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thefalcon

500 karma · joined October 3, 2016

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thefalcon··on Big Companies and the Military Are Paying Novelists to Write Sci-Fi for Them
Aren't something approaching 100% of those stories pulled from the headlines? (Not disagreeing with you that they would also make good training cases.)
thefalcon··on Apple Plans to Release a Cellular-Capable Watch to Break iPhone Ties
An Apple Watch as a kind of iPhone Lite, not supplementing your phone but actually replacing it, could be an attractive option for a lot of people. Most of my extended family members don't use any apps, don't use their phones for e-mail. They do use the camera though, so that alone might be enough to keep them from switching.
thefalcon··on A board game company defined video game ads for 20 years
I had to know more so I looked up how they made those screenshot maps in Nintendo Power:

"That machine that we had at Work House in Tokyo looked like a VCR or something. It was huge. They'd hook it up to the game system, and then it would print out a picture that was maybe four postage stamps big. It wasn't even as large as a Polaroid. It would print out this beautiful color picture, and then these guys would sit there and take their X-Acto knives and cut out the trim, and then they'd paste them onto this larger board, and make this huge board that was the entire map."

http://www.gamasutra.com/view/feature/183233/nintendo_power_...

thefalcon··on Squaring Venture Capital Valuations with Reality
I'm actually surprised that it's as low as 50% of unicorns playing these valuation games.
thefalcon··on Bitcoin Exchange Had Too Many Bitcoins
Having Big Blockers off on their own chain instead of causing headaches for the Bitcoin legacy chain is probably increases the value of BTC by about 15%, so the math works out. (I'm being a little flippant here, but on a serious note we have no idea how the value of BTC was affected because 15% daily swings aren't something anyone even bats an eye at anymore.)
thefalcon··on Bitcoin Exchange Had Too Many Bitcoins
Good call. I've only ever read this and, interestingly, the semi-related Dole article, but they were both superb. Subscribed.
thefalcon··on Bitcoin Exchange Had Too Many Bitcoins
This is the most clear and concise explanation I've seen. Bravo Mr Levine[1]. It's worth noting that some people tried to pull this off because Bitfinex's official communications seemed to clearly state that this is how Things Would Work, at least until after the fact when they realized what a mistake that would be.

[1] Ninja edit to specify to whom credit is due.

thefalcon··on Bitcoin Exchange Had Too Many Bitcoins
Fair enough, we'll all find out in due course. The constant flow of comments where people are trying to equate this particular hard fork (the end result of a very long and messy civil war) with any old Joe creating his own BTC fork is clearly just grinding my gears a little too much. There's a reason to expect BCH to end up as more than just a boondoggle (to the extent that any cryptocurrency can be said to be more than just a boondoggle): Bitcoin with larger blocks has been desired by many people for a very long time.
thefalcon··on Bitcoin Exchange Had Too Many Bitcoins
My point is that there is no driver for the price to crash. There will not suddenly be a surprise supply of BCH found that will flood the market. Everyone knows that there is 1 BCH for every BTC out there, and that almost none of that is currently able to be exchanged on a market. That includes every single person who is driving up the price of BCH by purchasing it in the limited markets where it is available.
thefalcon··on Bitcoin Exchange Had Too Many Bitcoins
You're saying that people buying BCH right now aren't aware that there's a huge glut of supply waiting to flood the market, and aren't taking this into account in their buying decisions?

There is no need for anyone to have BCH in hand today, no reason for someone to value a BCH today more than a BCH in a week. If they thought that thousands of people selling BCH once they are able will lead to a drop in price, they would just buy at the lower price.

thefalcon··on Bitcoin Exchange Had Too Many Bitcoins
This line of argument makes little sense. In the markets that do offer a way to buy and sell it, there's still a market setting the price. This idea that there will be totally different market forces at work once more people have access to the market is silly. I would not buy a $400 BCH today if I wasn't also willing to buy a $400 BCH when transaction volume is 1000x what it is now. If anything the fact that there's not an insane selling frenzy from those "lucky enough" to have access to their BCH on an exchange shows that there's a real demand for BCH as a currency.

There seems to be a lot of propaganda out there trying to marginalize and minimize Bitcoin Cash. The belief that literally everyone will instantly sell their BCH as soon as they can seems to be one of the messages of that propaganda rather than a reflection of reality.

