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sottol

1,009 karma · joined July 2, 2022

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sottol··on Stablecoins Can Have Bank Runs
I think the full article available via archive link here:

https://mattlevine.co/work

sottol··on Korea EV explosion prompts charging rethink, sparks safety fears
So afaik, Hyundai/Kia first recalled around 90k cars over fire risk due to accessory tow hitch, then ~100k over faulty-start-stop AND THEN ~450k SUVs over fire-risk due to seats... but an EV fire gets all the politicians to "rethink"?

EV/lithium fires are worse, but afair ICE vehicles are much more likely to catch fire. Not sure if eg [1] was caused by ICE or EV but that was another bad garage fire incident afaict from English sources. I really don't understand how this reaction jibes with the statistics, seems panicy to me.

According to the NTSB 3.5k/100k hybrids seem to catch fire (3.5%!!), 1.6k/100k ICE and only 25/100k EVs (0.025%) [2].

[1] https://www.nytimes.com/2017/12/21/world/asia/south-korea-fi... [2] https://www.autoinsuranceez.com/gas-vs-electric-car-fires/

sottol··on rePalm: Towards the first unauthorized PalmOS port
Wow!

This also seemed to be first site to show up on HN to show the new Pico 2 / RP2350...

... and it has twice the RAM - so rePalm might run better on it!

sottol··on Massachusetts 'Reviewing' Kei Car Ban After Uproar over Canceled Registrations
Standards of.. Quality? Safety?

Significantly lower? Probably not. I bet in some ways higher, other ways lower. But different for sure.

Problem is probably the landscape of huge cars proliferating in the US vs smaller cars other places.

But safety is not inherently worse in lower speed collisions [1]:

"Conclusions: Although we are generally concerned that drivers of small vehicles suffer more severe injuries, our results suggest that, for real-world accidents, K-cars provide similar safety for drivers involved in frontal collisions as standard vehicles in low delta V impact conditions."

[1] https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/24499113/

sottol··on OpenAI on verge of bankruptcy and heading for $5B in losses: Report
But at what terms?

That will imo largely depend on the GPT-5 release. Have LLMs plateaued or is there another leap-jump?

sottol··on Fujifilm Announces Linux SDK, Helping Drone Makers Use GFX100 Cameras
For the retro vibes?

Or maybe their polaroid-style mini film cameras?

They do _really_ well with their Instax line - afair it was > 50% of their revenue once.

sottol··on [dead]
Reading the article it mostly sounds like someone pretty new to an ecosystem leveling up to an ok level - so more like 0.1x developer (newb) to 1x developer than 1x to 100x.

There's a lot of value in skipping months of familiarizing oneself with a certain framework/language and immediately being productive but it doesn't read like the output of someone like Fabrice Bellard (a 100x in my book).

sottol··on Dual action antibiotic could make bacterial resistance nearly impossible
The antibacterial resistance is often on small DNA loops called plasmids which are often and easily exchanged between bacterial species. I assume this has to do with that, either the resistance would have to develop twice in the main genome or twice on the same plasmid.

In the normal dual antibacterial cases just developing a single resistance and acquiring the right plasmid is enough.

sottol··on Costs from Global Outage Could Exceed $1B – But Determining Liability Is Complex
Terms of Service?

"Naturally, we're never liable for any damages we've caused."

sottol··on Microsoft says EU to blame for the worst IT outage
You can create an appropriate API to run the code outside the kernel. Nobody is forcing MS to run everyone's the security code in the kernel, MS choose to (because it's easier). The law is about fairness and equal access for all. Apple and Linux have shown alternatives.

Sure, it's safer if only a single vendor is allowed to do this but it's also unfair.

sottol··on The Semmelweis myth and why it's not true (2018)
This is not so much about prioritization but outright dismissal and comfortably not questioning the status quo.

Reminds of many surgeons refusal to use checklists a while ago despite showing general improvement in outcomes. Nobody wants to admit they could have done better, change their routine and think they don't need help as they're already really good. [1]

[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=19682451

sottol··on Show HN: Parallel DOM – Upgrade your DOM to be multithreaded
you have to wait a while until the before box starts to stutter, maybe 30-60 secs.
sottol··on Shoplifters Love Lego
> I think the adjacent discussion is much more interesting: What does it say about our society that `s/a touring bicycle with 10 years of warranty/an engine block/` has the same price as 400g of plastic with a Star Wars license?

That's also about the price of a Ford 4-cyl shortblock [1] for $1050 - first large high-precision, mass-manufactured part I could think of. Plus it's solid metal :)

[1] https://parts.ford.com/shop/en/us/engine/other-engine-parts/...

sottol··on DJI announces an electric mountain bike drive system
I don't know that I see anything revolutionary? The peak power seems maybe higher than Bosch CX at 850W vs 600 but continuous power is similar 250W. 800Wh max battery pack size is also not entirely out of the ordinary. The packaging seems nice, the battery seems quite slim and integrate well into ordinary-looking downtube on the Amflow bike - but don't see much otherwise. Weight seems on the high side.
sottol··on Rivian Amazon delivery vans catching on fire while charging: reports
Generally, there's more car fires than you'd think. Summary off google:

"Data from the National Transportation Safety Board showed that EVs were involved in approximately 25 fires for every 100,000 sold. Comparatively, approximately 1,530 gasoline-powered vehicles and 3,475 hybrid vehicles were involved in fires for every 100,000 sold."

That's 1.5% chance of an ICE car burning down, 3.5% of a hybrid. That's even higher than I thought.

I assume this is including accidents and they probably account for the majority of fires, but ICE cars also catch fire parked sometimes. Off top of head, there was a Mercedes GLS recall and the recent Kia Telluride/Hyundai Palisade recall due to car fires in drive-ways/garages when parked.

