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robertjpayne

303 karma · joined January 3, 2015

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robertjpayne··on I am directing the Department of War to designate Anthropic a supply-chain risk
This will likely go to court, again as Dario has stated this is blatant retaliation as no US company has ever been designated a supply chain risk and they continue to operate on classified systems for 6 more months.
robertjpayne··on Toyota’s hydrogen-powered Mirai has experienced rapid depreciation
Please, the media didn't report on this because natural disasters affecting the climate is not controllable by humans and thus doesn't warrant a global effort to address unless it's so large as to be species ending.

Global warming is not fake, there's tons and tons of evidence it is real and the weather is getting more and more extreme as humans continue to burn petrol.

robertjpayne··on Swift is a more convenient Rust (2023)
We use server side Swift extensively since about 2016 for decent production load and it's easily one of the worst decisions I've ever made.

- C/C++ interop is great but if we wanted to use C/C++ libraries why use Swift at all? It's annoying to interop with them even if there is no FFI and still requires a lot of glue code for memory management etc…

- The stdlib (Foundation) is not identical on all platforms even today. This has been a major thorn as releases constantly have discrepancies and subtle bugs that are hard to diagnose and track down. Even Swift 6.1 broke non UTF-8 string encodings by just returning "nil" on Linux and took until Swift 6.2 to be fixed (nearly a year).

- The compile times are awful, with a large Swift codebase it takes us ~10-20 minutes to compile our backend Docker container and thus deployments to dev take that long and it's only going to keep getting longer as Apple seemingly has no interest in making the Swift toolchain much faster and Swift has a fatal flaw in it's design around bi-directional type inference that ensure it can never be compiled fast.

- Talent is impossible to find. Yes lots of people know Swift for iOS apps but nobody knows Swift for server code and a backend dev is a very different skillset than an app dev.

We chose it because it allowed us to share some domain code between our flagship iOS product and the server with a custom built sync engine but as our platform has grown it's just gotten harder and harder to justify keeping Swift on the server which is why we're actively migrating off it.

robertjpayne··on There's a ridiculous amount of tech in a disposable vape
They're not all banned, you just need a prescription to get one which realistically should've been implemented day 0.

Eventually it'll prove very impactful with the youth, it'll reduce the number of users and make it more cost prohibitive to be so prolific as it is right now.

robertjpayne··on There's a ridiculous amount of tech in a disposable vape
Why though? Bottles/cans are easily recycled and I believe the small reimbursement is easily recovered during the recycling costs.

It's not profitable to recycle small electronic devices otherwise you'd see heaps of shops doing it. It's toxic, hazardous and labour intensive.

100 times the deposit amount would be like $5-10 USD per-device which is insane. I do agree that any retailers should be required to take back empties and dispose of them responsibly.

robertjpayne··on Google AI Studio is now sponsoring Tailwind CSS
V2 to V3 was really good value, but V3 to V4 was mostly performance with a migration nightmare with little new features.

I don't know what a Tailwind V5 could add that is "breaking" and be worth the migration headache again.

robertjpayne··on Google AI Studio is now sponsoring Tailwind CSS
Yes but Tailwind Plus has a flawed business model, AI was not really the reason nobody bought it, it's that it's a lifetime purchase and that shadcn + LLMs has eaten their cake left right and central.

If LLMs didn't exist but shadcn still did, do you think people would pay and use Tailwind+ or shadcn?

robertjpayne··on Creators of Tailwind laid off 75% of their engineering team
shadcn/ui I'd argue is probably the single biggest factor in the declining Tailwind revenue more so than just LLMs in general.

As said is it is to say shadcn is what Tailwind should've created and maintained for a fee rather than some html/css templates that are easily replicated.

I say this as someone who bought Tailwind+ to support the project many years ago and still use Tailwind every single day.

robertjpayne··on Donut Lab’s all-solid-state battery delivers 400 Wh/kg of energy density
It's less about cycles and more about the energy density per kg. Nothing on the market comes close to 400Wh/kg.
robertjpayne··on You Need to Ditch VS Code
Yea this take makes no sense. What in the world is wrong with debugging with breakpoints?
robertjpayne··on Fifty problems with standard web APIs in 2025
Chrome probably has the benefit of being updated frequently rather than more of an annual cycle. But Safari still isn't anywhere near IE6 levels of awfulness.
robertjpayne··on GitHub postponing the announced billing change for self-hosted GitHub Actions
Put a spend limit in GitHub and issue a chargeback if they ever bill you more.
robertjpayne··on Gel Joins Vercel
I mean sorta? It's value add over something like Aurora or RDS has been it's SDL and EdgeQL layer which makes it a hard pill to swallow not knowing if it's going to go under and you're stuck trying to maintain that yourself or migrate off of it.
robertjpayne··on Gel Joins Vercel
I think the problem is it's too risky to utilise a "new" database today that isn't available as a managed option on many platforms.

