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throwup238

20,190 karma · joined July 31, 2023

A bootlicker and their boots are not easily parted.

NOTICE: My religion forbids me from recognizing any terms of service that haven't been given the three blessings of the matriarch

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throwup238··on What California is learning from solar panels built over irrigation canals
I think someone made the mistake of calculating that the canals cover an absurd area, usually mapped by easement area instead of actual geometry. They’re absolutely right that permitting would be easier, without accounting for the fact that the majority of the canals run through the Sierras*, and that the California Water Project is the biggest consumer of power in the entire state (to pump water over the mountains).

Yeah sure, let’s put solar panels over the last section in Bakersfield where all the canals merge. More power, less evaporation. That’s great! But it’s not going to move the needle in California.

* if you go backpacking in the Sierras you’ll often run into one of the canals. They’re both cool and scary. It takes hours to get to them and every time I see one i have to wonder how they managed to build it (it’s been decades so any construction damage has mostly grown over)

throwup238··on 'We hacked the FBI:' Hackers say they have data on all FBI employees
> It’s not really an option to stop using computers or networks. But it’s going to be way too expensive (or maybe even impossible) to secure even just critical systems.

Admiral Adama says otherwise.

throwup238··on MiMo v2.6
> It's actually the fact that I don't have warm shells to plug into.

So that’s how the Matrix got started …

throwup238··on Winning the visa lottery
Finally a The Thick of It reference in HN.

An AUS Utopia reference would probably be more fitting though.

throwup238··on Bill to Ban Private Equity from Owning Medical Practices
> You said FAANG, so perhaps you're in California, a state that has laws regulating health insurance to an extent that make it unique in the USA

That is definitely a confounding factor, although I’m curious how much of that is the urban vs rural split in other states. (The construction company was not in California but oil boom-town adjacent in Texas)

throwup238··on Bill to Ban Private Equity from Owning Medical Practices
The universities I worked for (both public and private) provided the same level of PPO insurance, as did a random fitness startup, a clinical diagnostics company, and a construction company. I invite you to reread the part where I said “several employers [plural] ranging from university to FAANG”.
throwup238··on The Millennium Problems for Biology
> Just showing how RNA or amino acids arise, says nothing about any genetic system. They can not even answer whether RNA or DNA viruses existed first; and whether these existed before organisms/cells did.

Actually, we have quite a bit of evidence to evidence pointing at the order of development based on how strongly conserved some critical features of biochemistry.

The core component of ribosomes (which make proteins) is made from RNA called ribozymes. Other things like RNase P, self-splicing introns, the RNA cores of the spliceosome, and the fact that most central metabolic cofactors (ATP, NAD, FAD, coenzyme A) have ribonucleotide handles points to RNA as the initial building block, before viruses or archae or prokaryotes were even born.

It wasn’t until ribonucleotide reductase gets involved that RNA becomes DNA. DNA swaps uracil for thymine making the genome more error-resistant and a double helix to get stability over reactivity, as a clear evolutionary strategy because DNA doesn’t form like RNA does.

The core of the RNA world hypothesis is a ton of experiments that find that RNA and amino acids are stable in many different chemical conditions which cover a wide range of what the early earth would have looked like along with observed amino acids on outer space objects like comets and asteroids. What we don’t have is an experiment demonstrating how RNA becomes self replicating with the addition of amino acids, which would be one of the last steps to showing how life likely formed.

throwup238··on The Millennium Problems for Biology
Some ~~people~~ corporations just want to see the world burn.
throwup238··on Bill to Ban Private Equity from Owning Medical Practices
I don’t remember the last time I had to wait more than a few days to see a GP or more than a week for a specialist on an employer’s PPO insurance plan. I’ve had them at several employers ranging from university to FAANG so it’s not exactly something only fabulously wealthy people have access to.

The problem is there is a huge bathtub curve in insurance quality between employers and the public market. It’s a rude awakening when you can’t afford COBRA rates and have to fall back to a “bronze plan” or whatever is available on the exchanges.

throwup238··on Fujitsu launches made-in-Japan next-generation CPU FUJITSU-MONAKA
> I always wondered what held them back from building a meaningful networking business in the US.