[http://www.fairfaxcounty.gov/environment-energy-coordination...]

sottol··on Mimicking the cells that carry hemoglobin as a blood substitute
At that point, why not just let Neuralink tickle the right brain regions - seems more sensible than literally stuffing food into your mouth. Also seems closer to being achievable than nano blood.
sottol··on A Bugatti car, a first lady and the fake stories aimed at Americans
The other problem imo is that it just further erodes shared values and beliefs when everyone has their own network of trust. And a shared system of beliefs may be vital to a functioning society I'm starting to believe.
sottol··on Why refrigerators and other kitchen appliances break so easily now
That's a bit of a strawman - I'm sure there are old washer and dryers that were also terrible, it's not inherently a property of all modern washers and dryers.
sottol··on Why refrigerators and other kitchen appliances break so easily now
Modern washing machines, fridges and appliances come with other advantages - especially in terms of efficiency and lower water use.

We have Maytag Centennial dryer and washing machine - they may be robust but they're quite inefficient compared to "modern" washing machines both in terms of water use and cleaning performance (our last known-unreliable LGs lasted 5yrs until we moved). Same with our old Whirlpool dishwasher that seemed to have been tuned to the olden detergents with phosphates and barely cleaned dishes, you often had to rerun some of them vs our millenium Bosch that cleans the same dishes with 1/4 the detergent.

But it's not quite as bad with appliances imo. I have had good luck getting the higher end models without _all the unnecessary bells and whistles_.

It's probably like new cars, efficiency gains come with complexity, so efficiency/reliability might be a trade-off. I, personally, can buy a used replacement board online and replace it myself after 5-10yrs but that still means someone else threw out their machine for parts.

And then on top of that, at least here in CA with $0.4/kWh, a 300kWh/y fridge costs $200/y less to run than an 800kWh/y fridge. That's $2000 over 10 years and might cover several repairs. I wouldn't generally prematurely replace a machine just for efficiency but I'm also not sure running that fridge from 1935 is really monetarily efficient, even if your newer fridge does break more often.

sottol··on DOJ to offer Boeing "sweetheart" plea deal in pursuit of criminal charges
looks like the doj is doing just the slap (or tap?) on the wrist that the market was expecting.
sottol··on you should probably have a kid
I think that's the new value system that leads to having children being such a burden. There are sooo many expectations of parents that they spend all their time fulfilling those without questioning any of them.
sottol··on you should probably have a kid
It's partially because you just can't let kids "be", nowadays they always have to be taught, mentored, entertained and generally watched at all times. Parents are driving themselves crazy spending all their time tend to and planning for the future success of their children but that leaves little time for themselves. I'm pretty it hasn't always been like that - or maybe it's just the Bay Area.
sottol··on The Singularity Is Nearer
Even asic will imo only give us one step-function jump. there will be a huge jump and then it is mostly back to moore's law-ish. maybe the gradient will be a bit steeper but i doubt it.
sottol··on Pocket Z project hopes to rekindle pocket PC form factor with a RPi Zero 2W
I misread this:

> How easy is it to use two handed and not like a laptop?

Two-handed NOT like a laptop? Probably slightly better than touch-typing, the keys might work a tad better that way but I haven't really tried it a lot - just using it to type in web addresses and such.

sottol··on Pocket Z project hopes to rekindle pocket PC form factor with a RPi Zero 2W
i'm not a super discerning keyboard user but it's definitely not a laptop. my main gripe is probably the in-between key spacing, but there's nothing you can do about that in such a small form factor. you can't quite fit your hands, so i'm using as many other fingers as you can fit. at first you tend to hit multiple keys sometimes or don't quite press the key far enough but it just takes a bit of practice and gets 95% better. all in all not terrible, not great. about what you'd expect on a device this size.

I've never used an fx(tec) but judging by the pictures it would be about in-between one of those and a laptop keyboard.

I'd say it's borderline but i've considered using it for "distraction-free"/fun stuff where i want to write something but i'm not bottlenecked on typing speed and maybe just want the novelty of the form-factor. i think the best i can say is that i don't hate it and would use it in a pinch but not for work.

sottol··on Pocket Z project hopes to rekindle pocket PC form factor with a RPi Zero 2W
I just bought NOS Gemini! I tried some of the Windows CE Pocket PCs like the Journada and the Psion 5 line in the mid-2000s but CE was too limiting, the Psions were better. The Planet Computer devices have kinda been the fulfillment of that 20y dream.

I haven't had time to install Linux on the Gemini yet but it's fun. Not sure it would replace my main phone though.

sottol··on Waymo the Leapfrog
That behavior inconsequential during non-congestion hours as the traffic can flow around the bus or else there'd be congestion, and helpful when traffic is near congestion. Traffic models show that it's the sudden acceleration and esp deceleration that "propagate" and cause congestion, accelerating slower and staying (at a safe distance so you don't have to hit the brakes) behind the bus are helpful.

Imo everyone driving unpredictably to "get ahead" and save (literally, do the math) 1 minute on a 30 minute commute is what causes a lot of congestion.

Imo even if a bus took up 10 car spaces, the more predicable driving and slower accel/decel might still be a net positive for traffic flow.

sottol··on Impossibly thin fabric could cool you down by 16-plus degrees
Probably because they're impossibly hard or expensive to manufacture at scale and nobody was willing to front the money to kickstart the research to commercialize.
sottol··on The First Machine-Polished Cybertruck
"It looks unbelievable, almost like it’s invisible."
sottol··on Apple WWDC Event Will Show Whether It Can Be a Force in AI Industry
This might be more defensive and about not letting someone else with better ai features sell more phones (if that's what consumers want).
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