Most people don’t know how to do this.
2,745 karma · joined December 30, 2012
Most people don’t know how to do this.
LLMs will become more efficient, GPUs, memory and storage will continue to become cheaper and more commonplace. We’re just in the awkward early days where things are still being figured out.
The greater variance of real world data might avoid this effect.
- Someone made a slightly different tool for using LLMs (may or may not be useful depending on whether existing tools meet your needs)
- Someone made a model that is incrementally better at something, beating the previous state-of-the-art by a few % points on one benchmark or another (interesting to keep an eye on, but remember that this happens all the time and this new model will be outdated in a few months - probably no one will care about Kimi-K2 or GPT 4.1 by next January)
I think most people can comfortably ignore that kind of news and it wouldn’t matter.
On the other hand, some LLM news is:
- Someone figured out how to give a model entirely new capabilities.
Examples: RL and chain of thought. Coding agents that actually sort of work now. Computer Use. True end-to-end multimodal modals. Intelligent tool use.
Most people probably should be paying attention to those developments (and trying to look forward to what’s coming next). But the big capability leaps are rare and exciting enough that a cursory skim of HN posts with >500 points should keep you up-to-date.
I’d argue that, as with other tech skills, the best way to develop your understanding of LLMs and their capabilities is not through blogs or videos etc. It’s to build something. Experience for yourself what the tools are capable of, what does and doesn’t work, what is directly useful to your own work, etc.
“Getting something almost right, no matter how close, can often be worse than not doing it at all” - true with human employees and with low quality agents, but not necessarily true with expert humans using high quality agents. The cost to throw a job at an agent and see what happens is so small that in actual practice, the experience is very different and most people don’t realize this yet.
1) The cognitive burden is much lower when the AI can correctly do 90% of the work. Yes, the remaining 10% still takes effort, but your mind has more space for it.
2) For experts who have a clear mental model of the task requirements, it’s generally less effort to fix an almost-correct solution than to invent the entire thing from scratch. The “starting cost” in mental energy to go from a blank page/empty spreadsheet to something useful is significant. (I limit this to experts because I do think you have to have a strong mental framework you can immediately slot the AI output into, in order to be able to quickly spot errors.)
3) Even when the LLM gets it totally wrong, I’ve actually had experiences where a clearly flawed output was still a useful starting point, especially when I’m tired or busy. It nerd-snipes my brain from “I need another cup of coffee before I can even begin thinking about this” to “no you idiot, that’s not how it should be done at all, do this instead…”
A model like GPT-4o can hallucinated responses that are indistinguishable from real user interactions. This is easy to confirm for yourself: just ask it to make one up.
I’m certainly willing to believe OpenAI leaks real user messages, but this is not proof of that claim.
The prompt engineering side of the problem (how you structure your prompt) is trivial by comparison and will become less and less relevant as frontier models improve.
Another idea would be to use, for example, a 2024 state of the art model to try to predict discoveries or events from 2025.
You can give someone a simple explanation of quantum chromodynamics and have them walk away feeling like they learned something, but only by glossing over or misrepresenting critical details. You’d basically just be lying to them.
But if the model is any good someone will probably find a way to optimize it to run on even less.
Edit: Got it running on an old Nvidia 2060, I'm seeing ~5 GB VRAM peak.
In my experience most people working on this are attempting variations on a handful of generic ideas. Most AI startups are fairly uninspired “XYZ but with AI chat” type things or ideas that have no staying power because Claude 7 will one-shot the whole product with a prompt. Succeeding here in the long run means doing something truly different and new and interesting and that’s what the linked articles are about.
There's some hope, we can get better at this even in small ways by carving out pockets of time away from phones and notifications and other external distractions and inputs.
[1] https://www.henrikkarlsson.xyz/p/good-ideas
[1] https://deepmind.google/discover/blog/alphaevolve-a-gemini-p...
[2] https://sean.heelan.io/2025/05/22/how-i-used-o3-to-find-cve-...