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snowmaker

3,440 karma · joined October 10, 2006

Scribd co-founder, now a group partner at YC.

Contact: jared at ycombinator.

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snowmaker··on Y Combinator cuts its pro rata stake and makes later investments case-by-case
No, this is a smaller and more technical change. YC's standard deal ($150K for 7%) isn't changing. This is about how we handle pro rata investments.
snowmaker··on Y Combinator cuts its pro rata stake and makes later investments case-by-case
(I work at YC)

There are a couple of things in this comment that aren't true, and I want to respond to make sure that people reading it don't come away misinformed.

YC does not distribute lists of "top companies" to investors, around demo day or at any other time. Quite the opposite - we take great pains to ensure that investors at demo day see all companies as equally as possible.

About other venture firms being investors in YC, it is true that Sequoia was once an investor in YC's funds, but that was a decade ago. We haven't had a venture firm as an investor in YC in many years to ensure there is an even playing field.

snowmaker··on Y Combinator cuts its pro rata stake and makes later investments case-by-case
A few points here that might help:

1) It's not quite accurate to say that YC is running out of money, though I could see how the article could read that way. YC is fortunate to be well-funded. However, we saw that if we continued our previous pro rata policy, that that could eventually happen someday, so we made a proactive adjustment well ahead of time.

2) One of the consequences of our old pro rata policy was that it left us without control of how much money we spent. Because we committed to investing in every round of every YC company, our spending was dependent on how many companies raised money, which turned out to be hard to predict. Imagine running a company where your monthly budget could vary by millions of dollars and you wouldn't know until the end of the month how much you'd need!

3) As far as I know, no other investor in the world has a programmatic pro rata policy (what YC tried from 2015-2019, which we are stopping now per the article). The whole idea was a bit of a crazy invention, and while its motivation was good, unfortunately it turned out to have too many drawbacks.

snowmaker··on Y Combinator cuts its pro rata stake and makes later investments case-by-case
You're right that that is a theoretical possibility, but I think it's very unlikely in practice. In the VC world, term sheets are only technically non-binding; breaking a signed term sheet is considered a Big Deal.
snowmaker··on The Global Dollar Short Squeeze
If you enjoyed this, I recommend Lyn's more recent article, post-covid: https://www.lynalden.com/great-depression/
snowmaker··on Tiger at US zoo tests positive for coronavirus
Actually, the testing rate is leveling off because we have ran out of the necessary supplies to increase it, not because we have satisfied demand. It is still being rationed everywhere in the US.
snowmaker··on YC Companies Responding to Covid-19
Sorry! We had a glitch :)
snowmaker··on Covid-19’s stop-gap solution until vaccines and antivirals are ready
Yes, and there are companies working on exactly this. Abcellera is furthest along: https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotech/lilly-taps-abcellera-t...
snowmaker··on Japanese man tests positive for coronavirus again
It's the opposite. The PCR tests are more specific (99%) than sensitive (perhaps 90%, we're not really sure).
snowmaker··on YC W20 Online-Only Demo Day
We're going to do professional recordings ourselves; founders won't have to worry about video production.
snowmaker··on Finding Time to Invest in Yourself
I think the idea of startups offering perks as a way to compete with big companies is a good one. Being more flexible on how employees work and offering things most big companies don't (fully remote, for example), is one of the things startups can uniquely offer.

The thing about fiddling with liquidation preferences is that it's very hard to change and will have minimal impact on the bottom line for employees. Liquidation preferences only matter in the case of companies that fail, where they might make the difference between making $0 and making a tiny bit of money. Employees will make virtually all of their money on the companies that are successful.

snowmaker··on A Sick Giant
Thank you for introducing me to Duverger's Law! I had been looking for that concept for a long time but never knew how what it was called or how to search for it.
snowmaker··on Cyc
Are there any real world applications that are built on Cyc's knowledge base and actually in regular use? Is Cyc critical to those applications or could they have been more easily built some other way?
snowmaker··on YC and Ginkgo Bioworks announce new partnership for synthetic biology startups
We kept the intent but changed the structure. After trying it both ways, we learned that it worked better when we didn't break bio out separately. So we're still super interested in funding bio companies (hence the Ginkgo partnership), but we don't have a different deal for them.
snowmaker··on YC and Ginkgo Bioworks announce new partnership for synthetic biology startups
We have a similar partnership with Atomwise: https://blog.ycombinator.com/yc-partners-with-atomwise-to-fu...
snowmaker··on American Phrase Book
As an American I found this list funny at first, and then it made me realize how difficult it must be for people who learned English in other countries to come here.

