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tlear

1,059 karma · joined December 16, 2010

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tlear··on Is the F-35 officially a failure?
Would not expansion of submarine fleet be a much safer alternative? Or sell some subs to Taiwan, I know US helped brocker sole deal to help them build indigenous boats with MHI help, but this might take too long
tlear··on Peloton cuts back on Apple Watch support
I think smart trainer with Zwift + classes would be a perfect combo. Trying not to get dropped is damn fun.

Personally I need outside time be it running or riding a bike. And I don’t care to train at home for improving my performance. Still a good enough simulation with a good coach and I might bite

tlear··on Yamauchi No.10 Family Office
Rebuilding is not a problem. It is the birth rate that is a problem. Tokyo is vacuuming everyone from countryside. You get some refugees in their 30s moving back but it is a trickle.

This fund is a typical Japanese corporate bullshit. You can see who manages it an know everything you need to.

They could just pay 10mil yen stipend per child after second and it would be far more effective. Japan needs young people, period. Not more taxes, infrastructure etc

I lived in Japan for a while, loved it. But the crash when it comes in 10-20years as countryside disintegrates is going to be horrific.

tlear··on Yellen calls for a global minimum corporate tax rate
It is just normal pandering to the base, at least I hope it is and they are not that dumb.
tlear··on China passes Hong Kong “patriot” election law
Which is irrelevant when you do not have lift capacity, landing assets or any ability to actually supply the landing force. They could MAYBE land a brigade(which they could not supply for any length of time), said brigade would get squashed during night counter attack on day 1.

Landing a modern military force ashore then suplying it requires immense naval capacity that PRC just does not have. They could obtain it but such buildup would be impossible to hide and would take time. Not to mention you need to practice actually doing it.. before D-day allies landed in Diep, in NA, Sicily and Italy. From zero to landing on beaches in Taiwan would make Galipolee seem like height of military genius.

tlear··on Google is accelerating reopening of offices and putting limits on remote work
Once the pandemic is over and if still WFH, get a spot at a coworking space. This is what I been doing for years.

Alternatively find a coffee shop, ride there for your morning fix of caffeine.

tlear··on China passes Hong Kong “patriot” election law
Ah yes short victorious war. Because taking over an island is so easy.

Chinese economy is also completely dependent on imports. US does not need sail its carriers to Taiwan, it needs to park half a dozen attack subs on Chinese trade routes. Same applies to Taiwanese program to build indigenous electric subs with help of Japan, once even few those are complete the equation changes completely.

PRC has no chance in hell for an amphibious landing operation in Taiwan. So this is going to take quite a while.

Having said that US resolve switches around every 4 years so given a proper timing they might sit it out. However there are some interesting consequences. Japan will test a nuclear weapon and a delivery system and commence crash manufacturing program to assemble an arsenal in matter of weeks. US will get kicked out from Okinawa and mainland Japan and most likely a containment alliance between India, Japan and Australia will become not just paper but more like NATO with Joint command, staff, plans etc. I wonder what Vietnam will do, lets hope for their sake they have a secret nuclear program.

tlear··on Intel Unleashed, Gelsinger on Intel, IDM 2.0
Original step to help with manufacturing of the subs came when US brokered a deal with MHI 3 years ago. The somehow magically "retired" MHI engineers appeared in Taiwan to help in development

US does not have expertise to make modern non-nuclear subs. China can intimidate anyone in Europe not to sell. It was fortunate for Taiwan that Chinese pissed off Japan enough. Half a dozen of Soryu knockoffs can shut down PRC maritime trade if needed.

tlear··on Richard Stallman is coming back to the board of the FSF
Did he have to issue a self flagellating tear eyed apology and ask for maximum sentence in front of the People's Tribunal?

Sounds like he did not, is the tide starting to turn? Will we stop shaming and cancelling people over a shirt they wear? (was my personal turning point)

tlear··on Amazon, Apple and Google Cut Off Parler
There is a massive business opportunity here.

Funny enough Gab is probably best positioned to take advantage of it. It has been deplatformed years ago and survived by basically building whole stack from scratch.

