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throwaway211

268 karma · joined May 20, 2024

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throwaway211··on A.I. Needs Copper. It Just Helped to Find Millions of Tons of It in Zambia.
It doesn't assume. Hence 'substitute'. long run refers to the amount of time for prices to adapt, not a short run dependence on one thing.

Hence change in factor inputs.

An example of a change in factor inputs was, for example, whale oil which was a big deal for lighting systems in the 19th century. But as cheap whales were running out, so whale oil, thought to be so important for many and which there were technical improvements in sourcing and usage, was shifted away from.

As will be the case for copper, as it's a derived demand. The derived demand will be more price sensitive than the demand for the end service (lighting in the case of whales, or Open AI for copper). Not happening with copper in the short run will only make the long run change happen even (as time passes) faster.

throwaway211··on A.I. Needs Copper. It Just Helped to Find Millions of Tons of It in Zambia.
I take your resource curse and raise you a Prebisch-Singer hypothesis

> Prebisch–Singer hypothesis argues that the price of primary commodities declines relative to the price of manufactured goods over the long term, which causes the terms of trade of primary-product-based economies to deteriorate. As of 2013, recent statistical studies have given support for the idea.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prebisch%E2%80%93Singer_hypoth...

Derived demand (copper) is likely to be more price sensitive than demand for the end good (AI services) over the long run due to substitution that can occur in factor inputs. Meaning Prebisch-Singer's true again.

throwaway211··on South Korea is confiscating Trader Joe's bagel seasoning
Similar, though not the same, in background as to why herring and licorice are banned in the USA.

When a young country and barely able to wrestle independence, it was feared the British would team up with Scandinavian forces (a large portion of immigrants to North Americas were Scandinavian) while being worn thin by also battling Napoleon. By banning traditional foods such as herring, licorice and even black pudding and haggis, any potential pre-invasion force of saboteurs and partisans would complain about only having hamburgers and bad pizza to eat and thus be discovered.

throwaway211··on South Korea is confiscating Trader Joe's bagel seasoning
Poppies are prohibited not just in South Korea but also in North Korea, China and Singapore.
throwaway211··on HeadSpin, whose founder is in prison for fraud, sold to PE firm in fire sale
At least it's staying in the same vertical.
throwaway211··on Nokia 6600 vs. Samsung S24 Ultra
But it will have AI.
throwaway211··on Ask HN: What are the characteristics of a job with good work-life balance?
Somewhere where consistently long hours are seen as a management problem and is dealt with at the management level.

Look for that. The rest follows.

It should be in a code of conduct.

throwaway211··on Nokia 6600 vs. Samsung S24 Ultra
Modern phones offer no net productivity gain.

They just make you busy.

Edge case solutions already have edge case solutions.

throwaway211··on Ask HN: How to deal with vitrolic colleagues in workplace?
Perhaps they're defensive. Perhaps this blinkers them too much to know how they're acting.

Have you made it clear to him that you're both problem solvers working on a common goal where each can and will succeed overcoming the many challenges overhead.

throwaway211··on The price of gold – how bad do you want it? (2016)
See if you could put in a filter for particularly heavy sediment.
throwaway211··on Nearly 2M metric tons of wild fish used to feed Norwegian farmed salmon annually
That's the thing, racism becomes ingrained I'm not racist, so what I say, do and condone cannot be racist.

Often people can't change. It takes generations to leave behind. But even then, if not even acknowledged, it will continue.

I suggest being the change and tempering your language to match your intent.

throwaway211··on Nearly 2M metric tons of wild fish used to feed Norwegian farmed salmon annually
https://www.reddit.com/r/asianamerican/comments/wo8jm9/what_...
throwaway211··on Do I Have Internet?
Warning: Contains obscured inline JS to 3rd party.
throwaway211··on Nearly 2M metric tons of wild fish used to feed Norwegian farmed salmon annually
The effects are not just the ton of fish, or even the job lost, it's equivalent to scorching the earth and polluting the groundwater of land based farming affecting generations into the future.
throwaway211··on How I Discover New Blogs
It used to be easy: Check blog roles; see comments, links by commentors.

