sleepysysadmin

>how does the linked NYT article support your position that fraud was committed at that site?

I never affirmatively said fraud happened. I have no idea. What the link proves quite conclusively that there is the appearance of some BS going on. Which in the context of where the democrats are forced to make sure things dont look like there's a 'voted fraud org' like biden said.

If biden was telling to the truth. This is exactly what it would look like.

>Did the bipartisan boards of county and state canvassers review the processes and results?

Doesn't matter. Bush vs Gore in 2000 was a big boondoggle. Russian interference allegations in 2016 that is questionable. Now this one?

In recent polls a super majority of US citizens believe the elections are fraudulent. Tremendously low confidence the election system is functioning properly. The republicans are paralyzed from accusing the democrats because it'll blow out democracy. How broken is the system if voting fraud almost certainly happened but did it happen to change the results and you can't call it out?

Every single republican report you will read about keeping democracy intact and the necessity to build a new more robust system and make sure votes are counted properly. They actively changed the rules everywhere they could.

Mind you, after biden said voted fraud org. The onus is on the democrats to prove the election was smooth. That sure as shit didn't happen.

>Your comment was about three brothers where the third was complaining that he was working too much and that the first was working too little.

To demonstrate the progressive tax system. Completely valid to the real world.

>All the examples you listed don't have anything to do with your thought experiment. I hope you didn't interpret my comment as normative or as the right would say "market intervention" I was merely describing one way that the three brothers could get along.

That's just not practical. People choose to work 20 hour weeks for various reason, people choose to work more than 40 hour weeks for various reasons. You cant form society into everyone working exactly the same hours. It probably would be a great thing if we could. Allow productive people who work 60 hour weeks to do something different and do more.

However, the reality is that we discover income inequality is just a fact because of individual choices. Trying to 'fix' this using a progressive tax system in fact only makes it worse.

>I find your comment quite amusing.

How do you mean?

>Of course it's a gaffe.

I don't see it that way. Let's discuss the gaffe deeper, as I said it requires significantly more explanation.

>Biden is visibly affected by senility.

I'm not a doctor and haven't diagnosed him this way. I don't believe this is public knowledge that he has been diagnosed as such. What makes you believe he has dementia? What kind? This statement scares me to no end, you believe the person in charge of the largest nuclear weapon arsenal has dementia? That would need to be fixed asap if true. I don't believe it to be true.

>How could you think it's anything but a gaffe?

So lets get into it. If it's a gaffe, what's the gaffe. It would be egregious to give him the benefit of the doubt to the point where you don't even investigate. The gaffe can go either way, he could have just meant that they have an organization to get people engaged and voting. That would be way past the line and not appropriate to jump there.

The other way the gaffe can be seen. There is a voting fraud organization and plan and the gaffe is that he accidentally admitted to it. He shouldn't have admitted to it. I could believe this level of gaffe, it's not unreasonable. It unfortunately admits to voted fraud.

>Do you really think that if he was aware of systematic voter fraud strategy being developed that he would actually give a speech about it?

He wasn't giving a speech about it. It was an accidental admission. Slip of the tongue, freudian slip, whatever you would like to call it. It has nothing to do with dementia. He was under immense pressure running an election during a pandemic. The hallmark of a freudian slip is that they generate out of thought supressions. He knew he can't admit to voting fraud, and was trying to suppress the thought.

Now here's the thing. It's simple to solve this problem. Elections have far more to do with appearance. Democrats having heard Biden admit to voting fraud had to come out and be above board. The entire process needed to be beyond question. No drama, no nothing. They needed to make sure the process was transparent as possible. Give the republicans nothing that might question the legitimacy of the election.

Unfortunately they didnt do that. They hated trump so much they needed him to lose.

https://www.nytimes.com/2020/11/05/technology/michigan-elect...

Nytimes is obviously biased, but stuff like this however is the opposite of transparent. Literally it's opaque. There's no simple reason, there's no reason at all to block the windows.

Add on top of that they threw out multiple republican observers for various reasons. Most republican observers were denied access.

Nobody will ever know if the election was stolen. As I said above, the republicans made it very clear they believe the election was stolen by their actions.

It's just that right, it sure looks like the election was stolen.

>What happens? Everyone works 40 hours.

