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smugma

1,571 karma · joined March 5, 2021

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smugma··on I'm OK being left behind, thanks
Waiting may not be “unwise” but acting now may be optimal. Even though tooling may be much better in 12 months, if it can improve quality or time now, that’s a net benefit.

Bikers in the Tour de France used to not wear helmets. They were seen as uncouth (“why jump on the bandwagon?”). Helmets today are way better than they were then. But if the utility provided is greater than the cost, of course it makes sense to act sooner.

I’m not explicitly arguing for investing in AI or other newfangled tech, I’m arguing that the premise of waiting may be “sounded” but also “leaves money on the table”, or in some cases, lives.

The author talks about vaccines as a counter example but doesn’t really address the cost/benefit in any detail.

smugma··on Chuck Norris Has Died
https://archive.is/dr5N1
smugma··on Yann LeCun raises $1B to build AI that understands the physical world
Very interesting. I am keenly interested in this space and coincidentally had my blood drawn this morning.

That said, have you considered that “Measure 100+ biomarkers with a single blood draw” combined with "heart health is a solved problem” reads a lot like Theranos?

smugma··on US economy unexpectedly sheds 92k jobs in February
Montreal is the exception to the rule about Canada not being differentiated enough from the US to encourage tourism. It really is quite different than anywhere in the US, it’s more like going to a funny speaking part of France without having to travel so far. They also mostly speak English, which makes it a bit less exotic but more convenient.
smugma··on MacBook Neo
M1 came out Nov 2020.
smugma··on iPhone 17e
6.1" vs. 6.3" on the regular 17
smugma··on How will OpenAI compete?
I understand the underlying quote but not how/why it’s being used here. How is Google giving Gemini away for free to undercut OAI irrational? Anticompetitive, maybe.
smugma··on NIMBYs aren't just shutting down housing
Where are these two places?!
smugma··on Waymo seeking about $16B near $110B valuation
Yes, all those things. Except on cost, at least in SF, MUNI is free for children.

We mostly drive wherever we need to go, especially when it's all of us. But if we're going to a Warriors game, we always take Muni, at it's more convenient (and free for adults too if you show your ticket).

Also, it's generally faster and more convenient (and fun) to get to Chase Center via Muni than driving. Getting back is tough both because this is peak Lyft/Waymo demand as well as peak Muni demand.

smugma··on Amazon's Spending on 'Melania' Is a Barely Concealed Bribe
As this is HN, I wonder what this implies for technology companies as a whole. It's easy to see how the Trillion dollar companies are engaged in this e.g. Tim Cook attended the premiere.

And we see how crypto companies court the Whitehouse through various mechanisms.

How might this factor into "mere" unicorn startups? I think it does but not sure how.

My guess is that if you're an early stage startup that isn't an AI company already worth billions, you can probably ignore this as noise and focus on building product. It's reasonably likely that by the time your startup is sufficiently large, there will be a new administration (because it takes a few years and presumably he will not be president in 2029).

smugma··on Heathrow scraps liquid container limit
Which airports?
smugma··on Apple Creator Studio
Many years ago Apple reduced their pricing on many of these apps. They also made their OS updates free.

Apple wants its customers to buy/subscribe to these tools so that you’re in the Apple ecosystem and buy more hardware and services.

Unlike Adobe, they have profit-maximizing incentives to let you stay on the buy/rent model that you prefer.

smugma··on We invited a man into our home at Christmas and he stayed with us for 45 years
I’m not crying, you’re crying.
smugma··on Waymo halts service during S.F. blackout after causing traffic jams
Failed pretty badly but no reported injuries or even accidents so not that badly.

And if you’re Waymo, it’s a short-term reputation hit but great experience to learn from and improve.

smugma··on Apple allows third party app stores in Japan
App Store commission: iOS apps on the App Store will pay a reduced commission of either 10 percent for the vast majority of developers — including members of the Small Business Program, Video Partner Program, Mini Apps Partner Program, and for subscriptions following their first year — or 21 percent on transactions for digital goods and services. The App Store commission reflects the value of the tools, technology, and services that enable developers to create apps, in addition to App Store distribution, discovery, and ongoing services. Apple payment processing fee: In their iOS apps on the App Store, developers can process payments using Apple In-App Purchase for an additional 5 percent fee.

