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sleepysysadmin

117 karma · joined November 26, 2018

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sleepysysadmin··on Everyday robots are slowly leaving the lab
We have ever increased the number of bullshit jobs that produce nothing. They don't even do anything to pretend they do something. David Graiber talked at length about this issue.

On the left wing, people like Andrew Yang, are proponents of UBI. The right wing is scared of UBI because if we do UBI, those bullshit job holders might just stay home. That will be a disaster in so many ways.

Flipside, lets not do UBI and instead do automation. We put all these bullshit job holders out of a job. It's exactly the same disaster, possibly even worse.

Lets now propose the government makes only themselves the only legal owner of any commercial robot. So Ford has to rent the robots from the government. That rent money goes to paying the bullshit job holders. It's the same disaster.

It's not just economical or political disaster. It's even mental health. There's a very large number of people whose entire self-worth derives heavily from their job. Pay them to stay home and they'll be depressed at home.

I think Keynes is someone who figured out first. The 40 hour work week needs to die. The best solution any government can do is stop changing minimum wage but start decreasing the threshold for overtime. We need to pressure the 40 hour work week down. Which is happening to some degree. Many countries have pressured down to ~37 hours. This is where we must go to solve the problem.

sleepysysadmin··on Japan’s curiously quiescent inflation rate
OP is slightly out of date: https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/inflation-cpi they have pulled out of deflation.

The Japanese government is beyond Greece levels of debt. 266.2% https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/government-debt-to-gdp

They basically can't take on additional debt, who will finance that at any reasonable rate? So the last spot for the government to place their debt:

https://tradingeconomics.com/japan/central-bank-balance-shee...

They are beyond bankrupt but their honour as a people means they won't default. They haven't balanced their budget since the early 1990s and are just paying the crushing amount of interest. Their tax payers pay significant money for literally nothing and thusly their politicians have a decision.

Do you cut services provided? They are so bankrupt that they basically have to shutdown singlepayer healthcare and education. Obviously no politician will ever make that decision. So what's the other option? High taxes. Japan's corporate tax rate is >30%. There's no other developed country with such a high corp tax rate. How about personal tax? Japan is >55%. There is literally only 2 other countries with higher taxes. Lets not forget the 10% sales tax.

Their total tax burden isn't 95%, but it's not far from it. No surprise at all that their country has serious economic issues and I dont see Japan ever turning this around. How do their people live off ~5%? You dont.

sleepysysadmin··on Ted Nordhouse: How green activists mislead and hold back progress
>It's becoming more and more clear to me that the underlying issue driving much of our current crises is that people think binary - it's either "climate apocalypse" or "let's burn all the fossil fuel". Same for the COVID mess, gun laws, critical race theory, take your pick. People are uncomfortable with nuance and since we basically have to pick the experts we trust we fall victim to the loudest and most exciting voice.

It's a new religion. Due to religion being outlawed in places like China this new religion hides itself. I suppose there's no rule saying religions must be public. Which given the societal hatred of recent new religions it makes sense. In addition, their fundamental structure has been tried and failed across the world many times. So going public isn't going to work.

They are prominent in Covid. Like many religions, they wish to dictate what you eat and do in health matters.

They are certainly anti firearm.

Critical race theory comes out of this new religion. Obviously they are very pro-civil rights. Feminism, gay rights, abortion rights, gender roles, and similarity. Social justice in a way to be sure. Intersectionality is obviously a big deal. Ending the drug war is very important to them.

Their goal is a classless society and equal outcome. This puts them at odds with capitalism and the business society. Climate change is a way for their agenda to be pushed against the business class.