The people who work 20 hour weeks are upset and certainly dont work any additional amount. Daycare probably booms as a business.

Productivity plummets to tremendously low levels, economies collapse, massive numbers of people die, etc.

Less than half of doctors work 40 hours or less. Pretty significant number above 60 hours/week. Same for nursing and much of the medical field.

Firefighters have very long hours.

Truck driving and logistics pretty much depends on truck drivers maxing their hours at around 70 hour weeks.

Lawyers pretty much cant work 40 hour weeks without the legal system collapsing.

So right away, we are going to have people working different amounts of hours per week. It's unavoidable. This alone means you can never have 'equal outcome' A doctor who works 60 hours a week and still paying off med school loans cannot have the same outcome as a part time mcjobber.

That's the failure of the progressive tax. The progressive tax is some wierd attempt to make the rich less rich but instead generates significantly more income inequality as a consequence.

>Long before we get to something like a 90% tax bracket, we could have the very wealthy pay the same rates as regular folks.

Flat tax for all!

>Anyway, I don't see why a billionaire shouldn't have a 90% bracket.

Lets ignore the economics and how going off the gold standard removed the government's ability to tax and taxation will trend toward 0% for everyone until we figure out a new standard.

However, let me tell you about 3 brothers. They all live on the same culdesac, they all have the same education, same type of job. The only difference is hours worked. The first brother works 20 hours, middle brother works 40 hours, and final brother works 60 hour/weeks. They come together and agree they want to contract a landscaping/flower place to put flowers on their culdesac. The flat cost is $10,000/each but the brother who only works 20 hours cant afford that. He wants his brothers to pay for it. They protest that he should pay his cut. The middle brother however devises a plan.

The poor brother will pay very little if not nothing. The middle brother pays less than $10,000. The final brother has to pay for most of it. They vote and 2 to 1 they win.

What happens? The brother working 60 hour weeks is now incentivized to reduce his hours so he gets less penalized.

>This is insane. One side is doing everything they can to rig elections

The democrats? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WGRnhBmHYN0

that's not a gaffe. If you assert it's a gaffe, you must now explain a ton more.

>And then the other side is judged for being taken aback by that? Are we supposed to pretend like nothing is happening?

Someone could blame the media but that's beside the point. The USA is more divided today that I have ever seen it. According to articles ive read, the divide is larger today than it has been since the civil war. Thusly probable that another civil war is coming but oh boy is this one ever going to be one sided.

>From an outsider's perspective, the leadership of one party recently tried to hang on to power by a variety of underhanded means, and in fact continues to deliberately undermine faith in US democracy itself.

I am also an outsider. You have to be careful with this. You clearly don't see the bigger picture and it's bad to push the narrative that it was just Trump.

The probability that the election was fraudulent is in question. Biden is the most popular president in history, as per his own words. Though also from his own mouth he has the most extensive voting fraud org. They never quite explained that one.

>It's beyond party politics at that point.

If the election was fraudulent. What was the actions taken?

https://www.cnn.com/2021/06/30/politics/voter-suppression-re...

CNN is obviously biased and is portraying it as 'voting rights under attack' but what does it say? It says the republicans as a whole saw the election was fraudulent and needed to fix voting rules. The republicans cant just say the election was fraudulent and leave the country or something. You go and do exactly what CNN is describing.

They were anticompetitive using multiple illegal tricks. Their competitors like dailymotion or vimeo couldn't compete for years. Now that google is under antitrust investigation around the world. They have started operating properly and that's why you get an ad every 12 seconds. Twitch only survived because big daddy amazon came in with the same deal as google. We will now see players like rumble finally taking off.

>housing is not stocks, thus you cant think like a house is a stock. They are a leveraged investment that lacks the price discovery and liquidity stocks provide.

Even better :)

>imagine a 1m$ house. you have to put 200k$ down into a single house (no diversification). A 10% decline means a 50% decline on that 200k. selling it takes days to months with usually at least 6% fees. So this thing is highly illiquid. so its not like stocks where you can say 'well just buy and hold'.

But you cant buy 1m$ of stocks on borrowed money. 10% increase means 50% increase on your downpayment. Even better, when does housing crash? The governments just printed a bijillion dollars to prevent it crashing and rates have real yields of negative. It's free money. There is a rent vs own calculator and even in bad cities the ROI will be only a few years tops.

