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technotony

1,839 karma · joined February 11, 2011

COO at Wild Earth www.wildearth.com
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technotony··on Roman Empire per capita GDP shows the Romans were poorer than any 2015 country
Median income perhaps, or GDP of the bottom 25% of the population? The current theory is that GDP increases trickle down, but it's not totally clear they do in the current system. Those metrics might lead to better overall outcomes on the key happiness metrics.
technotony··on VCs are suing the US for delay of immigration program
Your O1 information is incorrect. You can self apply for O1 or apply with a manager. It's often used for creative careers, eg actors (and amusingly porn stars according to my attorney), where the concept of a manager doesn't make sense.
technotony··on Hugh Hefner has died
Just to help others reading this comment, here's a link to the widipedia article: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Larry_Flynt
technotony··on WSU researchers see popular herbicide affecting health across generations
What's the basis for that presumption? Are you arguing humans evolved during that period to be less affected by the natural chemicals? Are you invoking some kind of gaia hypothesis? A chemical is a chemical whether it's natural or synthetic, there are plenty of natural chemicals which will easily kill you. If anything novel synthetics that have been through a rigorous regulatory review process should seem safer than natural chemicals whose toxicity has been less well studied.
technotony··on WSU researchers see popular herbicide affecting health across generations
Yes, and they can be just as dangerous to health. People seem to fail to realize that natural isn't synonymous with harmless, plenty of natural things will kill you so we shouldn't be surprised that 'natural' pesticides are also dangerous, maybe more so as they haven't been through the same safety studies synthetic ones have to go through. https://blogs.scientificamerican.com/science-sushi/pesticide...
technotony··on Biological Technology in 2050 [2001 predictions]
Pretty amazing how on point the major trends in this have proven to be, and it goes on to make interesting predictions for what is yet to come in the industry...
technotony··on Amazon's War on Fake Eclipse Glasses Trips Up Newbie Merchant
Most of them aren't actually 'fake', they are just not rated high enough to look directly at the sun. I bought a ten pack on ebay on Friday, and only 2 pairs were ISO 13 or higher, the other 8 pairs were ISO 5 grade. They are still ISO rated, just not for eclipses. So to check, look and see what rating you have on your glasses and look for >13.
technotony··on Are Fake Instagram Influencers Deceiving Brands?
I've been burned by this a couple of times. Posted something with an influencer and got over 1,000 instagram likes both times, but basically zero traffic and zero sales. I only spent about $50 total so should have expected bad results from that much price/promise but this is a real thing... facebook should tackle by blocking these accounts or at least creating a market for doing this legitimately (in which case they get a slice of course)
technotony··on Scientists Edit a Dangerous Mutation in Human Embryos
Enough people living today will have their genome sequence that if that's true you can just edit in the 'diversity' later in the future if that's needed.
technotony··on First Human Embryos Edited in U.S
Actually medical ethics struggles with this question. The right of deaf parents to have deaf children so that they can understand deaf culture is a major case study. Here's one article, the ethics community hasn't answered this one as far as I understand (there are many more recent articles). http://www.independent.co.uk/news/science/deaf-parents-could...
technotony··on Why Should I Start a Startup?
I'm not sure you actually read this because it's pretty obvious that it actually tells many people not to do a startup and makes it clear that 'getting rich' or 'succeeding' isn't a very good reason for doing one. It gives three pretty clear criteria for starting a startup that most people won't meet- those that do might be worth considering it.
technotony··on SAFEs are not bad for entrepreneurs
Also, then the $25k would come out of the management fee rather than the LP's capital. Even less incentive for the fund manager to go this route!
technotony··on Bancor Is Flawed
Yeah, you can lend out your bitcoin. for a daily interest rate and set the loan length to between 2 and 60 days. Lenders principle is in theory protected by a margin account. Interest rate is between 0.1% and up per day, which probably reflects the risk. I believe market depth is about 4,000 btc, so enough for an amateaur to play but not a hedge fund.
technotony··on Bancor Is Flawed
You can short on Polinex and Bitfinex...
technotony··on Venture investors blast US decision to withdraw from Paris Climate Accord
Trump once again shows he's a political savant. This was the obvious move for someone who cares more about power than doing the right thing: he delivered a campaign promise, he appears strong to his supporters, he gives congressional Republicans something they want and at the same time acquires a bargaining chip with Europe and China that he can cash in later. It takes four years to unwind, so there isn't even much damage and he can announce some new deal right before he's up for election. By dragging the decision out for a week he also distracted from any ongoing talk about Russia etc. Kind of a classic agency problem: this is good for him, bad for the rest of the world.
technotony··on Why Chinatown Produce Is Cheap (2016)
Fascinating. I'm wondering if there's an opportunity for a tech startup to replicate this network more generally. I could see the network connecting the sellers with the farmers directly, plus coordinating delivery of the veggies... it's an easier problem than ubereats delivery as you've got fewer nodes. Maybe you even skip the sellers entirely, which basically gets you to CSA boxes but those always felt expensive to me (I'm not sure why)
technotony··on Gett in advanced talks to buy Juno for $250M as Uber rivals consolidate
I'm not sure it's 'so far out' Waymo is running such a service in Phoenix: https://techcrunch.com/2017/04/25/waymo-begins-first-public-...
technotony··on Ask HN: US Visa for foreign founders after first seed
yeah, but for a European who has ESTA you have to explain why you need 180 days not 90 days. They are very suspicious of why you need longer, I know because I tried and got rejected and then had to tick that box while getting my O1 and EB1. You are depending on the whim of the guy you meet on the day. Best to stick to ESTA and avoid B1.
technotony··on Ask HN: US Visa for foreign founders after first seed
Not good advice, a B1 does not allow you to operate a business (though you can do sales or take meetings). You need to speak with a lawyer to determine what counts as working on your business. Also it's very hard to get a B1 as a European due to the visa waiver program which gives you 90 days - you need a very good excuse why those 90 days aren't enough (remember you aren't allowed to operate a business), and if they reject you then for ever after you have to click the button on the immigration form saying 'have you ever been denied a US visa'.

