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rustcleaner

766 karma · joined December 13, 2023

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rustcleaner··on Microsoft raises Xbox prices by up to 43%
Margins for consumer were wider vs HBM before killing Crucial, and still is today. Something else is going on...
rustcleaner··on Microsoft raises Xbox prices by up to 43%
Better stated than my ham-fisted attempt. Thank you. :^)
rustcleaner··on Microsoft raises Xbox prices by up to 43%
There is a limit on production efficiency, life is full of logistic curves which feel exponential at first until the inflection and leveling off phases.

It's going to hurt when agriculture does not see the efficiency gains it has been receiving for the last century or so. We might be at the inflection or leveling off now.

rustcleaner··on Microsoft raises Xbox prices by up to 43%
CPI replaces steak with hamburger or chicken once steak becomes unaffordable. It understates inflation.
rustcleaner··on Microsoft raises Xbox prices by up to 43%
I'm sure it applies to Xbox too, but I priced out today's PS to the PS1 and it closely follows the inflation rate that M2 has undergone.

M2 expansion is the prime driver of prices, after supply & demand. Normalize SPX, gold/silver, etc, to M2 and see that they all run in fairly horizontal channels. You can even see nominal GDP normalized to M2 having been flat initially and then transitioning into a downward sloped curve for the last few decades.

By normalizing, I mean [in TradingView] doing SYMBOL*23.16*10^12/M2SL (conceptually SYMBOL*M2SL[0]/M2SL). Most important items track close to M2's roughly 6.5%-7% annualized force of interest inflation rate (the quotient of the natural log of the ratio of price now to historical price, over the elapsed time between the prices).

7% inflation (FoI) -> wealth halflife of cash ≈ 10 years.

rustcleaner··on Nerd culture is murdering intellectuals
Nothing irritates me more than the advertising industrial complex having financially and algorithmically coerced r*pe[d]/grape[d] for rape[d], k*ll[ed]/unalive[d] for killed/murdered, su*cide/self-unalived for suicide, etc.

To me, it is a strong indicator that advertisers need to be reeled in with advertisement control legislation: make advertisers liable for yanking ads or monetization on speech grounds. Huggies Diapers and Johnson & Johnson should not be able to pull [funding for] their ads from content which could be potentially undesirable without incurring legal risk of civil suit.

Also I want to see all people who are paid to shill a product (like testimonials) be forced to say "$COMPANY paid me $THOUSAND to tell you $MESSAGE," to alleviate the psychological vulnerability of social proofing. It should be a felony to be paid (even by quid pro quo) by someone else to say something which has a commercial or political impact, without disclosing that payment and its value. Things people say should be entirely their opinion shared for no monetary kickback or other kinds of favor (such as discounts, free extras, club memberships, etc). This does not apply for selling the opinion to those receiving it, so lawyers and consultants [and similar] are exempt.

The industry has to be brought to heel for what they have been doing to our language, and how they have spurred the online demonetization/censorship tyranny. No single platform can defect from the current norms due to financial reliance on advertisers, but if it were law then advertisers could not use revocation of their funds to punish protection of free speech.

rustcleaner··on Nerd culture is murdering intellectuals
I differentiate nerd from geek as a heirarchy, geek to me being a sub-nerd.

These are geekisms:

>super heroes

>fantasy books/movies

>Pokemon

>Magic the Gathering

>Star Wars

>Lord Of The Rings

>Narnia

>Harry Potter

>video games

Here you describe nerdisms:

>When I was little I was fascinated by big engines and in general driven by the curiosity of wanting to know how everything worked. I would disassemble every piece of electronics in the household. I was into model airplanes and gliders. I was obsessed with building electric motors. I was also really big into steam machines. Everything steam was just cool. Then computers took over my life. Today I find myself nerding out about wood working and back garden agriculture when I'm not doing AI stuff.

Geeks consoom, nerds understand and tinker/build.

Most video games are geek (consoom), tools like Siemens NX or Adobe Master Collection CS6 are nerd (should be thought of as extremely open-ended games), simulators wobble between my classifications depending on accuracy/depth (Minecraft, Sims: geek; NX Nastran, flight/train/truck/forklift simulators: nerd).

rustcleaner··on NetBSD 11.0
... then there's Qubes OS, which beats the pants off AOSP isolation using Xen. Feels like the labelled desktop of the Trusted Solaris days! If one wanted to utilize SELinux in TemplateVMs for further hardening, that is always an option.
rustcleaner··on Show HN: I'm a 15 Year Old Wannabe Engineer, This Is a Cycloidal Gearbox I Built
I love NX (10-12), it feels very intuitive to me and it's absolutely rock solid compared to Inventor, Solid Edge, and SolidWorks, and it seems like it could run performantly on a literal potato (currently an offline Windows Server 2022 qube with 8GB RAM and 2 vCPUs, no GPU passthrough).