>given that they dislike Seattle, Seattle is as bubbly as ever, there is a new condo in construction on every other block, and things like the mayor saying 'we are not going to enforce the law in favor of safety towards the protestors', purchasing a home in Seattle is a scary idea.

The antifa rioters aren't about race or whatever they claim. It's about destroying a neighbourhood to push people like you out of the market and reduce demand. The george floyd riots have caused billions in damage, very much higher than the few hundred million in insured damages. Those markets like Seattle and Portland are going to pay for in the long run. House insurance will be exorbitantly high.

>Also another issue with Seattle its not like you can buy and rent out. a typical home that costs 3500$/month to own will only rent for max 2500$. so you have to be in something thats 1k$/month cash flow negative. even if you are networth positive, that may be unsustainable for the individual

That's the funny thing about investing. The first hit at your mortgage is the worst. You amortize for 25 years. You pay some principal in say the first 5-10 years. In those 10 years you also got a raise and are earning more. So the next time you are coming to bat to refinance you're in a better situation owing less and able to pay more. You will then be winning. The calculators out there will tell you buying vs owning is only a few years. The question is whether or not you're staying in seattle that long.

There's also the spin of the dice. There will be homeowner moments where oh shit I have tospend $5000 to fix that sump pump or roof. So its not so easy to calculate.

>The moon is a harsh mistress by Robert A Heinlein

That looks good, haven't read it. THANKS!

I feel like in situations where you say 'propagate' you understand it's wrong but it's going to translate to other people well. Those other people also understand it's an impossible question to truly answer. If DNS isn't even cached to begin with it's just solved. So the whole DNS propagation is highly contextual.

Worse yet, now all DNS software is the same. Some caching dns servers still do the query every time. It's just that you answer with cache so it's fast. Some DNS servers will fail once and then near immediately be fixed.

Since it's such a complicated subject. It's better to generalize and simplify as 'propagate'.

>I’ll start off by saying that I work 60 hours a week, at least.

Too much, even if you want to work that much. Do 40 for your primary and then 20 where you are your own boss.

>Based on the neighborhood I live in and my compensation, I am extremely privileged. I don’t have money concerns that my parents had. Most things that I might need, I can buy them without having to think too much or without putting a dent in my net worth.

HN is very likely >90% part of the zoom class. Though you it might not be zoom but rather whatever flavour, teams, etc. Welcome to being rich. You got there because of whatever skillset you have learnt. Good for you.

>But Seattle has become a lawless dump. The east side has started homes for $1.4MM where the inspection report shows you that you’re basically just paying for the land.

Welcome to high energy costs fueling inflation and pushing high energy things like homes so expensively.

>If I have to be a renter my whole damn life and can’t even afford a house, what is the god damn point? Yeah I get paid very well, but I am a pawn of people who earn significantly more.

You're looking at it the wrong way. What is your investment strategy? Rent vs own calculators certainly exist. Maybe you're out of real estate because you predict a crash? If you expect they continue rising. Then buying is the way to go.

Here's my recommendations without any particular order and just books ive read recently and havent sorted into the library.

Factfullness by Hans rosling: The world is awesome, stop focusing on some tiny negatives that are being mispresented by the media.

Martian, Artemis, and Project Hail Mary by Andy Weir: Contemporary top scifi author

Starship Troopers by Robert A Heinlein: The movie was awesome, until you read the book and see the movie as an abomination.

Pheonix and Unicorn Projects by Gene Kim: Devops > ITIL.

Meditations by Marcus Aurelius: Stoicism, how to be a good leader, how to live life.

How to win friends and influence people by Dale Carnegie: Everyone should be forced to read this multiple times. I really need to re-read.

Lying by Sam Harris: Seriously don't lie. You'll find things get better unexpectedly.

12 rules for life by Jordan Peterson: Here comes the downvotes.

>And I've also seen that diet and lifestyle choices can definitely affect the severity of a flare, especially the feelings and symptoms.

Which diets have you tried?

>But they cannot 'cure' Crohn's or put it in remission.

I'm certainly in remission.

>I've grown to accept that short of a very significant stroke of luck, there probably won't be a cure in my lifetime.

