13,486 karma · joined June 1, 2016
1. "Most open source repositories do have eyes on the code"
Seems basically impossible that this is true.
"Debian often has separate maintainers who maintain patches specific to Debian." does not support the previous statement. Debian cherry picks patches, yes.
2. "It's not a coincidence that Linux distros are much less susceptible to malware in their official repositories."
Not only is it not a coincidence, it seems to not even be true.
3. "The play store will always have significant amounts of malware, so this entire conversation is moot."
This seems to just be "a problem can not be totally solved, therefor making progress on this problem is pointless to attempt". I... just reject this?
Your argument is basically "If the Android team cared about user safety then Google would shut down as a business to support them". It's nonsense.
So you saying "but there's a coding interview" again... who cares? Why is that relevant?
Since then it has been incremental. I would say the big win has been that models degrade more slowly as context grows. This means, especially for heavily vibecoded-from-scratch projects, that you hit the "I don't even know wtf this is anymore" wall way later, maybe never if you're steering things properly.
I think because you can avoid hitting that wall for longer, people see this as radically different. It's debatable whether that's true or not. But in terms of just what the model does, like how it responds to prompts, I genuinely think it is only marginally better. And again, I think benchmarks confirm this, and I quite like Fodor's analysis on benchmarking here[0].
I use these models daily and I try new models out. I think that people over emphasize "model did something different" or "it got it right" when they switch over to a new model as "this is radically better", which I believe is simply a result of cognitive bias / poor measurement.
[0] https://jamesfodor.com/2025/06/22/line-goes-up-large-languag...
No it isn't? If I guess what time it is and then look and see that it's around sunset, which is evidence towards my initial guess being right, it is not "suspicious". This is just a fundamentally broken model of evidence.
This seems really odd, probably fundamentally incorrect. "Believing something over time means it is less likely that you are engaging in good faith"? Totally insane take.
And when people were studying ChatGPT 3.5, everyone would go "Oh, but that wasn't 4!", and when people talk about Opus 4.5 they go "4.6 is so much better!".
My personal position right now is that people are extremely bad at evaluating model output/ changes in model capabilities. Model benchmarks do not reflect the position that models are just 10x better than they were a year ago, but with how people discuss them you'd think that 10x was underselling it.
I think there's some resentment. I've seen repeatedly now people essentially celebrating that "tech bros" are finally going to see their salaries crash or whatever, it's pretty sick but I've noticed this quite a lot.
But it's just very obvious to any software engineer worth anything that code is just one part of the job, and it's usually somewhere in the middle of a process. Understanding customer requirements, making technical decisions, maintaining the codebase, reviewing code changes/ providing feedback, responding on incidents, deciding what work to do or not to do, deciding when a constraint has to be broken, etc. There are a billion things that aren't "typing code" that an engineer does every day. To deny this is absurd to anyone who lives every day doing those things.
This is only possibly true if one of two things are true:
1. All new software can be made up of of preexisting patterns of software that can be composed. ie: There is no such thing as "novel" software, it's all just composition of existing software.
2. LLMs are capable of emergent intelligence, allowing them to express patterns that they were not trained on.
I am extremely skeptical that either of these is true.
Well, it's easily the simplest explanation, right?
I agree, and I think it's quite telling what people are impressed by. Someone elsewhere said that Opus 4.6 is a better programmer than they are and... I mean, I kinda believe it, but I think it says way more about them than it does about Opus.
edit: Okay so I was able to confirm the 2024 timeline from the Washington Post and the US Mint does confirm the narrative.
Very sick of these stupid, polarizing headlines. Flat out misinformation.
The irony of this statement is so silly. Once again, you clearly have hang ups.
I've explained everything I have to say.