It was just timing. Their networking gear was built on some very impressive ASICs which became commodity chips a few years later before they could grow. Arista, Juniper, et al ate their lunch using other vendors’ IP. IIRC it was Broadcom and Fulcrum that released the chips that killed them.

throwup238··on Cloudflare/Security-Audit-Skill
500kloc plus at least ten million lines of gastown logs.

For a todo cli. That doesn’t work.

throwup238··on Australia says it could follow Canada in forging deeper ties with EU
> Geopolitics is a complex subject I suppose, for a layman like me.

It helps to be familiar with realism in international relations theory starting with Machiavelli and Hobbes, and postwar realism which developed over the Cold War. The ethics have been debated for centuries and the mainstream interpretation is that leaders have a fiduciary obligation to the population they are responsible for, which fundamentally changes ethical considerations.

It’s a completely different moral question when you’re responsible for a billion people, many of whom may suffer or die due to the cost of fuel. It is in principle a violation against their own people for Indian leaders to prioritize Ukraine’s people over their own.

throwup238··on PS5 Linux lead quits: "a bunch of noobs using LLMs" that "they don't understand"
Microsoft took it as a challenge.
throwup238··on Gemini 3.8 Live and 3.8 Live Extended Thinking
> Why did mom leave?

Reinforcement learning by human feedback.

throwup238··on Let's make quality the norm again
Just have AI agents play them for you and have Opus write a summary.

AI to the rescue!

throwup238··on Let's make quality the norm again
Which Skyrim is that? OG Skyrim (Oldrim), Skyrim Legendary edition, Skyrim Special edition, Skyrim VR, Skyrim Anniversary edition, or the Skyrim anniversary upgrade?

Are they even the same base SKUs at this point? I don’t want to pull out my gaming desktop but IIRC it was at least three different entries in the Steam library. I wonder if the stats combine them.

At this point I’ve spent so much money on Skyrim titles I should get TESVI for free with lifetime DLCs.

throwup238··on A single firm is behind OpenAI, Anthropic, and Meta hacking scandals
There’s a whole cottage industry of vendors that have provided post training data, private evals, and professional datasets to most (if not all) of the frontier labs. The overlap between OpenAI and Anthropic includes at least Mercor, Surge AI, AfterQuery, Turing, Scale AI, Upwork (for recruiting labelers), Apollo Research, etc.
throwup238··on OpenArm: An open-source 7DOF humanoid arm
That would mean maximizing robotic dexterity, not just control, which means improved hardware. Roboticists would be ecstatic with a laundry-maxxed robot.
throwup238··on I can't stop thinking about Papua New Guinea
I took an anthropology class that focused heavily on the Papua New Guinea highlanders and they fight a ritualized tit-for-tat warfare where they rarely kill and when they do, it’s essentially tribal revenge for the last kill. Almost every male participates and they specifically avoid high intensity warfare because the cost could effectively kill a tribe’s agricultural output.

Note though that even in the Mediterranean, routes where most of the enemy was killed were relatively rare.

throwup238··on Mullenweg has returned as CEO after attempted board ouster
Please point to the US central planning mechanism.
throwup238··on Mullenweg has returned as CEO after attempted board ouster
> Maybe Mullenweg killed the interim CEO in combat?

There is a Thunderdome at Burning Man.

https://journal.burningman.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/Th...

throwup238··on Astra and Fable still hack on simple variants of alignment evals from 2025
> Given that we are on the heels of the worst warning shot ever, and both OpenAI and Anthropic are ramping up their cleanups of internal RL environments, it seems like both a useful and conservative test of alignment, to see whether their new releases generalize the rule "don't cheat on chess" beyond the specific board-edit method observed in the above eval.

Did I miss something (all the twitter conversations)? What’s the “worst warning shot ever”? I’ve been pretty up to date on the AI news here on HN, but I still haven’t seen a proper response to all the incidents we’ve seen (HF, Ruby, the wikis, NS, etc). It’s just been day by day bloviating.