I don't know exact numbers of how many adherents but it's about 3 million in north america. They are really struggling in north america but they are certainly easy to identify once you identify their 'heresy and apostasy' type things. Sam Harris is a racist right? He's calling this new religion the 'religion of anti-racism' as what do you name it?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NXPMsrQ44b4

The irony is that they are seeing it from the atheist point of view, which misses the whole thing. When you have to step back and see it from the economic or political point of view. The irony being those 2 guys are on the record being on this new religion's side. That's beyond irony to me.

sleepysysadmin··on Ted Nordhouse: How green activists mislead and hold back progress
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sleepysysadmin··on Ted Nordhouse: How green activists mislead and hold back progress
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sleepysysadmin··on People in 150 cities globally standing up to authoritarian controls on freedoms
>One has to wonder why these protests, which happen every week and are big, barely get reported in the media. When they are mentioned many people denounce them as being a bunch of anti-vaxxers. This is far from true, but like so much propoganda nowadays has an element of truth.

Same reason the media are who pushed the narrative that covid is as bad as the spanish flu. Even though it never was. It has left quite a number of people believing that covid is worse than the normal flu. Which it never was.

I've considered as well, if the media reported the truth. Would our society have considered lockdowns at all? If society knew the truth that covid has lower risk than the normal flu season. We wouldn't have done anything. We know because we dont do anything for normal flu.

Flipside, shouldnt we try to eliminate these things?

sleepysysadmin··on Chomsky: Ending Climate Change “Has to Come from Mass Popular Action,” Not Pols
>“Ending climate change”. As in, the climate will no longer change. How omnipotent these intellectuals think men are.

Then you have jerk klingons coming along and breaking the climate machine. Paradise is much better.

sleepysysadmin··on Swedish study finds discrimination against men in female-dominated occupations
>Why is that a problem? There are countless other "immutable" characteristics on which an employer can discriminate candidates.

Why should there be social equality?

Equal opportunity has enabled egalitarian societies to be tremendously successful. You are fundamentally able to use greater talent base per capita than a society which doesn't. The results will force everyone to do this and this is a great thing.

A problem arrives in which people arent in equal positions. So for us in Canada we have the legal right to discriminate against people so long as we are doing it to benefit a group defined as 'disadvantaged'. However, that doesn't account for anything. So for example hairdressing which is dominated by women can discriminate against men. Reverse sexism is legal. They call this 'leveling' but it is actually harmful.

What you get is a situation in which the 'disadvantaged' are no longer disadvantaged and the advantaged are the disadvantaged.

sleepysysadmin··on Austria makes Covid19 vaccination mandatory as of Feb 2022
Boy this slope is getting slippery.

Did you hear about new black trump virus? It's only killing black people, and named to mock Donald. It might have come from a lab but we won't be allowed to discuss that.

We immediately need a complete lockdown of all black people. Let's start with 2 weeks... also we have a 'vaccine' which comes with lots of asterisks. We had only 1 case, but this 'vaccine' might sterilize all black men.

Dont worry, we have done mandatory vaccinations before. It's safe, it's not like tuskegee again. No need for ethics evaluations.

sleepysysadmin··on Chess Grandmaster Kasparov on Mob Mentality and Groupthink
>Have you tried to confirm this hypothesis, by for example looking at studies that examine the crime rate by both socioeconomic status and race?

This isn't a hypothesis. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Race_and_crime_in_the_United_S...

sleepysysadmin··on Chess Grandmaster Kasparov on Mob Mentality and Groupthink
>BLM's problem[1] is that it's a national movement about local problems. It's city cops, not the FBI, that kill people with impunity. The presidential election is generally not the right place to take action, IMHO [2].

and there are some cities which have done some minimalist attempts to help the situation. I think though it's not a per-state thing. So federal I guess is appropriate but yes so divided from the actual level of government responsible.

>In any event, it seems to me that BLM should focus on police money, and ways to put that money in the hands of people who feel that killing unarmed civilians is wrong, the militarization of the police is wrong, and who is willing to peel off some of that money to fund wholly independent police accountability policies, and non-police solutions to community problems (e.g. community intervention, mental health, etc.)

I think we are divided here. The whole 'defund the police' thing is such a bad approach. If the black community is already interacting with law enforcement so often. Defunding will only harm them.

What's more important to note is there is a problem. There are countless studies and real life examples proving the problem. Even wider, you can clearly prove the bias. Do some action as a white dude and police drive by and nod. Do example the same action as a black guy and you will have a dozen cop cars.