thefalcon··on Bitcoin Cash Soars to $700, Coinbase Customers Threaten to Sue
This isn't Timmy from accounting splitting off from Apple. This is the iPad division splitting off from Apple. If I'm holding Apple stock, I sure as hell expect to end up holding iPad stock in the event of a split.
thefalcon··on Bitcoin Cash Soars to $700, Coinbase Customers Threaten to Sue
I can't imagine they'll continue to ignore the third largest cryptocurrency by market cap. Also it would be crazy for them to have encouraged their users to withdraw BTC prior to the fork if they were insolvent. I imagine it will all work out, though Coinbase loses lots of reputation points from me for by insisting on being so slow and reactionary instead of proactive like several other exchanges.
thefalcon··on Bitcoin Cash Soars to $700, Coinbase Customers Threaten to Sue
The latter part of this comment seems to confuse BCC/BCH with BTC.
thefalcon··on Apple Reports Third Quarter Results
Talking heads like to say Apple needs major changes and to blow everyone out of the water. Apple knows they just need to keep making incremental changes and keep up with demand and they will [continue to] achieve insane sales.
thefalcon··on The first Bitcoin Cash block has been mined
It has the momentum and the majority mining (hash) power behind it, which is the most important thing in a cryptocurrency using proof of work. That said, nothing in this life is actually certain, and major flaws in Segwit could be found that cause the power to flip over to BCC and BTC could end up going down the drain. Or both BTC and BCC could lose out to Etherium or the USD or gold. Nobody knows the future, but the easy money is on BTC remaining the lead horse in this race.
thefalcon··on The first Bitcoin Cash block has been mined
That's the crux of it. BCC is truly the end result of the years long civil war within Bitcoin, and so represents a significant minority of users and miners who really wanted larger blocks over Segwit and are willing to put their money where their beliefs are. This hard fork has been a very long time coming, unlike some Bitcoin clone that anyone could set up.
thefalcon··on Hidden surprises in the Bitcoin blockchain and how they are stored (2014)
Moore's Law/Kryder's Law ... advancement in technology outpaces growth.
thefalcon··on Thoughts on OpenAI, reinforcement learning, and killer robots
I believe it is unfair (and unwise?) to throw in modifiers such as "very long-term" in the quoted sentence, or "very distant" in:

> It is hard for me to empathize with Musk’s fixation on evil super-intelligent AGI killer robots in a very distant future.

The truth is we don't know, (we can't know,) and we (on the whole) are making enormous strides. And it could take one small breakthrough to find ourselves "very" suddenly on the precipice of AGI and evil super-intelligent killer robots. Dismissing the current state of progress as trying to beat Atari is silly.

I, for one, am glad that some people with the resources are taking some efforts to get ahead of that "evil" aspect. But I don't see this as an "us" vs "them" scenario: it's also great that there are people helping make neural net algorithms more accessible.

thefalcon··on DEFCON is in town, and Las Vegas club's site gets hacked
Money.[1]

[1] http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-25667299

thefalcon··on Bitcoin Cash: Why It's Forking the Blockchain and What That Means
The comments here (which overall are measured and reasonable relative to elsewhere) lead me to believe that this "us vs them" combative mentality will continue. It seems as long as there are two chains, supporters of one will still be trying to attack and hope for the demise of the other, even though I share your hope that the opposite will happen.
thefalcon··on Marc Andreessen answers questions from Stripe Atlas founders
IMO the first thing that you should have on your website is an e-mail collection mechanism. I want to sign up to know when you have a product because this looks promising.
thefalcon··on Marc Andreessen answers questions from Stripe Atlas founders
Listing influential books:

"The Baroque Cycle—a work of rigorously researched historical fiction with only the slightest overlay of science fiction—tells the story of the emergence of the modern world and its systems (democracy, the scientific method, financial markets, etc.) in a way that is wholly fresh. These novels make me think about what a Neal Stephenson of 2300 may write about our times and us."

That last sentence is fascinating to me, and I think telling about what helps a Marc Andreessen stand out as a person.

thefalcon··on Impossibly Hungry Judges
A) Cases are not presented in a random order, B) judges attempt to complete all cases from a given prison before a break is taken, C) the study groups together "deferred" and "not granted parole" - it's possible "deferred" cases are pushed to the back of the prison's docket. Also, D) shared representation is common, and in these cases it's possible and likely for the representative (who chooses what order to present his cases to the judge) to present the most promising case first.*

How this at all boils down to "hungry judges" and then gets reported as such is basically everything wrong with science reporting (which is to say, almost everything is wrong with science reporting).

* Probably oversimplified from http://www.pnas.org/content/108/42/E833.full

thefalcon··on Sorting 2 Tons of Lego, Many Questions, Results
Customer labor - love it!
thefalcon··on Sorting 2 Tons of Lego, Many Questions, Results
The album says it was about a week of work. It really is a very impressive album, too!
thefalcon··on Sorting 2 Tons of Lego, Many Questions, Results
There are card identifier apps that connect to your webcam - you just flash a card under the camera and it will identify the card and set (used most often to give a quick market price or help you catalog your collection digitally) but you could definitely fit that into a larger automation project.
thefalcon··on Kill sticky headers (2013)
iBooks, at least, offers a scrolling option (same menu where you select font size)
thefalcon··on What works in e-commerce – A meta-analysis of online experiments [pdf]
Thankfully, clicking CANCEL opens the PDF anyway.
thefalcon··on Amazon has a patent to keep people from comparison shopping in stores
At some of the big box stores near me it doesn't even need to be intentional, they're just in a near blackout zone with my carrier. Their Wi Fi doesn't tend to perform a whole lot better though.
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