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sysguest

117 karma · joined August 22, 2025

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sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
> its outlasting the American will for the war until a leadership change happens

well even in the best-case scenario (trump impeachment), I highly doubt any democrat president can actually stop at status quo -- rather, the next president has exactly zero choice but to wipe out iran MORE than trump (and call trump a weakling)

just leave Iran be and get out? well he/she could, GIVEN that Iran didn't show its potential to be bully on the gulf states and didn't even think about that $2M toll...

now? well even if a pirate has a sad back story, doesn't mean the navy can leave them be.

by missiling everyone nearby, iran just became too dangerous to nearby neighbors...

by even talking about $2M toll, iran just became too financially dangerous even to strait users... I mean, even if it's "just $2M", what will stop iran from asking $5M, $10M, or even $100M ?

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
well you don't expect them to fight bravely -- well, I don't even expect Saudis to even send their own citizens to iran

rather, you expect them to pay for the missiles and mercenaries like gurkhans

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
well I don't actually think Saudi & UAE will send their own countrymen...

rather, they'd just use oil money and pay gurkha mercenaries

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
well with all the oil money, saudis and UAE don't even have to send their own citizens:

they can just pay gurkha mercenaries for the job

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
> it's extremely hard to "make a lesson out of" Iran if you depend on moving oil past their borders

it's not just gulf states -- look at who are the customers of those gulf states are. the whole asia, europe, and america -- the whole world is their customer.

Even if it's "extremely hard", those countries have no choice but "make a lesson out of" iran -- just like what we did with pirates

why would those "customers of gulf" just leave iran? after US leaves, will iran regime suddenly become nice and stop forcing that $2M-per-voyage bill?

no, and even if iran regime promises "I'll never bill those ships", how could you trust on that promise? the only way to ensure free-ship-passing would be obliterating Iran as an example, even if US backs away.

> They are also not neutral - they have been paying in to the US protection racket

hmm so were they "helping" US bomb iran? "being neutral" means it didn't participate on attacking iran, not whether it paid or not.

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
yeah I did expect US to know all those things...

but what I did NOT expect, is how Iran regime would choose strategically suicidal options just to "feel good"

missile-rambo even on non-combatant countries? that'll trigger self-defense attacks...

$2M per voyage? woah... the stait-users don't have a choice, but "make an example out of" iran...

I mean, iran should have just shot israel with all its missiles (select and focus), and bring that "missle interception rate" down to 40%.

Now what did iran gain from shooting everyone? making more enemies, and showing your weaknesses (96% missile interception rate, even from UAE? wtf...)

don't get me wrong -- I'm not saying Trump was right on starting the war. I actually think what the fk was he thinking back then...

I'm just saying even if you're angry and desperate, there are wise choices and dumb choices

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
well I guess that makes Iran really fked up...

the strait-using countries are surely going to "make a lesson out of" iran exactly for that reason

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
woah so you read this as "iran is morally wrong"?

well, that's secondary thing right now

what's dumb is dumb

what's the least thing you should do when fighting a war? making more enemies.

even on moral side... if someone in walmart bullies you, and you bully back to your classmates, does that make you morally justified?

plus, if you showed your cards ("decades-old deterrence threats"), you're out of options

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
> which country started this whole mess?

what has already started, is already started -- I agree on Trump being dick, but does that make iran's "making new enemies" a wise move?

> NATO already told trump no, other countries won't give different answers.

of course it said no BEFORE IRAN started the $2M toll (and other countries don't like trump due to tariff-for-everyone)

if the current iran regime was strategically wise, iran should have fired everything it got to Israel, and make the missile interception rate down to 40%. That would have actually showed it's power.

now, with even UAE's missile interception rate of 96%, iran actually showed its missiles are nuisances, not some existential threat.

600,000 men and 300,000 in reserve -- well that would have mattered a lot in medieval wars... "they have an airforce" -- well do they actually have planes? "have a working intelligence network" -- hmm...

no you're way way way over-estimating iran

the only strategic move for iran was selecting one specific target (israel) and focusing all its might, not becoming a rambo

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
That's what will happen due to iran's dickhead move...

Being bombed does not mean it can target non-combatant countries without consequences... Nor does it mean it can start tolling ships $2M per voyages...

Now that current iran regime has learnt it can do those things...

what choice do the gulf nations, or even all the asian+european (strait users) nations have?