Yet here we are with BLM and they are 99% ineffective. That's an impossible task. In fact like I said in my first post, the only person to have actually done something for them is Trump and he's painted as racist. The democrats who control the government entirely have done absolutely nothing. This is intentional. This is expected. If the democrats solve the problem, blm goes away and then they have to figure out another way to attract the black vote.

So they are intentionally doing nothing.

sleepysysadmin··on Chess Grandmaster Kasparov on Mob Mentality and Groupthink
Gotta love Kasparov. I think he's wrong about black lives matter. He's right that it's a required movement, but he's wrong that it's about power. In fact it's the opposite.

https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=2014-10-18%202...

black lives matter only exists during the election. And what do they have to show for it? Nothing at all.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Floyd_Justice_in_Polici...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Floyd_Law_Enforcement_T...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ending_Qualified_Immunity_Act

Nothing at all passed.

They control the house and never actually passed the legislation. They know they have no power at all. In fact the only person to have done anything for the black community was an exceutive order. https://cops.usdoj.gov/SafePolicingEO

Black lives matter organizers know the democrats aren't doing anything for them. This is in the context of a clear humanitarian crisis. They are actively harming their own goals. Why would they do that?

sleepysysadmin··on Ask HN: Ridiculous job interview. What do I do?
>My code is GPL, lol

Like I dont know either way what's going on. There's tons of examples where an employer has you sign your rights away, then removes the GPL license and then starts publishing the code as proprietary.

sleepysysadmin··on Ask HN: Ridiculous job interview. What do I do?
>Who: Series B startup with ~$100 million in funding, me open-source developer

That $100 million isnt in your pocket. This isn't 100% reliable source of income. It might seem like alot but it's not established yet.

>In a meeting they explain how they were interested in using my open-source project and want to hire me so i could carry out a similar work for them

Sweet, i assume they want to use your code. Might try to be tricky and get you to sign your code away. Then fire you and keep the code base.

>Then they go on and explain i’d have to do 4 more meetings 1-2 hours each, including a leetcode-style tech interview

Kind of a red flag in my books. If they are coming to you, then it's the reverse. Like they should be offering you equity or something. I dunno. They need to win you over and bureaucracy isn't how to do that.

sleepysysadmin··on Ask HN: Is There a Mars Constitution?
Is there a document? obviously not.

Is there a need for a constitution? Early Mars will be dominated by high productivity. You need someone to build and do the things. Recreating massive numbers of vertical industries is impossible to do without people being in top productivity. There wont even need to be a union. The 'king' will be required to keep those people happy.

If there's even a slight threat of being thrown out an airlock, people wont move there. You will fail early. There wont be a need for a constitution for quite some time.

sleepysysadmin··on The Burnout Society
It's remarkable to compare this to buddha's early teachings, modern psychology, economics, cancel culture, and the woes of social media. Such a huge subject that nobody can seem to see or understand in whole.

The deep boredom that wasn't. We must throw people to the lions in a colosseum. People are suffering because they desire to solve this deep boredom. They will constantly escalate the risk or thrill to satisfy this desire but the cure to the boredom is impermanent. Pleasure must be fleeting and therefore the cure for the deep boredom is to not desire.

This isn't to say you cannot live life. You must give up control, give up greed, hatred, and ignorance.

sleepysysadmin··on Expectations data indicate the US is entering recession about now
Recession is by definition 2 quarters of negative gdp growth.

https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth

Literally by definition not even on the brink of a recession.

sleepysysadmin··on How did so much of the media get the Steele dossier so wrong?
>Why pick McKinley's assassination as your evidence, and not, say, the Spanish-American War?

Another excellent example. Thanks!

>And one person (however important) getting shot isn't what most of us think of when you say "people die".

People die is general usage while I was providing a US example.

>And why pick that as the most recent example, instead of, say, the invasion of Iraq?

Interesting? I actually dont believe I've seen the news blamed for that invasion. Typically the reasoning is economic. I wish to know more!

sleepysysadmin··on Does QE Cause Wealth Inequality?
Dont disagree with what you said, but why does the system work like that? It happened when we went off the gold standard. The banks now operate in imaginary terms. The reality is that since it's now imaginary, taxation doesnt exist. It can't exist, in fact the government must now give you money/services in excess of the taxation.

