sutterbomb

Forest for the trees - the study was used to drive home a point about the position in the world these graduates were in. The study wasn't used to incite curiosity about p-values.

What rate do you consider hyperinflation? Are we in it now? What measure are you using? Afaik we’ve been running under 2% inflation for quite some time.

Ah yea thanks, didn’t know population for either of top of my head.

What am I supposed to be seeing here? It's just a map of Paris and SF...

What startups would be worthy of inclusion in that discussion? I'm not familiar with any that'd have any implications on market structure.

The lede says "Washington Area" and "Reston-based", so not exactly misleading. DC Metro area is commonly known to include NOVA and Maryland ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Really disagree. My phone spends as much time face-down on tables, desks etc as it does in my hand. True, it's not "in use" but it's an object in my environment and I care how that looks. 1500 words... yea that was a bit boring to read. But in practice, for myself and for many people, the industrial design is actually a very important part of the value.

Can you share details on what specifically isn't computing?

This was my experience and it has worked out really well for me. I've seen a few levels of scale (~120 people to start, ~1500 now), have worked in several different departments and touched nearly every area of the business. Incredible learning opportunities and ability to drive real change/results (which is a main argument for startups) while also having advantages of larger companies in terms of resources, training, pay etc.

I'm curious to hear more concrete examples of where companies can actually sit (and be profitable) in these new layers. I understand the basics of the blockchain, and always find myself nodding my head in agreement while reading these types of articles, but by the end of the article it seems like it just washed over me and I don't have anything concrete to hold onto.

A few others have noted, but search ads are actually perfectly native ads. The form and function are identical to the rest of the stream they are shown in. Setting aside the term "native" then, as the point was much more about brand vs. direct response ad markets.

I'd reword the author's thesis (while keeping the intent) to look like this:

1) All mediums develop native advertising styles over time, which web & mobile are just in beginning stages

2) The market for brand advertising will continue to be larger than the market for direct response advertising

3) Google won't win the market for online brand advertising

It's interesting because I'm the exact opposite. I had an original ipad before I had a smartphone, used it all the time, but then saw an immediate drop in usage when I got the phone. Now as I've gotten more and more used to the phone over the years, my ipad has really started gathering dust.

I recommend it, but obviously it won't deliver on that type of hyperbole. I'm on month ~3 and I've lost significant weight but more importantly it's a very manageable diet that I expect to stick with.

This is very true and too many people overlook it. Many "generic" challenges faced by "business" are similar in nature to technical challenges.

For example, a common business challenge is organizational design.

How do we create an organizational structure that serves the needs of the business and the people who work there? Well to start, what are the basic inputs and outputs of the business? What is needed to transform those inputs to the outputs in a manner that is efficient, adaptable, safe etc. Are there common groups of people that tend to work on common inputs and create common outputs ? Within those groups, are there specific people needed to do specific tasks? Imagine person A, in group A, needs an output from person B in group B. Does person A need to know exactly how the output was created? If you've got this far, hopefully you realize the parallels I'm drawing.

Same types of thought experiments can be applied to all kinds of operational and financial aspects of running a business- most are clear optimization problems. It's unfortunate that too many "hackers" hear the word business and assume it's about boozy dinners with other business people, or boring powerpoints that tell us nothing.

There's plenty of interesting challenges in business, and strong MBA-types are often better prepared to address them because they understand the various design patterns available to them.

You seem to be missing the premise of the argument. You're right that they hedge the downside on this individual deal, but the point is that the upside for this individual deal is still small for KPCB. So why would they do it? Not because they're expecting an upside on that deal, but because inflating the valuation of a darling at a low cost will create a frothier overall valuation market for their portfolio.

~2M visits a month, 60% direct and 30% referral. http://www.similarweb.com/website/example.com

So every single applicant that sends something in will have a discussion with someone one your team? And you find that time is a worthwhile investment?

Ironic that I see you guys advertising on FB all the time. Would love to chat about your marketing efforts there - from everything I've gathered it's a very difficult channel to scale for most businesses. (My email is in my profile if you're game.)

While I mostly agree with the premise, I'm worried many people will internalize the wrong lesson. It seems to imply that quality, as implicitly defined by the examples provided, is a barometer of success. The reality is that there are numerous vectors that you can compete on outside of quality and still be wildly successful.

I'd be happy to have 3 lines of subpar code if it gave me an advantage on other competitive angles.

Looks fantastic, and I love FA so thank you for that.

Probably too late for this feedback, but the pricing differentials between being a backer and just licensing it when it becomes available were too narrow to entice me to back it. I.e. The $30 savings by backing it now instead of (potentially) buying it outright later this year just wasn't enough savings to convince me to back it. You could read this two ways - lower the backer goal amounts, or increase the licensing costs. I think you could safely do the latter :)

> I've learned that people are twice as biased as they think they are, which is precisely why biases are dangerous.

This is a bit backwards. It's more like an inverse relationship - if you don't think you have any biases you are likely to be the most biased. It's probably a factor of 2 for those who admit a level of bias, and a much greater factor for those who don't admit bias.

Assuming that figure is accurate, it's still missing context. 90% are installed that way right now. They do seem to be betting the vendor install channel will continue to be the dominant channel in the future, and that bet will likely play a large role in the success of the product.

Impressive timing for a response. Wonder if they had a little birdy that tipped them off beforehand?

I've found that people who don't cook regularly often overestimate how difficult it is to cook at home. Sure you can go big and cook extravagant meals that take loads of prep time and cook time, but you can also saute some fish filets and some vegetables in 20 minutes start to finish - and most of that time you're still free to do other things around the house.

Of course this advice might not apply in a 400 sq. ft. NYC studio without two burners and room for two pans, but for most people that's not the issue.

Embedded browsers within native apps likely add serious growth for web usage. E.g. Facebook native app is hugely popular, and sends a lot of traffic to a lot of websites within the app's browser.

I suspect that's unlikely - most analytics are focused on time-based sessions, where refreshes don't matter.

Tablet growth still booming, while iPad growth has slowed considerably and is causing analysts to rethink importance of iPad/tablets.

Slide 96 helps tell the story - cheap generic tablets market in underdeveloped countries as tv supplement/replacements.

HN user btilly has a really helpful essay on the math behind stopping tests earlier than your predetermined sample size. It calls for setting a maximum duration, and provides stopping points along the way. Works similar to the method AirBnB describes.

http://elem.com/~btilly/ab-testing-multiple-looks/part2-limi...

Where do you find the provisional application date? I read the post, and skimmed the linked patent application but never would have found that in the patent application while skimming the filing.

I'm glad that you did find it - that is indeed very important information to take into account.

One note though - your tone and suggestion of "an open-and-shut witch-hunt" is very aggressive and makes me instantly think that you have ulterior motives. No idea if you do, but I feel like you were jumping to conclusions about the intent of the author. Can you imagine a scenario where the author didn't know about the provisional application? That's not an excuse, but changes the scenario from disinformation to misinformation and witch-hunt to mistake.

Looks interesting. I want that technology but just to transfer paper notes/sketches to digital. I've tried using stylus on iPad for wireframes etc. but I can't quite get it to work same as sharpie & paper.