While this may have been intended as a joke, it may actually be useful to people who want to do business in America.

snowmaker··on The days are long but the decades are short (2015)
This is still one of my favorite pieces of writing. I try to re-read it at least once a year.
snowmaker··on Insect 'apocalypse' in U.S. driven by 50x increase in toxic pesticides: study
What's the name / link for the group? I'm interested in learning more about this.
snowmaker··on How Biotech Startup Funding Will Change in the Next 10 Years
I think you answered this very well yourself: "In biology its not at all a good assumption that if it makes sense in your head, then it will work in a human being, because no single person (not even a mythical House MD) has a full mental model of what we currently understand about all our biological systems."

We do our best to vet the eventual scientific feasibility of these ideas, but it's along the lines of "it makes sense in theory", not "it will definitely work".

Because, as you said, our understanding of biology is so incomplete, I think that is the best that is possible right now. But I think that's ok. We (as a society) should be pursuing all the ideas that make sense. Some will work out of the box, some will work with modifications, and some just won't work at all. But this is the only way I know to make progress.

snowmaker··on How Biotech Startup Funding Will Change in the Next 10 Years
Thanks for reading the Shasqi paper and for the detailed comment!

It seems if I can paraphrase your argument that it boils down to: "Just because your drug works in a mouse doesn't mean it will work in a human. So even if it works in a mouse there is still a lot of technical and scientific risk left."

I certainly agree with that. But I don't think it's incompatible with what I wrote in the blog post. The way the economics of the pharmaceutical industry work, it is still worth taking drugs into human trials even if the chances of them working are small.

snowmaker··on How Biotech Startup Funding Will Change in the Next 10 Years
That's fair. I updated the text about OpenTrons. I didn't mean to suggest that all experiments could be automated. Today, as I understand it, it only really pays to automate workflows that you want to do many times.
snowmaker··on Evernote Blows Up the ‘Fail Fast’ Gospel
No. That's not the way investments work.
snowmaker··on Tell HN: Work at a Startup Expo will be at YC on Saturday, June 29
Some of the companies presenting are hard tech companies like you mentioned. For example, Athelas (blood diagnostics), Inokyo / Standard Cognition (stores with cashierless checkout), volans-i (delivery service via drones). Those companies are all hiring for software engineering roles and also other kinds of engineering roles as well.
snowmaker··on Geoff Ralston taking over as President of YC
Good question - it is not obvious.

Y Combinator has one president, Geoff Ralston, who is the president of YC Group, the parent organization.

It has two CEO's: Michael Seibel, who is the CEO of YC Core, the twice-a-year program YC started with, and Ali Rowghani, who is the CEO of YC Continuity, the fund that makes large investments in YC companies when they are at a growth stage.

There are 18 full-time partners, who primarily select and then work with the companies we fund.

snowmaker··on A Quest to Make Gasoline Out of Thin Air: Prometheus (YC W19)
That's a smart argument, but I think what it's missing is that the cost of gasoline is much higher than the cost of its energy equivalent on the electricity market. I.e, the cost of 1 Joule of energy != the cost of 1 joule of gasoline.

Because gasoline is a premium energy source, if we can produce it from photovoltaic sources, we can effectively mark-up photovoltaic electricity. In the long-term, that would make it economical to greatly expand our photovoltaic capacity. The cost equivalence Prometheus is aiming for is: Market price of 1 gallon of gasoline > cost to produce 1 gallon of gasoline using renewable energy.

Another factor is that Prometheus production works in remote areas where transmission losses for electricity are high (i.e., remote hydroelectric plants).

snowmaker··on A Quest to Make Gasoline Out of Thin Air: Prometheus (YC W19)
It depends on the alternative state of the universe. If the alternative state of the universe is you never drove the car, then you're right, this is not clearly better.

If the alternative state of the universe is you drove the same car but burned gasoline that was drilled out of the ground, then this is much better.

snowmaker··on America's Seed Fund: Up to $1.5M for Zero Equity
This blog post is excellent. Thanks for re-sharing! I plan to send this to companies considering SBIR grants in the future.
snowmaker··on Please Don't Say Just Hello In Chat (2013)
One way to split the difference on this issue is to type out your question in a separate text editor ahead of time and store it on your clipboard. That way, when your coworker responds to your "hello", you can immediately reply with your question, saving them the time of waiting for you to type.
snowmaker··on Launch HN: Atomic Alchemy (YC W19) – Manufacturing Nuclear Medicine
This is off-topic for the Atomic Alchemy post, and I don't want to distract from that, but I'll just briefly answer your question about YC.

Roughly half of the companies that join YC are new companies that are just getting started (< 6 months old), and roughly half are more established companies. There are even a significant number of companies each batch that are pretty large (say, > 20 people).

snowmaker··on Ask HN: Does YC ask for option pool and pro-rata rights for their standard deal?
https://www.ycombinator.com/deal/

We do get pro rata rights, but we don't care about the option pool.

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