Neon is just Postgres for the most part -- sure if they shut down it'd be a pain to migrate but you'd mostly be fine just swapping to AWS RDS/Aurora or the plethora of other Postgres providers.

Buying into things like Gel or now defunct RethinkDB mean if the primary company went under you're stuck with a dead DB engine and potentially no managed hosting options.

robertjpayne··on Gel Joins Vercel
Less than two months for any production users to migrate. Sounds like they've basically got no paying customers otherwise I'd expect to have seen a longer than 2 month period to migrate especially over the holiday season.
robertjpayne··on Anthropic acquires Bun
This is an insanely good take I never thought of.
robertjpayne··on Anthropic acquires Bun
They had a second round that was $19m in late 2023. I don't doubt for a second that they had a long runway given the small team.
robertjpayne··on Avoid 2:00 and 3:00 am cron jobs (2013)
Farmers don’t care what a clock says at all. They start when the sunlight says they can.

It’s never been about farmers and never will be.

robertjpayne··on Peanut allergies have plummeted in children
Should clarify that the "hygiene hypothesis" has data supporting it for bacteria and allergens but not viruses.
robertjpayne··on OpenAI's H1 2025: $4.3B in income, $13.5B in loss
This right here. AI has no moat and none of these companies has a product that isn't easily replaced by another provider.

Unless one of these companies really produces a leapfrog product or model that can't be replicated within a short timeframe I don't see how this changes.

Most of OpenAI's users are freeloaders and if they turn off the free plan they're just going to divert those users to Google.

robertjpayne··on Leaked Apple M5 9 core Geekbench scores
Apple doesn't tend to enter unprofitable markets early. Name one single AI company that is innovating and profitable?

All the premier modal providers are losing money hand over fist even at $100's a month in subscription fees.

robertjpayne··on Leaked Apple M5 9 core Geekbench scores
This is the payoff of nearly over a decade of R&D being poured into their chip development.

Apple is a vertical integration company and the CPU/GPU in their devices was a clear sore spot of relying on external vendors they did not like.

You can see their lead continuing and growing with things like their new modem used in some iPhones

robertjpayne··on Disney+ cancellation page crashes as customers rush to quit
You could also just say he was a unaffiliated lunatic who was sick of Kirk's rhetoric and hate speech and took it into his own hands.
robertjpayne··on We're Joining OpenAI
The details are scant, but if I had to guess Alex probably ran out of money and after Apple showed off their Xcode AI integrations they couldn't get more funding and shopped around for an acquisition.

Daniel and his team did a great job at doing what Apple wasn't but I can't help but feel this was an inevitable outcome.

robertjpayne··on Next.js is infuriating
I feel like Fresh being Deno only isn't the primary issue. It's based on Preact which is really just a non-starter for so many because it isolates away too much of the react ecosystem instantly.
robertjpayne··on CocoaPods trunk read-only plan
It's not actually that concerning. RN's pods are vended via npm not trunk so trunk going read-only will not have an outsized impact on RN.

The risk is that over time Cocoapods will no longer work to integrate dependencies with ways Xcode wants them to be.

Switching to SPM is a massive undertaking for a large project with many intertwined dependencies and configuration options. It's far less configurable than Cocoapods with basically no scripting options during install.

Their progress already is pretty decent!

robertjpayne··on US reportedly forcing TSMC to buy 49% stake in Intel to secure tariff relief
iPhone performance and battery life would likely slide back 5-10 years if Apple was forced to use Intel chips instead of TSMC today.

Not just that, the raft of features that may have to be disabled until that performance and performance per watt gets back to where it is today.

robertjpayne··on The Rising Cost of Child and Pet Day Care
The primary cause of population decline has nothing to do with incomes. You see high income earners having a smaller number of children.

It's because women frankly have better options than motherhood and what stay at home parenting entails.

robertjpayne··on Swift Container Plugin
Apple increasingly uses Swift on server themselves. They’re investing directly where they have needs like SwiftNIO and now this.
robertjpayne··on The Decline of the U.S. Machine-Tool Industry and Prospects for Recovery (1994)
It's not even necessarily 4 years. If the economy crashes hard there's a very real possibility of a Democratic congress that takes control of tariffing away from the President and removes all of this nonsense. That election is only 18 months away.
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