The cure exists, it's just not politically acceptable. Society would rather pump you up with crazy meds like remicade or chemotherapy like methotrexate than just do the cure. It took me years to find the cure because politics has poisoned the entire subject. The general advice given for crohns is literally not helping, and in fact probably making things worse.

Interesting idea, but very difficult to account for so many other major factors. First time i've read about the https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Yersinia idea.

Flipside, I feel like the theory is just finding a sideline relationship.

Early 1900s had so many major experiments start happening. Refrigerants is only 1 of them. How about major new pesticides? How about a major shift from eating animals to plants? We also have similar discovery of obesity growing about the same rate.

There's a clear and obvious relationship here. Everything is food related.

So what happens if you simply reverse what changed in the last 100 years. Try carnivore and after some adjustment period your crohns goes away. As you reintroduce plants into your diet, crohns symptoms return.

>I'm not advocating bullet but perhaps they could try 30 minute matches instead?

Other time controls is already a thing. Personally a huge rapid fan. I think Fisher was right. The problem is just prep and theory. If we still have classical time but chess960 so there isn't 20 moves of theory memorized.

Oh wow this is the Syriza minister of finance.

>In other words, I shall argue that Bitcoin is not fit for purpose under capitalism, or as a vehicle toward transcending capitalism, but something like Bitcoin will characterise monetary systems in a future world free of private banks and share markets.

Wow the open letter he is responding to is a socialist who believes bitcoin is a good idea for socialism?

Bitcoin is literally the antithesis to socialism. It seems clear to me in this article that Yanis knows this. Greece didn't get control over the euro. They couldn't print lots of money to generate significant inflation to hide their debt. Socialist governments basically dont function without heavy inflation making their people poor.

Something that has never happened in history is a fiscally conservative balanced budget socialist government with fully controlled inflation.

>I'm all for reduction in the size of bureaucracies and addressing financial issues realistically.

I feel people misunderstand these issues so often, everyone just wants bigger government always. What happened during Mcguinty was well forecasted. He upon coming into power increased taxes on manufacturing. The consequence was that manufacturing dropped significantly. Ontario shed somewhere around 800,000 jobs because of that move and mcguinty trying to hide his shame increased the size of government to artificially hide abysmal unemployment. Population of Ontario was roughly 12 million at that time i believe. Labour participation was roughly 60%. Dropping 800,000 is more than 10% increase to unemployment. 10% unemployment is pitchforks at the capital.

The consequence? You converted tax paying people to tax deficit. It broke the balance by alot and it was all to hide the bad idea of raising taxes and harming ontarians.

Flipside, while this is an obvious failure, it shouldn't detract from a big government. Healthcare was obvious context above. What exactly is OHIP? It's a crappy basic health insurance provided by the government that has much less coverage today compared to years ago. It's not that we shouldn't do that, we simply don't cover everything. We know it's a good thing to cover the basics. It's just a definition of 'what are the basics'. Should diabetes meds be included? Type 1 vs Type 2? On top of that, it being single payer means most of society receives their healthcare from the rich.

>It's a strong hammer aimed at a few well deserved targets but hits broadly across a wide group where it doesn't always make sense. It's like a one size fits all approach.

It does make sense. What comes in bankruptcy? If we don't control those costs we are forced into austerity measures. Greece's Syriza is a communist party and they chose austerity out of their options. If we go into that, it will mean way more than 100,000 jobs fired abruptly. Which wasn't Hudak's plan. He was going to allow anyone who wants to keep working to keep working. Retirements, job hopping, etc being the plan.

The reason why you dont hear much of a chirp from the ultra strong unions is that they know the alternative is far worse.

>But I don't know enough about provincial politics to debate the policies. You seem to have a better grasp of that.

When Wynne got a majority. She took this power as her winning and not hudak losing. I called exactly what was about to happen. Wynne who was at the feet of all the scandals was going to be even worse because she would be under much more scrutiny. Not much of a prediction obviously, no future sight needed.

She actually was not bad besides the obvious corruption, she very nearly balanced the budget. Yet she made history books. She's the lowest approval rating for ontario premiers ever, and she provided the worst election result for the ontario liberals.

