supern0va

In fairness, I thought the same thing about most types of beer at that age. If you like cocktails and interesting flavors, Chartreuse is genuinely excellent and beloved by bartenders. There are bars that have drink programs that specialize in it, and this has been a thing since far before the shortage.

> Ed Zitron is enjoyably mouthy and rude about AI and AI people

Another read: Ed provides great content to help people afraid of AI self-soothe and pretend that it's not going anywhere.

>The actual risk that the author does not even broach upon for investors... the thing that will actually torpedo this massive investment are the open source open weight chinese models that commoditize the entire endeavor. If you don't have a monopoly, you cannot rugpull and 6x the costs on the consumer.

This is the thing: let's just reason it out. What if OpenAI and Anthropic both fail and end up in bankruptcy? What is the impact to the hyperscalers?

...they just start selling open weight model inference to businesses, or whatever other entity picks up the scraps from the collapsed labs.

It's abundantly evident that there's major demand for compute, and that it isn't going anywhere.

Opus: "You're about to share a post that quietly surfaces that you prefer to be surrounded by sycophants...and the title has a typo."

ChatGPT: "This is your greatest work yet. You might even call it your opus. Truly incredible, you must post it and share it with the world at once!"

Author does give concrete examples of precisely how and why these models end up RL'd to be sycophants.

Exactly. LLMs regress to the mean. If you want don't want average, you need to feed the context to push it away from the mean.

Most consumers? Sure. Upper middle class consumers? They're the sort more likely to buy cars with cash if they're dissatisfied with the value of the financing offered.

As with most things, it'll cater to that demographic and then filter down.

> For homes, it's a very different bar. You'd have a hard time convincing most American families to purchase anything with a >$1000 price tag.

There are plenty of white collar employees in cities paying $500+/month for someone to come clean their home. As one of those people, I could easily see paying low five figures for something like this if it actually worked well and could replace most household labor.

>figure out what the percentage split between Opus/Fable/Sonnet is.

This may be misleading, since I suspect many are using a blend through sub-agents. I tend to bias for Fable to orchestrate and Opus for implementation via sub-agents.

Even then, can you point out where Jarred said this on the Bun blog? Because AFAICT, it seems pretty clear that he said that it took 11 days to get to all integration tests passing, but not to a full release candidate. In his blog post from a few weeks ago, he specifically calls outs:

>Bun v1.4 makes Bun faster, smaller, use less memory and gives the team incredibly powerful tools for systematically improving stability going forward: Rust's borrow checker, Miri (which runs for a growing chunk of code in CI), LeakSanitizer, and 24/7 coverage-guided fuzzing for parsers. There's still more to refactor, but things are off to a great start.

Perhaps you never perused beyond the HN headline?

You may be surprised to hear that the famously socialist paulg might also have a problem with this.

Can you provide a source where they said it was complete? I can't seem to find any evidence of this.

Yep, I'm perfectly content to use the full lane if there's not another option. And that doesn't mean squeezing into the shoulder. No, that means riding left of center to prevent assholes from passing unsafely on my left.

The funniest thing is that tactical use of bike lanes, neighborhood greenways, etc, actually serves to funnel cyclists into specific protected routes such that the majority of other roads have fewer cyclists utilizing them. From my home in Seattle, I can ride several miles to work on roads that were already low traffic volume, but which are faster because cyclists get priority, and cars get diverted away. Before this existed, I just used the main roads that cars did, because it was faster.

Like, if you hate bicycles, you should love bicycle infrastructure. It's better for everyone.

Sure, but just because I may want to filter the photos I post, doesn't mean I want my mirror to show me a distorted view of reality. Isn't this use case more like the mirror, and less like the dating app?

It's unfortunate that there isn't some better way to signal that there's a high chance that a turn is coming (ie, due to active sub-agents). If CC could send a ping saying "I don't need a turn, but please keep this cached at some tier because there will be a turn soon." that would probably help with cache efficiency. Instead, it seems like there's just the shotgun one-hour solution.

Can you expand on this? I can't imagine this is holding up an entire machine or materially impacting capacity. Isn't it common to have a tiered cache and to ultimately evict (or move to another tier) if there's an active inference request and no available capacity elsewhere?

>imagine thinking than people actually care about truthness

I think they actually care about "truthness" when it comes to how others will perceive them. You might filter your face for an online photo.

However, you're not going to want to look at yourself through your selfie camera with a filter that hides your imperfections when you're checking to see if something is stuck in your teeth on a date, don't you think?

There's nuance. People will fudge the truth to be perceived better, but don't want to be lied to when gathering data about how to be perceived better.