Form a coalition against iran, and send troops to change the regime...

even if US backs away, the others will finish the job

sysguest··on Miscellanea: The War in Iran
idk this move, along with firing missiles even to non-combatant countries, is going to fuk-up iran...

I mean, even before the $2M toll, if you're kuwait/UAE/saudi/etc, what choice do you have? form a coalition against iran

now.. with that $2M toll, iran just learnt it can just toll the ships...

so what choice do all those strait-using countries have? pay $2M or more, even after US leaves?

nope... they'll form a coalition against iran

it's highly unfortunate that trump started the war, but iran's way of things are just making more enemies -- it'll pay with regime change within few months

sysguest··on Show HN: Will my flight have Starlink?
wtf was this a upfront lump-sum money?

well even if I was the ISP, I'd just take the money and make the job "take forever"

sysguest··on Show HN: Will my flight have Starlink?
well for electric grid, you only need "local" connections -- eg. just your town and the generator...
sysguest··on Show HN: Will my flight have Starlink?
this

people here don't understand how large USA is -- connecting every corner with copper/fiber, with all the intermediary networking devices means tax money...

sysguest··on Corruption erodes social trust more in democracies than in autocracies
well that's a different 'kind' of corruption

corruption you have to GIVE to get stuff done

vs corruption with loophole for RECEIVING money

(I'd rather have the latter )

sysguest··on RAM kits are now sold with one fake RAM stick alongside a real one
fking can't understand this one...

I mean, it's much cheaper to buy 2x8gb than 1x16gb or even 1x32gb (and 2x8gb is faster than 1x16gb..)

are these people idiots??? ram-slots are computer real-estates

sysguest··on US Court of Appeals: TOS may be updated by email, use can imply consent [pdf]
and you're not allowed to open a restaurant (same food industry == competition) if you have even took one bite of the burger
sysguest··on iPhone 17e
well we have galaxy fold tablet-as-phone, so... maybe not all is lost?
sysguest··on Windows 11 Notepad to support Markdown
hmm... ok maybe that's reasonable

charge extra premium for a "secure vanilla-text™ pure unadulterated wysiwyg editor" experience should be a thing for the "security-minded" enterprises

sysguest··on Windows 11 Notepad to support Markdown
wat?????

wtf why?????????

sysguest··on Windows 11 Notepad to support Markdown
idk maybe TextEdit DOES have some rce not discovered yet?

maybe we should separate "real origianl text-only editor" from "fancy text editor"?

windows already got wordpad... why even lay a finger on textpad?

sysguest··on Firefox 148 Launches with AI Kill Switch Feature and More Enhancements
that's.... really clever
sysguest··on Reading the undocumented MEMS accelerometer on Apple Silicon MacBooks via iokit
well wouldn't it add up?

someWhatRandom1 xor someWhatRandom2 xor notRandom3 xor ...

should be more 'random' than just 'someWhatRandom1'

sysguest··on Reading the undocumented MEMS accelerometer on Apple Silicon MacBooks via iokit
well it would be hardened when contact with air or something

see "Shipping Damage Indicators"

sysguest··on Reading the undocumented MEMS accelerometer on Apple Silicon MacBooks via iokit
idk you can just use simple liquid-container or sticker?

maybe apple was preparing for "carrying-around laptop experience"?

sysguest··on Ask HN: Why is my Claude experience so bad? What am I doing wrong?
hmm but wouldn't that rapidly spend my tokens?
sysguest··on The microstructure of wealth transfer in prediction markets
+1

if you're not the person-in-complete-power, your bet is really likely to be 'rigged' against you

I'd rather play dice or buy lotteries

sysguest··on The recurring dream of replacing developers
> yet we ended up outsource our factories and the entire sector withered.

hmm outsourcing doesn't contradict Jevon's paradox ?

sysguest··on Iran Is Hunting Down Starlink Users to Stop Protest Videos from Going Global
agreed

on tech side, I'm not wireless-guy, so I'm giving ble as an example ('something like ble') not as some prescription

btw, maybe elon could add those SATCOM features to starlink? (or is it physically costly -- eg. require changing those satelite hardwares? or would some software update do?)

sysguest··on Iran Is Hunting Down Starlink Users to Stop Protest Videos from Going Global
well that's why you need to move around
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