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sbinthree

627 karma · joined August 17, 2017

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sbinthree··on Lockdown Scepticism Was Never a ‘Fringe’ Viewpoint – Quillette
Yes, the current sitting Health Minister in Canada said in their 2006 flu plan with the same CFR that we will / should never lockdown so plan for other measures.
sbinthree··on Charlie Munger doesn’t know what’s worse: Tesla at $1T or Bitcoin at $50k
For all the wisdom, there's something to be said for going out on top. Charlie and Warren haven't made alpha in like 20 years.
sbinthree··on Databricks Raises $1B Series G Investment at $28B Valuation
Snowflake's IPO definitely led to these terms.
sbinthree··on Amazon-backed startup makes net-zero fuel for planes, ships, and trucks
I keep saying it IRL but I'll say it here: the first net zero, zero waste 3PL and ecommerce supply chain will be a $10T company. Amazon seems to be pursuing this more and more when you look at their investments.
sbinthree··on The SOC2 Starting Seven (2020)
Some thoughts having just completed this:

* It costs $40k in year one and $30k/year in subsequent years if you do the now typical stack of Vanta, pen test, vulnerability monitoring and audit fees. This makes ROI pretty straight forward to figure out.

* There's really no benefit to getting Type 1, you just need to get the Type 1 posture and then wait out the monitoring period in order to get type 2. If the customers actually care, they are smart enough to know that it's a lot harder to fudge it for 6 months than it is for one four hour Zoom call.

* You can definitely get to about 60% of SOC2 just doing obvious best practice (code reviews, SSO, HTTPS only, database alerting). The next 20% is worthwhile but not intuitive, the final 20% is neither.

Agreed with the top comment about infosec teams being reasonable. At this point I think it would be pretty hard to do deals with public companies without having Type 2, and our domain isn't even that security focused.

sbinthree··on The SOC2 Starting Seven (2020)
Totally worth it. SOC2 cost us $40k in year one and about $30k/year ongoing.
sbinthree··on Ask HN: Is there a Warren Buffet for the tech sector?
Chamath
sbinthree··on CDC now says valved N95 has better source control than cloth/surgical masks [pdf]
Science: "wearing a thing in front of the air makes the air move slower and spread less, different things work to the extent the thing reduces the flow of air."
sbinthree··on The Covid-19 Death Toll Is Even Worse Than It Looks
It's impressive how consistently there's been 1.5x the actual death count in attributable excess deaths. April 2020 NY was pretty much the exact breakdown.
sbinthree··on Signal community: Reminder: Please be nice
It's the same issue with support as a software company. We have companies paying us $10k a month who "want us to consider something for future roadmap if other customers would also value it" and free users who "demand we fix (expected and documented behavior) IMMEDIATELY". The problem isn't open source, it's free.
sbinthree··on Civil rights groups demand Google remove Trump's YouTube channel
Civil rights groups demand removing an elected officials freedom of speech. Okay. I am struggling to follow who exactly is pro or against civil rights. Certainly anger is justified, but the civil rights argument (as opposed to other paths) seems objectionable.
sbinthree··on Addressing the threat from investments that finance CCP military (2020)
If people find this interesting, consider reading the PLA document called 'Unrestriced Warfare'. Pretty terrifying, these measures don't come out of no where.
sbinthree··on Rep. Nunes Calls for Racketeering Investigation into Big Tech Companies
Thankfully the Supreme Court has a track record of knowing how their role works.
sbinthree··on Gab’s Response to Senator Mark Warner
Excellent letter. Worth reading.
sbinthree··on Peer-reviewed study suggests that lockdowns have little effect on Covid spread
There are actually five studies now on this, all show that it has <10% positive effect on spread of covid, and no delta in excess deaths it just changes causes from covid-19 to deaths of despair.
sbinthree··on Ask HN: Preparations for welcoming a child in few months
We went baby stuff shopping 10 weeks before the due date, because look at us go. Baby came at 8 weeks before. Pure luck. Have your setup ready ideally early, you really never know.

The concept of a go bag for the hospital also was very important and would have saved four or five family trips to our place.

Get the most expensive peri bottles you can, not the hospital ones.

More people than you think faint during the birth, if you're sensitive, prepare to fight your parasympathetic system. Do the breathing exercises regardless of your role!

I was completely outside time and space for two weeks, very tired for four months and it took 18 months to feel as sharp as I did pre birth and I was the support system not the main character :)

Get a really long phone charger for the hospital, naturally the plugs around the bed are used by machines but not the far away ones. Naturally they don't have them on site so bring your own.

sbinthree··on Ask HN: How fragile Signal is as a single point of failure?
It does seem like a huge movement of people are getting behind it. It is a little strange to think we could have an end to end encrypted social graph.
sbinthree··on Amazon, Apple and Google Cut Off Parler
I was wondering if you were online to see it and thinking about that comment. I was really surprised to read that, AWS is another level beyond social media de-platforming. Wouldn't there be other harmful things hosted on AWS? Who governs this?
sbinthree··on Pfizer vaccine appears effective against mutation in new coronavirus variants
Yes
sbinthree··on Pfizer vaccine appears effective against mutation in new coronavirus variants
It's been rapidly becoming the dominant variant in places with various different kinds of measures so I think it's for sure more infectious at this point.
sbinthree··on DOJ warns national secrets stolen by mob ransacked offices filled with laptops
What's a national secret?
sbinthree··on Chinese billionaires and CEOs keep disappearing in state-sanctioned abductions
CCP is the world's largest mafia.
sbinthree··on Alarm as South Korea sees more deaths than births
Not having a country anymore could be perceived as a disaster to anyone optimistic. Easily the dumbest climate change measure would be not to have kids.
sbinthree··on The Wire in HD (2014)
I did the exact same thing with Season 3. Top 3 best shows over.
sbinthree··on As Understanding of Russian Hacking Grows, So Does Alarm
Would encourage anyone pondering this to read the 1997 Chinese miltary document (in your preferred language) called Unrestricted Warfare [0]. China and Russia both internally perceive that the US won (or will continue to win) the technological direct confrontation arms race, so instead they view themselves as always at war in all ways with a focus on indirect conflict.

[0]: https://www.c4i.org/unrestricted.pdf

sbinthree··on Covid-19: New variant 'raises R number by up to 0.7'
Yeah you're right, I'm a week out of date. That is disturbing. Perhaps that means it is actually higher viral load but lower impact per amount of virus?
sbinthree··on Covid-19: New variant 'raises R number by up to 0.7'
I've read that the viral load is 10-20% higher on average, so if anything it's the opposite, but so far no one has gone on record saying it's more severe. It's more the compounding effects of higher viral load and easier transmission. Unfortunately, the UK hospital situation will probably get worse based on those two assumptions.
sbinthree··on [dead]
The rate of adverse reaction has consistently been 1/30000 across studies and since mass vaccination began. Typically it is acute allergic reactions treated with adrenaline. Actual long term adverse reactions are extremely rare, so definitely <100k, but probably much less than that.
sbinthree··on What will it take to get universal healthcare in America?
As a Canadian who experienced urgent care in the US on a trip, no one with money would advocate for the Canadian system. The US system is mind blowingly good compared to the Canadian system. If the US could price in the externality of people who aren't covered by charging the wealthy even more, it would be way better than adopting the Canadian system.
sbinthree··on With Hacking, the United States Needs to Stop Playing the Victim
It's this weird alt left death spiral into self loathing. NYTimes victim blaming America, in doing so victimizes itself. Strange.
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