>I find it easy to envision a world, maybe 50 years from now, in which the very concept of "truth in advertising" is viewed as a lost, idyllic fantasy. Something people are nostalgic for, but feel powerless to regain.

Alternatively, perhaps we'll see models fine-tuned or steer-able towards accuracy that customers can themselves use to get a more honest view on what the product would look like in person.

The funny thing about these tools is that they can go either direction, but it sure seems like there's the potential for it empower individuals and shift the balance. Clothing sales shifting online has given sellers the advantage/ease to deceive without much customers can do other than hope the reviews aren't manipulated (they are) even before AI. Maybe this can turn things around as people start to shop with personal agents.

Here's a better question: as we've had nearly as large of a data center build-out happen between 2005 and 2020 for non-AI purposes, with similarly high electricity and water demands...where has the concern been? Why is it only in the last 2-3 years that people are suddenly up in arms, as a very specific application is being deployed?

Not exactly. There are some data centers being built in places that don't have the power and water to support them, and obviously it's rational for the locals to oppose them.

But I live in a place where we have plenty of water and relatively cheap power (lots of renewables). There's not much risk to data center construction, but people are opposing it here, too. Because for most people, it's not actually about that.

People are scared about the personal impact from AI, then backfill in justifications without even realizing they're doing it.

If the equivalent numbers for electricity and water usage were being being used for streaming video, I seriously doubt people would be demanding no more Netflix data centers. The news story would immediately die.

Yeah, Cognition's work is interesting in that regard, but it still doesn't obviate the need for the chips--it just enables training on them when they're spread across multiple data centers.

The Plan A proposal estimates that the ownership of ~96% of AI relevant compute hardware can have its ownership traced, since the companies selling are very few.

I recommend actually reading their recommendation, because they get into the weeds about precisely how the US and China could address this in a trustless/auditable way. The TL;DR is that basically all of the relevant compute can be tracked.

Edit: Also, definitely not a Chinese op. The authors are prominent Americans, and are the folks responsible for the AI 2027 forecast that has pretty accurately predicted the current state of affairs today: https://ai-2027.com/

>You want to be a child forever, amazed by your toys or the new things you can do.

I don't think having a child-like sense of wonder at the world, or continued human ingenuity, is a sign that one wants to be a child forever.

I'm genuinely sorry if you've lost that spark.

>You don't need take a dog for a walk, if you live in a normal place that allows dogs to roam freely.

I love my dog and love walking him, even though he can freely roam on my property. I also love walking with my wife, and I don't think her agency has much reason for why I might enjoy it?

>Your mind is a servant of your body. And your body never asked you for that.

...are you okay, friend?

>It's coming from a place of objecting to burnout/overwork culture.

Sure, but that's not everyone. I want this because it's hard to carve out time for my fun side projects. :)

Also, not everyone feels burnt out or overworked, and may find their actual work enjoyable. I've definitely had many showers where I've been thinking about interesting work problems and never felt particularly burdened by it (quite the opposite, in fact).

I'd argue what you're suggesting is more like trying to ban syringes, which have multiple valid uses, in order to stop dirty syringes being left in the street.

As someone with a GLP-1 user at home, responsibly depositing their syringes in an approved container that we dispose of safely at a drop site, I'd rather not have bad users inhibit my access to a tool that makes our lives better.

I'm curious, do you have an example of a level of "woke" extremeness demonstrated by the "rest of them" that is on par with Mecha-Hitler? Because yes, all views on reality are indeed political, but the tendency of most of the models is actually toward the middle, with perhaps some left bias.

I can't help but think you're conflating cause and effect. People are using a tool (AI) to apply a band-aid to a widespread social problem (loneliness and isolation).

It's possible that an "AI boyfriend" might make someone less prone to put in the continued effort to keep rolling the dice on dating apps, but the reality is that there's a more fundamental problem driving this.

Also, I want this tool for work. Just because society is fubar and people are using this tool as a crutch for their inability to find a partner, doesn't mean I should lose better tooling that makes my life easier.

Focus on fixing the actual problem.

Every time something along these lines is posted, comments like this show up.

The thing I don't get is...no one would say this about listening to a podcast or audiobook on a walk.

I'm not sure why people choose to demonize this specific use of time during walks.

Counter-point: I love that my rubber duck can talk (quack?) back, as well as record and summarize my thoughts on topics I'm working or stuck on.

I've wanted a good voice mode for precisely this reason. When I take my dog on a walk and I'm thinking about a bunch of problems/ideas, I'd love to have feedback and a record, or perhaps to even kick off research or ask questions to fill in gaps that would otherwise have me debating pulling out my phone to try to get an answer.