When doug ford got into power, I predicted exactly the same. doug ford didnt win, wynne lost. He's going to make decisions to fix the disaster of the liberals and take the blame. Flipside, he seems to be highly approved of because of covid and his response being objectively good. So I might be wrong on that front but he didnt fix the liberal corruption.

>Wow, why is there the wage cap when nursing has long been an issue in Ontario? I wonder who thinks this stuff up and thinks they are somehow saving money by doing this. It just generates inefficiencies and unintended side effects.

Bill 124 has nothing at all to do with Nurses. The word 'nurse' does not show up even once. This bill is effectively what put doug ford into power. That is to say, he was elected to pass this one. It is more than required.

As you likely know Ontario is the highest debt subnational in the world. The mcguinty government was in power for ~10 years but did so by buying votes. They had so many gigantic scandals and might be one of the worst governments ontario ever had. Hilariously, the PCs approach was to tell ontario he was going to fire 100,000 people. That obviously didn't go well giving Wynne a majority.

However, Hudak was right, 100,000 less people in government. Because we didn't... we are in a far worse situation. Pre-covid ontario was very bankrupt. It was so bankrupt Wynne was forced to sell off highly profitable assets like Hydro1. Now that covid happened? I dont even know what will happen.

>Whenever there's problems like this there's always seems to be a long trail of government interference that's counterproductive.

The consequences of decisions in either way is difficult and rarely properly assessed. As Greece knows, someone eventually ends up holding the garbage bag and has to clean up.

These are the consequences of decisions made.

>What we're seeing here is one of the wealthiest countries in the world with a population of > 80M people crumbling over a few thousand ICU patients because of long-standing issues that were never addressed.

So I'm kind of surprised to see this. I was under the impression Germany was the opposite.

https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/hospital-beds

Germany is #2 out of those reporting. Crushing Canada by like 300%.

https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/medical-doctors

Germany #1 for doctors, beating Canada by 100%

https://tradingeconomics.com/country-list/nurses

Germany #2 for nurses, beating Canada by ~75%

I kind of step back, how terrible is Canada doing?

>The staffing problems in hospitals (and nursing homes) have existed much longer than Covid. I heard a lot about them myself when I did my FSJ (volunteer work) back in 2004, and it's only gotten worse since then.

Oh ya big time. I can't remember a time when nurses/psws/doctors weren't in huge demand here in Canada.

Before covid: https://www.blogto.com/city/2019/07/toronto-hospital-fraud/

During covid pre-vax: https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/ontario-hospital-lays-off-97-regi...

Antivaxxers fired: https://www.thestar.com/news/gta/2021/11/28/were-on-the-brin...

You can't be on one side in huge demand for nurses but also be firing them willy nilly.

Firing them for not getting the vaccine isn't true at all. They've been reducing nurses and such for long before.

>Our government is in full CYA mode, and doing everything they can to blame a scapegoat for problems they themselves have willingly created over decades. It's despicable, and nobody should support it.

I propose that Canada and Germany probably have the same problem. That we are on the same page.

I am curious what you think is that problem?

22 degrees? celcius?

Currently im trucking 4 monitors. I am planning to buy a 43" 4k tv and drop down.

Anyone else try this? Does it work out?

Something that blew my mind. https://www.yahoo.com/news/kyle-rittenhouse-says-andrew-yang...

Rittenhouse stayed out of the politics for the trial(very smart) and later he revealed that he was in the "Yang Gang"

"I'm going to get a lot of hate for this but I was a pretty big Andrew Yang supporter before all this,"

He was far left and the left wing are who attacked him as white supremacist and all that.

Just goes to show how the media is just completely full of shit.

>Yes. And that might suit a (hypothetical) hidden agenda. I just don't think the authorities are smart or cynical enough to foresee and plan something like that (in Denmark)

What is hidden or hypothetical about it?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Reset

The first book came out in 2010 post financial crisis. The whole design is about fighting against STEM and producing an economy in which creativity is rewarded. The politicians took that are twisted it to their needs.

https://imgur.com/C9bqUfh

Zoom in and read exactly what they are still working on. Bonus points if you see what isn't labelled on that graph.

>IMO, the responses to the virus have been driven by media hysteria and politicians doing what they think will make them look good.