Store services commission: iOS apps on the App Store will pay a commission of 15 percent on transactions for digital goods and services made on a website linked to by the developer’s app. Developers in the programs mentioned above, and subscriptions following their first year, will pay a reduced rate of 10 percent.

Core Technology Commission: iOS apps distributed outside of the App Store will pay a 5 percent commission on the sale of digital goods and services, including paid apps. The Core Technology Commission compensates Apple for the tools, technologies, and services that enable developers to build and share their apps with iOS users.

smugma··on After ruining a treasured water resource, Iran is drying up
From my understanding your retelling of history is a minority view. For instance, it is in conflict with Wikipedia.

It’s commonly accepted that Mossadegh was thrown out by a coup and that Khomenei seized power through a revolution.

smugma··on After ruining a treasured water resource, Iran is drying up
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1953_Iranian_coup_d%2527%C3%A9...

A key motive was to protect British oil interests in Iran after Mossadegh nationalized and refused to concede to western oil demands.

smugma··on Auto-grading decade-old Hacker News discussions with hindsight
I believe that the GPA calculation is off, maybe just for F's.

I scrolled to the bottom of the hall of fame/shame and saw that entry #1505 and 3 F's and a D, with an average grade of D+ (1.46).

No grade better than a D shouldn't average to a D+, I'd expect it to be closer to a 0.25.

smugma··on Apple Announces Executive Transitions
"Jennifer Newstead to join Apple as senior vice president, will become general counsel in March 2026

Kate Adams to retire late next year

Lisa Jackson to retire"

smugma··on Apple’s head of user interface design, Alan Dye, will join Meta
The Bloomberg article is accessible here: https://archive.ph/VW0Sw
smugma··on Apple Design Official Alan Dye Poached by Meta in Major Coup
https://archive.ph/VW0Sw
smugma··on iPhone Pocket
I got an Hermes (plastic?) strap as a gift and it’s way better than any other strap I’ve ever had. Plastic and steel still look brand new.

Is it worth 10-20X the price of a normal strap? No, but it’s called disposable income for a reason.

smugma··on Trump to impose $100k fee for H-1B worker visas, White House says
And >50% of families could go to Disneyland* and own homes.

* https://www.nytimes.com/2025/08/28/opinion/disney-world-econ...

smugma··on Nvidia buys $5B in Intel
Give up 0.1% of shares to get 5% of Intel.

Seems to be an easy bet, if for no other reason than to make the US Government (Trump) happy. Trump gets to tout his +30% return on investment.

smugma··on California lawmakers pass SB 79, housing bill that brings dense housing
The state is passing laws to serve its current residents.

The state believes local control has not benefited Californians as a whole.

I happen to live in an expensive home in a dense area and I agree with the state.

smugma··on California lawmakers pass SB 79, housing bill that brings dense housing
Median income growth slowing or decreasing does mean things are working well. We don’t want middle class families being shut out of our housing markets and working class folks needing two hour commutes to come support our cities.

Every affordable housing project that gets built slows the growth of the area AMI.

smugma··on California lawmakers pass SB 79, housing bill that brings dense housing
e-bikes seem to have been invented for SF. They solve the hill problem and long lines at school drop offs. I see their growth continuing to reduce car needs in SF.

Sadly, I say this as someone who lives in Duboce Triangle and owns two cars.

smugma··on Japan sets record of nearly 100k people aged over 100
The article also mentions that 60 years ago, Japan had the lowest proportion of 100+ year olds.
smugma··on I didn't bring my son to a museum to look at screens
This is definitely true in SF.

Preschools definitely brag about having no toys with electronics and the posher the elementary school, the less screen time they have.

smugma··on 996
Israel probably is “ahead” by most startup evaluation metrics, both in HW and SW.
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