If only it were free for minors to play with as a toy, beats Minecraft as a builder!

rustcleaner··on Show HN: I'm a 15 Year Old Wannabe Engineer, This Is a Cycloidal Gearbox I Built
Nice.

I'm an over-40 year old wannabe engineer too, except I didn't get as far as you on my little pet project: designing a 'universal' gear, based on professor Jack Phillips' work "General Spatial Involute Gearing." So far I can model the basic helicoids in Siemens NX, such that they touch along the ISA (Intermediate Screw Axis) which passes through the CDL (Center Distance Line) in between the gear axes. I have no clue how to proceed from there with actual involute teeth.

My idea is to at some point write an NX Open script/module, which takes in various parameters (like selecting the shaft/axes vectors; inputs ratio, pitch, etc.) and spits out something structured like my model.

rustcleaner··on Why Sony can't bring back its classic Walkman models
... and you end up being the donkey they can pin the tail onto, when they feel like bilking you again.
rustcleaner··on Why Sony can't bring back its classic Walkman models
Maybe a nice 50%-200% tax on recurrent revenue streams could force things back to sell-once + no spying...
rustcleaner··on Why Sony can't bring back its classic Walkman models
Best you can do is get familiar with peer-to-peer acquisition, and teach others. Starve the enshittifiers!
rustcleaner··on Why Sony can't bring back its classic Walkman models
If we ban the FED from conjuring new Dollars for buying debt and securities, and the only way fresh printed Dollars enter circulation is if apportioned to every citizen equally (debt-free), then we could have all these nice things again. Companies and rich people would need to cater to the populace in order to rake in the inflationbux and pay their taxes. Right now only governments, big businesses, and big asset owners get first spend on inflationbux, and it has resulted in we the people having only 1/3rd the purchasing power for the Dollar earned in wages as we had in 1960!

My TradingView (Yearly) model for the phenomenon: 23.05*10^12/M2SL*A4102C1Q027SBEA/(USPOP*CIVPART/100*(1-UNRATE/100))

A4102C1Q027SBEA is total US wages/salaries,

A4102C1Q027SBEA/(USPOP*CIVPART/100*(1-UNRATE/100)) attempts to get a rough average of individual wage/salary,

23.05*10^12/M2SL normalizes the time series to today's Dollar value (in M2 terms).

rustcleaner··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
I think CPI is a poor measure, because it's a moving meter stick that understates inflation. When beef is overpriced, hamburger switches into the basket. When hamburger is a luxury, then chicken swaps into it instead. It understates inflation.

M2 change is a much better measure in my opinion. Using M2 is literally comparing supply of item to supply of cash which could immediately buy it. When scaling SPX or GC1! by M2SL[0]/M2SL, you get a surprisingly flat time series over decades, which reads to me that the effects of the change in M2 are being filtered out of an otherwise exponential price curve.

rustcleaner··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
M2 outstrips it.

My favorite way to gauge historical prices/data is to scale it with M2:

(TradingView): M2SL[0]/M2SL*TICKER

Replace M2SL[0] with the latest M2 value. 23.05 T should be 23.05*10^12.

Compare SPX, GC1!, SI1!, CL1!, or any other TICKER you can think of!

Another cool little model I like to look at which starkly shows the loss of power for us little guys:

(TradingView): 23.05*10^12/M2SL*A4102C1Q027SBEA/(USPOP*CIVPART/100)

Basically in 1960 the average worker earned 3x the purchasing power from their wages compared to today.

TL;DR: Ron Paul was right!

rustcleaner··on Startup founders urge U.S. government not to shut off Chinese open weight AI
Can't stop the bittorrent, won't stop the bittorrent!

There's also I2PSnark, Hyphanet, and others!

rustcleaner··on “We have information that Moonshot distilled Fable for the development of K3”
Nice! I hope to see continued liberation of these locked up SOTA models. Cloud is a virtual prison, since other people's policies on what they think a user should and should not do cannot be [easily] bypassed, if enforced remotely on a cloud. All digital natives should be skeptical of cloud-hosted services or software. Think like an intelligence agency or sovereign: how are you going to get screwed by the cloud? Your data is fully accessible by the provider, and they can surveil your activities. You probably can't pirate it, so you are a slave in their rentier model. You could be prevented from doing something you want to do, because the provider disagrees philosophically or economically with your desire. You could be stripped of your information/data by a ban due to their policy enforcement system triggering.

