going to collapse from AI reliance
Does anyone else feel like the web has become so "readable" it is illegible?

I have such a hard time quickly reading pages like TFA. Headings, bullets, line-spacing, width, link hover animations, even the font. Even reader mode defaults aren't great for me.

Compared to, for example, https://www.paulgraham.com/best.html

randusername··on Andreessen Horowitz is investing billions into a bleak future
> who wishes to maintain himself

This is the key. Everyone wants stability in their circumstances, but you have to go to extreme lengths to sustain an extreme lifestyle, particularly if it is based on preserving a high rate of accumulation instead of accumulation itself.

randusername··on Why aren't smart people happier? (2022)
Ambition is antithetical to contentment, not intelligence.

This is the drunkard's search principle [0]. If you go looking for intelligence, it is easiest to find among perpetual strivers, either because they will sit for any test and take it seriously or because they have already distinguished themselves as an elite competitor in chess, physics, whatever.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Streetlight_effect

randusername··on The August 17 outage
I read the article and found it interesting.

It's wild to me that when I think MS I think this article, Vista, Windows Phone, Zune, Metro, ads in the start menu, the pleated pants meme and so-on, but I have coworkers that are total evangelists for MS technologies and platforms. Clearly a lot of devs get value from the ecosystem.

randusername··on AI didn't erase the junior engineer's value, it increased it it
I think reducing junior value to something like time to first merge is playing with fire. Semblance of value is not value, and the value increase here, if there is any, is from the AI.

I trust junior + claude significantly less than I trusted pre-AI juniors. I do not think it will age well to put so much pressure on juniors to make contributions early and with mostly automated mentorship before they really understand what they are doing and why.

randusername··on Turns are Better than Radians (2022)
I always liked gradians [0]. 400 gradians to a turn.

This means 100 gradians to a right angle, so arbitrary small angles feel more like percentages of a right angle.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gradian

randusername··on The Two Factions of C++ (2024)
Either the shop will be C++-14 for all time or they will do whatever it takes to use the latest and greatest compilers and language features.

I don't see why breaking changes is such a major concern.

Unless the aggrieved party is the compiler maintainers, I guess.

randusername··on Where Human Sleep Went Wrong
This is called "grounding" or "earthing" and Wikipedia doesn't pull punches in dismissing it [0]. You can buy grounding wires for your mattress or copper rivets for your shoes.

From my tissue engineering class in undergrad my 2 cents is this is maybe 95% supplements quackery and 5% genuine mystery. You can find papers that claim EM fields have cellular interactions [1]. I don't think serious scientists will touch conventional earthing, though.

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_medicine#Earthing

[1]: https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/38068954/

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