Your best options are the O1, if you think you can meet three of the eight criteria, or the E-2 visa. Both will cost $5-10k in legal fees and distract from building your business. Eligibility for E-2 with $100k in investment (must be from your home country does not have to be from you) will depend on your business plan.

Either way, you have to talk to a lawyer not an internet forum. Most lawyers will give you advice for free on the expectation that you will pay them to do the work.

technotony··on Trump Wants Tax Plan to Cut Corporate Rate to 15%
I think the big thing about this is that it will lead more companies to bring capital back to the US from overseas where they are hoarding it. If they either spend it or distribute it to Americans that's likely good for the economy. It also improves the IRR for projects, which should lead to more investment. Hopefully, it works to get the economy going.
technotony··on Saturn moon 'able to support life'
Well geologists think our impact can already be measured enough to leave a trace and are calling the era of man the 'Anthropocene'. Climate change and mass extinction are two of these features, but there will also be radiation from nuclear tests, plastic waste and impact of domestication on animal fossils. https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2016/aug/29/declare-...
technotony··on Saturn moon 'able to support life'
These are separate variables in the equation. The drake equation multiplies a bunch of probabilities together, one of which is "probability of planet having life" and another is "probability of life becoming technologically sophisticated". A the moment we don't really understand how life starts, so it could be really really unlikely or it could be pretty common. finding independent life events in our solar system means it's pretty common (otherwise it could be 0.00001%).

Here's the full equation: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drake_equation

technotony··on A Baby with 3 Genetic Parents Seems Healthy, but Questions Remain
This. Society, wrongly in my opinion, seems to have converged on a 'do no harm' philosophy. Essentially we seek to minimize the risk of type 1 errors (approving a technology that causes harm) but in the process increase the number of type 2 errors (delaying or rejecting a technology that would have been safe). I think the reason is because those type 1 errors are visible and can be seen, so cause backlash, whereas the type 2 errors cannot be seen so easily. I do think we'd be better off balancing these two risks rather than just minimizing type 1s (of course this is hard as many type 2 risks are of the unknown unknown variety).
technotony··on After Years of Challenges, Foursquare Has Found Its Purpose, and Profits
Well to get you to share your data, they need to provide value to you which is helping you make decisions on where to eat... that's the web business model, you give up data in exchange for something, company sells data (and sometimes access to you too, like Facebook).
technotony··on Unsupervised sentiment neuron
Have you looked at cross referencing against the star ratings? Would be interesting to see how predictive this was of those ratings... or even if another variable in the system could predict that?
technotony··on Unsupervised sentiment neuron
What you are proposing with the rat brain simulation/scan seems pretty close to what the Blue Brain Project folks are doing: http://bluebrain.epfl.ch/page-56882-en.html
technotony··on FDA Authorizes Ten 23andme Genetic Health Risk Reports
It's way less than that. They scan SNP's, of which there are about 10 million in total. So only 0.3% of the human genome varies between all of us. I think they only do the 602,000[1] most common SNPS, which is only 0.02% of the genome though they might do a few more.

A SNP is a Single Nucleotide Polymorphism, ie places in the genome which vary from the reference human genome by change of one base pair. [1] https://www.snpedia.com/index.php/23andMe_v4_differences

technotony··on Every attempt to manage academia makes it worse
There doesn't need to be a metric for that, it's the manager's job to use their judgement to assess that by building a relationship with the person, seeing how well they communicate their ideas (a sign someone understands things), that they finish what they said they would do etc etc.
technotony··on Amazon Cash
They are growing really fast in the USA, mostly because the banking system here takes advantage of people much more than the banking system in the UK. Prepaid cards give people control over their financial lives, they are expensive but cheaper than overdraft fees and expensive credit lines. Growth is coming from younger demographics, so I'd say likely to keep coming: http://www.businessinsider.com/the-rise-of-reloadable-prepai...
technotony··on Open Philanthropy Project awards a grant of $30M to OpenAI
I one person who isn't sure about that. I don't see why it wouldn't be good for us to evolve into something more advanced. Whether that's through melding with AI or advanced genetic engineering that outcome could be fantastic (assuming the transition is well managed, broadly distributed and happens through choice etc). It could lead to elimination of disease, aging, reduced ecological footprint, all kinds of benefits. And of course we've evolved before, it would be sad I think if this was the final state - I think we can do better!
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