It's really just the next step. In which if you say that producing all these infographics and having a large cohort of support clearly indicates intention. It's appropriate for elected officials to have these plans. There is no 'conspiracy' but what do you think about the possibility that these folks were driving the public to hysteria in order to justify these plans?

>the lab leak hasn't been disproven yet.

I was kind of unclear here intentionally. The source being wild has been disproven. This leaves lab leak as the only viable theory. So while it hasnt been proven, it sure as hell is the current theory.

The point I was making is that the political position set by wikipedia proves the bias. If they reported in a neutral fashion they would have NEVER called it a conspiracy theory. They might have said that we lack the evidence of it being a lab leak and wild source is quite likely over lab leak.

The bias is proven though and then the person I replied to was alright with them ignoring 'misinformation' but this is tantamount to agreeing with the bias.

>There was a senate investigation that biden killed (https://nypost.com/2021/05/25/biden-team-shut-down-inquiry-t...) Why he cancelled it, who's to say, but it COULD be something to do with this; https://nypost.com/2021/11/29/joe-biden-expected-10-percent-...

If you step back, early in the covid lab leak story is that the lead scientists from said wuhan lab published in nature mag the source appears to be bat. Afterall, it is indeed quite related. I believe what this says is that it wasn't an intention leak, they just didn't think they did it.

The follow up theory is that it was intention but not by them. Intentional by someone who was actively in a cold war with china... who might that be... oh right...

>Another article ruined. I can't read further after that, if the author is wrong about that, he might also be wrong on things i'm not an expert on, so i won't be able to take anything i read on this seriously. People should just stop talking about history in political articles, they ruin it every time. Or maybe they should everytime, and allow history geeks to classified them easily in the "untrustworthy" category.

I'm not the guy, i just linked the blog which had examples. My reading of the blog isn't that he's taking a position but rather pointing out how the wiki page is clearly written by someone who does not believe Jesus ever existed. That Christians wouldn't write the article that way.

>Yeah I'm OK with Wikipedia being biased against misinformation.

Early in the pandemic, a conspiracy theory emerged that the virus had been bio-engineered by China at the Wuhan Institute of Virology. One early source of this theory was former Israeli secret service officer Dany Shoham, who gave an interview to The Washington Times regarding the lab.[28][29] Later, US politicians began propagating the idea, including Senator Tom Cotton, President Donald Trump, and Secretary of State Mike Pompeo.[29] One scientist from Hong Kong, Li-Meng Yan, fled China and supported the idea. Many authorities debunked the conspiracy theory, including American biologist Richard Ebright, NIAID director Anthony Fauci, prominent scientists, and the US intelligence community.[29][failed verification] The conspiracy theory spread widely on social media, but subsequent scientific investigation showed that the virus originated in bats.[25]

So you agree with Wikipedia being biased against the misinformation of the lab leak? You're even fine with them asserting it's a conspiracy theory and shutting down conversation about the possibility?

Here's a pretty good article from US point of view providing many examples: https://larrysanger.org/2020/05/wikipedia-is-badly-biased/

I've considered going to ergonomics and/or dvorak and such but is it really going to help? I need a better desk, better chair, better posture.

You know what we need to do instead? Brain computer interface. Remove the whole keyboard and mouse altogether.

I can't even get to self-publishing. I'm not going to spend money on editing something that probably will never recoup the cost. If I don't pay for editing, it's going to be trash.

Been considering throwing my books in a repo on github and just let people have them free.

Good article by paul krugman: https://outline.com/FTZ8eN

Basically in the article he outlines what the economists didn't get right and then pointed out that globalization caused virtually all income inequality. That the damage done has basically enabled the existence of people like Trump or movements like Brexit.

The irony is that Krugman still doesn't see the forest through the trees. Not to mention big changes like many countries agreeing upon a minimum corporate tax rate. Which gives huge advantage to anyone who doesn't play ball. Though this is now less to do with economy anymore.

This is bipartisan. Trump started the war with China, and Biden pressed the gas pedal. Tons of countries are clearly declaring their intentions and allies. You can clearly see where this goes, there is no alternatives. However, it's not going to be China as the victor. Sure they have all the factories and largest standing army of any country. They'll not be pulling any trigger and be accepting their depression; see Greece for what is about to happen to China. Followed by a peasant revolt.