Now we have static site generators as caching was too hard we don't have that.

throwaway211··on Former Microsoft CEO Steve Ballmer is now richer than Bill Gates
Now that's worth throwing a chair over.
throwaway211··on Blog.ethereum.org Mailing List Incident
Ethereum might be a load of gas. NFTs are after all just a few hundred NFT influencers reinventing themselves and their pseudonyms for their audience of wannabes.
throwaway211··on Blog.ethereum.org Mailing List Incident
Yes. Banks, especially trust, transaction banking, bills, discounting, came about in no small part as fraud avoidance.
throwaway211··on Ask HN: I was quoted €6K for CE certification
It's much faster, for one.

You may be making another point, however. If so, please be more specific.

throwaway211··on [dead]
On a scale of sensitivity, I find real name accounts rank above even titles when criticism's perceived.
throwaway211··on Ask HN: What 3 Numbers?
An interstellar species capable of great technological achievement. Yet with an attention span of a gnat requiring 1000s of civilisations to be summed up based on three numbers invariably influenced by my normative definition of 'civilisation state'.
throwaway211··on Ask HN: How do you organize and store your cables?
Stack your bins vertically.
throwaway211··on Not Disruptive, and Proud of It
Creative Vs innovative.

Creativity takes risk. After the .com bubble creativity died as a business proposition.

Innovative sounds like creative until really thinking about it. Innovation takes little risk. It's ideal for low interest rate low risk appetite boring post 2005 world, and after 2009 perfect for cheap money that demands no return and gives no risk premium.

Which is why this article is late. Innovation and boring have run their course. Risk premium is back, and with it the freedom to be creative, disruptive, and take a little risk. In software terms, that means products, not just an extra spinning widget in JS.

throwaway211··on Ask HN: What do you think about the new ICQ?
Is this about https://nina.chat/ ?

I don't, and have a question:

If it's reimplementing the protocol, how are old accounts verified? Is there a repository of password hashes that's been shared?

throwaway211··on We know why some people got Covid while others didn't
My next question is, who has the gene HLA-DQA2 and why.
throwaway211··on Ask HN: AI hackday at work – what shall I work on?
An AI buzzword detector. Like Battlestar Galactica had the Cylon Detector.

It doesn't have to work, like the Cylon Detector didn't. And it could be used to justify what's written by ChatGPT isn't, just like the Cylon Detector was used to show Cylons were not Cylons.

But most importantly, it can justify you keeping a job throughout the AI bubble buzz, even landing a few bonuses, before it all blows over. Just like the Cylon Detector.

throwaway211··on The physics of airplane flight
Could you explain the inefficiency in terms of energy transformation?

Potential energy change is zero (or negative)?

I get there may be sound or heat from air friction though would put that minimal. Also zero (negative) acceleration around axis due to rotation.

I'm curious how it's inefficient analysing through energy transformation.

throwaway211··on Ask HN: Should I continue to use Netlify or switch to AWS?
Netlify: Potential for sudden unexpected bills there's no way to protect against.

AWS: Potential for sudden unexpected bills there's a way to protect against that many do not know or use.

One may torpedo you overnight. One may not. It should be obvious.

throwaway211··on All web "content" is freeware
Ontologically, copyright doesn't exist. Copyright is an epistemology.

If copyright could exist, then a copyright for the copyright must be able to exist, and it'd be turtles all the way down.

This is not nitpicking. Copyright, as intellectual property, is entirely made up as all other intellectual property is.

Saying copyright exists is as laughable as saying intellectual property is as non rivalrous as the chair you sit in.

throwaway211··on you should probably have a kid
How about looking internatinally for equivalence? Since China lifted the one-child policy and now even encourage more children, birthrates have gone down.

Or historical equivalence when David Ricardo, in response to Malthusian population doom disaster predictions pointed out that increasing rents causes smaller families.

I feel this time it's different isn't reason itself.

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