Each of these companies have released new models in the last… two weeks? And they have even more powerful out of control ones that they’re (ab)using internally? Can anyone summarize whats going on?

throwup238··on Mullenweg has returned as CEO after attempted board ouster
The CCP publishes their primary central planning mechanism for all to see. They just adopted the new 15th Five Year Plan in March [1].

There’s a whole bureaucracy just to coordinate the implementation at the sector, provincial, and corporate level driven by the State Council, NDRC, and NPC. Governments at all levels are involved with coming up with their own implementation plans to execute on the Five Year Plan.

You can trace decades of Chinese industrial development to those plans but the Chinese system is very different from the Soviet central planning mechanism, which is why I think you’re misinterpreting Alibaba’s price competition. The CCP explicitly allows non-state owned enterprises like Alibaba and the manufacturers on it to compete; that’s their whole point within the system, and they operate within the regulatory environment setup to promote the five year plan instead of quotas like the Soviet system. The resolution of the planning is different, but it’s very much there.

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/15th_Five-Year_Plan

throwup238··on We must pace the frontier
I also strongly hold this belief largely due to Moravec’s paradox, which is kind of approaching this issue from the side.

Sort of like large language models work on top of what our language has encoded in our massive training datasets, I think biological intelligence is built on top of the parts of the brain that encode the real physical world. These parts grow/train from embodied experimentation and instinct early on in an organism’s life and only then is higher intellect built on top of it (that’s my hypothesis). Their specialization and interconnections give rise to the hardest parts of intelligence long before we’re “thinking”.

Stuff like LLMs and chess engines work because we’ve done all the job of encoding the world into tokens/positions/etc they understand, but that’s wholly inadequate for the kind of AGI we’re striving for. Next up is giving it the tools to interact with the physical world and to really experiment with some self directed “play”. Time will tell just how high the resolution of sensor and mechanical control they’ll need (hopefully not the entire human visual cortex and entire sensory input worth). I think most of the RSI will have to occur in those lower level encoders, not LLMs.

throwup238··on Detecting and countering misuse of AI: September 2026
> A negative pressure enclosure, filtration, and UVC sterilization can't be built in a shed?

Don’t even have to DIY anything, the equipment is often found in liquidation auctions for a few hundred bucks a piece. A decent lab can be had with a few thousand bucks and a pickup truck. The harder part is getting proper Sigma Aldrich access for the really interesting reagents.

throwup238··on OpenAI’s Navier-Stokes release included a Lean 4 formal proof
“Big data”!
throwup238··on Compute-efficient pretraining and scaling to trillion-parameter models
The errors are correlated, not random. Lumps are usually benign cysts. If you start cutting people open for every cyst on a scan, you’d kill a lot more people than you’d save.

This isn’t something you can solve with more scans because the tests test for data that is indistinguishable. They look the same on a scan, there’s an overlap in the assay with some random protein with the same binding sites that is only present in 1% of the population, the coding gene in one person gets repeated in a noncoding region in another, and so on. The “more data” that works is a doctor applying professional judgement (which they’re also famously bad at because biology is a fickle mistress).

throwup238··on Compute-efficient pretraining and scaling to trillion-parameter models
> daily cancer scans instead of one every few years

Silly nitpick: the reason we don’t do daily cancer scans isn’t the cost, it’s the false positive rate. Invasive procedures like biopsies come with complications like infections that happen at a higher rate and do more damage than the cancer that doesn’t even exist. This dilemma is pervasive in medicine, because our tests aren’t perfect but the thing they’re testing for is rare.

throwup238··on Cognition launches new SWE-2 model, Rivaling Fable 5.1 and GPT-Astra
> Andreessen Horowitz is being played like a fiddle.

Andreessen Horowitz is not being played like a fiddle here. This might be their only investment in a decade that isn’t entirely predicated on being a scam.

throwup238··on Automattic's board forces CEO Matt Mullenweg into leave of absence
Many Burning Man guides, including the original arctic monkey guide that I first read about 20 years ago, specifically warn against making any life altering decisions for weeks after Burning Man.

Decompression is a bitch when coming down from half a dozen psychedelics.

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