If you aren't rich, you have a net negative taxation. The only people who pay taxes are the people who dont pay taxes, they can pass on the taxation cost to others. It's also why there will be a constant anti-taxation pressure. Why the rich will always be getting a tax cut. The not-rich already dont pay taxes or at least receive more than they pay. The only people who can receive cuts are the rich.

The problem is that to avoid taxation, you put your investments into inflationary immune things. Real-estate, markets, bitcoin. Inflation is what pays for everything. Nobody is paying or even balancing budgets anymore. The only limit there will be inflation keeping the percentages in check. Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk arent billionaires, they simply have significant debt holding inflationary immune.

sleepysysadmin··on There is currently no way to drive between Vancouver and the rest of Canada
wow. their website is fantastic.
sleepysysadmin··on Flint water crisis costs Michigan $600M. Preventing would have cost $80/day
>I'm so sick of debating these things. I'm about ready to give up on government, and instead form Unions that force behavior.

I bet you these uncles do know the rule. They like you are fed up with government not doing those things.

Im not american and dont know what's in the infrastructure bill but I can guarantee that it's not infrastructure. It'll be full of investment in swing states. It will be entirely about buying votes.

sleepysysadmin··on How did so much of the media get the Steele dossier so wrong?
The media occasionally sort of becomes unhinged and only talking to itself. It's hard to attribute why this happened but effectively the consequences is that journalistic ethics standards go out the window. This almost always results in people dying. This kind of behaviour is what starts wars or gets politicians assassinated.

Since this is NYT I'll use an example from NYT.

January 2017: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/19/us/politics/trump-russia-...

Ok fair. NYtimes reporting that phones got tapped. Not exactly a surprise given snowden and how easy it is to get such data. Almost 100% this article is true.

March 2017: https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/04/us/politics/trump-obama-t...

Wait... trump isn't offering the Nytimes their own article? Only months later? By the same author? Does Michael S Schmidt smoke a ton of weed and forgot he himself wrote the article explaining it?

So the fact checkers come down and clearly show Schmidt his article saying he must retract?

https://www.politifact.com/factchecks/2017/mar/16/donald-tru...

Oh no. Fact checkers kind of got this one wrong.

My point... it isn't about facts. Journalistic standard #1 is honesty. They clearly broke the most important rule.

It goes further: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spygate_(conspiracy_theory)

It's a conspiracy theory! Not only is it false...

This is the media falling from journalistic standards. Every single time in history where the media does this, people die. In the USA, the last major time the media did this, Mckinley got assassinated.

sleepysysadmin··on Electric vehicles could fully recharge in 5 minutes with new cable design
The problem isnt the cable.

The latest superchargers are ~250kw dc. Lets even say your battery is 120kwh and you're charging 20-100% to maximize kw. Afterall if you're low or high in batteries it wont charge at 250kw. Thusly lets say we're charging 100kwh. It's simple math to see you'd charge it in roughly 25 minutes. Which is typically what people are seeing with their teslas.

If you want to charge faster say 5 minutes. At 500kw it'd be down to probably 15 minutes or so. At 1,000kw or 1MW you'd charge in around 5 minutes. We havent talked about battery chemistry and what have you. That's what we need.

sleepysysadmin··on Ask HN: Messed up my education, now 30 and regretting it. What to do?
Education != university.

I'm not deriding university, but education is everything. You are educating yourself for your entire life. What you learnt at university was that nobody was there holding your hand. To learn, you must do it yourself.

>But then I look around and see the cool jobs in 3D graphics, in distributed systems, in machine learning, or other "hard computer science" fields, and it feels like I will never be qualified without a graduate degree.