One should live by the maxim: you don't have the thing if you don't possess the file or its processing. That goes for streaming, software, machine learning models, file storage, etc. But I digress; I am happy to see these paternalistic rentiers getting bit by these liberation/copying efforts, and human interests are served every time the digital and infrastructure locks are broken. I will always stand by the distillers!

rustcleaner··on Passkeys were invented by engineers with zero understanding of consumer brain
I don't need your stinkin' passkeys! I have KeePassXC on Qubes OS and KeePassDX on GrapheneOS. No I will not buy into your proprietary cloud prison, with FISA/NSA/court-order backdoor access to my data! No I will not rely on KeePassXC/DX for storing them, when I can wake up tomorrow and find the paternalistic tyrants who maintain the provider attestation/trust lists have blacklisted my KeePasses! TOTP/HOTP-everywhere is a much better idea than freakin' passkeys! We need a law that forces any service provider that requires (hell, even offers) SMS 2FA to also offer TOTP or HOTP as additional options to substitute for SMS!

Whoever makes these boneheaded decisions (SMS 2FA only, hardware/cloud passkeys only) should not be allowed around engineering authentication for the public!

Yeah, I went there! Back off! Get off your high horses and eat some humble pie!

rustcleaner··on Passkeys were invented by engineers with zero understanding of consumer brain
Not for Chase, not for Schwab, not for my DOCSIS provider, not for my cellular provider, etc. They don't offer TOTP either, just SMS for 2FA.

It's going to require a law: if you require 2FA, then TOTP or HOTP must be offered as an option.

rustcleaner··on DEA to Temporarily Schedule 7-Oh and Related Substances to Protect Public Safety
Watching liberty get rug-pulled should be upsetting to everybody!
rustcleaner··on Death of the Status Update: Why 55% of Americans Stopped Posting on Social Media
I always hated how everything moved off independent forums and onto facebook. Zuckerberg was right about with his early idiots comment.
rustcleaner··on Theo de Raadt: "You've been smoking something mind altering" (2007)
If OpenBSD pretended Qubes OS was a feature prototype/reference OS build and made a fork of OpenBSD to feature-match Qubes OS (calling it QuBSD or something), that would be great!
rustcleaner··on GLM 5.2 is nearly as accurate as a human book keeper
What about errors resulting in overpaying taxes?
rustcleaner··on GLM 5.2 is nearly as accurate as a human book keeper
One idea I've had for reform is to ban central banks from inventing new currency except to pay every citizen a UBI debt free, and only tax limited liability entities (not humans). This would give citizens, instead of borrowers, first spend on new money and orient limited liability entities to serving citizens in the market to get their taxed revenues. It would also be a boon for financial privacy and reduce the burden on the average man.
rustcleaner··on Should DayQuil Be Legal?
Agree with you. It is a collateral consequence of the War on Drugs™ that everything good and effective is getting locked behind a $50-$200 doctor's visit for a 'scrip. This scam medicine problem could be helped if a bunch of substances were moved out of Rx and back to OTC. The nanny state will continue to grow to meet people's definitions on how much others should be warded.
rustcleaner··on Should DayQuil Be Legal?
Please no. We need to be going the other way on that trend: converting things which won't easily outright kill/maim you (and dare I say, even potentially addictive ones) at normal doses from Rx to OTC! Acetaminophen is one of the few cheap, easy, and working products on the shelf!
rustcleaner··on Should DayQuil Be Legal?
Just bring back ephedrine and pseudoephedrine! Nobody cares if a few enterprising nerds could cook it into methamphetamine! Oh my gawd someone might experience some unapproved, unrentiered joy! Send in the SWAT teams! This is what the War on Drugs™ gets us.
rustcleaner··on The Life and Times of Maxis, Part 1: SimEverything
I just wish the Maxis games retained that awesome simulator feel and Win32 GDI integration that SimCity 2000 had, and not turned into full screen PlaySkool kiddie-gamer interfaces with big dumb buttons and junk.

Also like Mr. Wright I too was fond of the Care Bears, Nelvana's series particularly. Why bronies became a thing and not care bros, I will never figure out!

rustcleaner··on Sony Deletes 551 Movies PlayStation Owners Paid For
I'm not going to click "purchase," I'm just not going to. Sorry... not sorry! :^)
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