9,475 karma · joined January 6, 2009
So why should I have to prove I don't have kids when the government can know I'm not on any of those lists?
Most of the links have bitrotted and I don't think it ever got much traction, but I did always like how simple it was. There's a copy someone grabbed of the original spec here: https://raw.githubusercontent.com/ged/tnetstrings.info/refs/...
I can believe - easily - that there's a real uplift here, but attaching any meaning to the 24% number at all is a massive overstep.
There are some ok models on there (Qwen 3 Coder Next is usable and fast, for instance) but the lack of updates in a fast-moving field makes it something I don't want to recommend to my org.
1) the company has device-level control to the degree that they can not only restrict which API endpoints people can connect to but which accounts they use to do so (in which case this already isn't an issue); or
2) they don't, and all bets are off anyway, open weights or not.
What's going to happen is that the capability at any given size point is going to get better over time as new training regimes cram more into the available space. A 27b model released next year will be better than a 27b model this year (else why release it?). Hardware will get more useful, not less.
RAG on the initial prompt would be the first thing to try.
> Then, without unlimited context, you have to do research for every task all over again every time.
Thing is, we're really really good at building very fast search engines. Doing research all over again every time shouldn't be a problem.
Shannon would be pointing out that if you can throw away half the model without apparent degradation, we're nowhere near packing in all the information we could in training. There must be a better arrangement than we've currently got.
We might see that new normal in five years or so. We will see a new normal sooner than that if there's a run on AI because of the sudden availability of DRR fab capacity, but also we'll probably see the level of local models freeze at whatever state they've got to at that point. But an equally likely outcome is that any new DDR capacity that comes online is just immediately absorbed by frontier AI, and consumer devices stay at "just good enough" for a decade.