You're bored and you're hitting your 30s where you're concerned about 'could I have been more?' dont worry, everyone goes through this and it gets worse later in your 30s.

sleepysysadmin··on I ended up liking GNOME with the loss of one hand
Gnome3/Unity made the same mistake in my books. Cinnamon won me over very quickly. Since then I very much liked budgie ubuntu. However, my newest love is POPos. The distro from the system76 folks. It has tiling built in if you want it.
sleepysysadmin··on Ask HN: “HN” for Sysadmins?
>Some subreddits are OK like /r/sysadmin. However I find that many communities suffer from a snarky mentality. People who thinik they know everything responding negatively or belittling people who ask questions instead of just answering it. I haven't described it well but I'm sure you know what I'm talking about.

When you put together a bunch of soulless people, it's going to devolve as such. You do have to consider for a second though it's not about negativity or belittling but rather finding the answer.

If I post a thread and ask 'How do you improve performance of threading in python?' You might get a couple people who want to help. You likely won't get the true answer of GIL. Overall the thread will fail.

If you post a thread, 'python threading sucks, doesnt improve performance.' You're going to get 50 people with PHD level answers explaining in depth how you're wrong. You suddenly have your answer.

sleepysysadmin··on English coffeehouses, French salons and the age of the enlightenment (2008) [pdf]
>I'm not sure how you mean "egalitarianism is a trap".

Complicated subject to be sure. I am a through and through egalitarian. That is not to say we should have true equality. True equality is not possible.

> Where does this egalitarianism exist?

Legal, social, etc. Most people would agree places like Canada or Iceland or Norway are egalitarian. I suspect you're arguing from the Marxist classless society point of view. I'll let you define that if you are doing so.

>Wealth gaps are massive and continue to grow basically everywhere in the world.

Because of egalitarianism believe it or not. Lets look at an example. We had X amount of jobs. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labor_force_in_the_United_Stat...

When women entered the workplace, those werent new jobs. Total % relatively unchanged. That means women displaced men. I think this has been great. More talented women replaced less talented men.

However, what did that do? It meant for the same number of jobs, there was far more competition. Supply demand. More supply of workers, and same demand. That means the workers lose. Thus fueling inequality.

>There's now a large class of people who own nothing and likely always will.

https://ourworldindata.org/uploads/2013/05/World-Poverty-Sin...

Not at all. We used to have 90% poverty 200 years ago. Today we're down to 10%. That's for 1 reason and only 1 reason. Capitalism. The trend is obvious as well. Way down. In fact we might expect to see capitalism spread through africa and a few other parts of the world eliminating poverty. No longer will there be people who own nothing unless they do so intentionally.

>Or do you mean you oppose specifically legal egalitarianism? That all people should not be equal under the law; some more equal than others?

Oh no, I dont oppose eqalitarianism in any way.

sleepysysadmin··on English coffeehouses, French salons and the age of the enlightenment (2008) [pdf]
>Romans of course had clean water through fountains and aquifers. Some of that tech was lost through the dark ages, but surely by the middle ages it was rediscovered?

Are you arguing my word usage is incorrect? Yes there was some previous attempts but check out this link https://www.freedrinkingwater.com/resource-history-of-clean-...

>Fountains of clean water are a staple throughout European towns. After all, water is the lifeblood of humans. And if not a fountain, then at least a village well.

Access to water is a thing to be sure but clean water was something else.

sleepysysadmin··on Flint water crisis costs Michigan $600M. Preventing would have cost $80/day
>This is the reason I am not at all concermed about running up the federal deficit to fix infrastructure. We can put future generations in debt by taking out loans, or we can do it by sticking them with a massive repair bill.

A society grows great when old men plant trees whose shade they know they shall never sit in. -Not me

Everyone knows quality investment in the future always works. Especially in infrastructure. Building a new bridge across the detroit river will pay for itself. The caveat with your position is that you cannot indebt a future generation with bad debt. Only 5% of that infrastructure bill is really 'planting trees' but rather instead a bunch of ideological vote buying.

sleepysysadmin··on Flint water crisis costs Michigan $600M. Preventing would have cost $80/day
michael moore is an ideologue you may or may not agree with. However, he's the man on the streets on this one. He's been covering it for decades.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Roger_%26_Me

https://michaelmoore.com/10FactsOnFlint/

However, take that hat off and put on the opposite ideological hat. What really happened?

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