There were many many many millions of American citizens who voted from Trump. None of this changing any minds. At this point for purposes of political speech Twitter, FB, Amazon have decided to abandon almost half of US market. If you think that chunk of the market will remain underserved you deluding yourself.

tlear··on China: The Disappearing Millionaires (2019) [video]
To negotiate you must have something.. when you are naked in a cell in some hellhole that is not much.

By now he has no control of any of his companies. He is basically just a body now to be used by PRC as they see fit. Compost? Tear eyed apology? Reformed new face? Whatever he needs to be for them he will be.

tlear··on China: The Disappearing Millionaires (2019) [video]
USSR controlled half of Europe and had enough ground forces on hand to bust through Germany and be in France in a week(without nukes being involved).

PRC is nowhere close. It is a threat to Japan, India, Russia, Vietnam etc to US and Europe not so much

tlear··on 2020 had some significant silver linings
Remember US newspapers running cover for Communists exterminating millions?

Not much changed, lure of the totalitarian regime with nice commie tint that can tell plebs what to do is still strong.

tlear··on Tech elites leaving San Francisco threaten Silicon Valley's supremacy
Well they defeated prop 16, which every dem and their grandma campaigned and donated for.

Maybe there is hope? Not likely but who knows

tlear··on Tobias Lutke still writes code for Shopify
Interesting perspective, I have talked to two very seniors engineers there who love the place(one worked there 7 years, other I am not sure). One of the things they like(and I would agree) is that Shopify does rewrite old stuff when they move to something new, so there are no leftover unmaintainable untouchable .

BTW what it shows is that, he loves to code. He already built an incredibly successful company. Whatever is that he does works. I love writing code too been doing it since I was 14. One of the reason I do not want to move to Engineering Management is the expectation of abandoning it.

tlear··on My Resignation from the Intercept
US already had a civil war. It is sort of remarkable just how stable the republic been since founding.

Maybe US is due for another go. Unfortunately this time there will be no neat geographic divide and it will probably resemble Russian civil war. That scares the shit out of me, I am Canadian btw. Delegitimization of the elections, stuffing the court, non-stop riots, armed militias. Good vs Evil narrative.

This Pandemic has not been that bad, imagine if this thing was more deadly.. there is no unity, republic verges on the brink

tlear··on My Resignation from the Intercept
Because of the publish something that does not say Orange Man Bad they will loose a bunch of their subscribers. Getting subscribers is much harder then loosing them.

Let’s say they covered Hunter Biden scandal. How much would that cost them? Quite a bit I bet

tlear··on Nearly 12M Square Feet of Vacant Office Space in S.F
I think aggregate for the country is almost meaningless, these things are very local.

Toronto residential rentals are dropping but not that quickly. Construction has not slowed and condos are popping up like mushrooms. Prices seem stable for now

There is A LOT of hiring by US companies. Canadian labor is so cheap compared to CA. Every startup past series A seems to be opening a Toronto branch. This is awesome news as it will drive salaries up.

On another positive side we do not have homeless shitting on every corner. Drug addict camps are pretty small and localized and Winter is Coming. Plus courts are actually letting city clear the encampments.

tlear··on Nearly 12M Square Feet of Vacant Office Space in S.F
Money a lot of money,networking opportunities etc was THE draw.

There are dozens of cities that have everything else that SF has. If $$ goes away it will crash so hard it will make Detroit look like a model city.

My hope that after election hysteria is over and Vaccines get approved we will be back to something resembling normal by next summer. SF has a huge value as a place for tech with all its other faults it would suck to loose it

tlear··on Twitter and Facebook's action over Joe Biden article reignites bias claims
Have you ever interacted over a period of time with a crack addict?

Crackhead does not think the same way or act in any sort of reasonable manner. Well sometimes they do and then next day they break into a house crack a woman on the head killing her and get put into prison. While having enough money in the bank to stay high for years. It does not make sense but that is what one former classmate of mine did.

None of it surprising in any way.

tlear··on A follow up to Coinbase being a mission focused company
It is just racism
tlear··on Trump administration announces overhaul of H1B visa program requiring higher pay
In the new wage rules one will not be cost effective at all. It changes everything
tlear··on Students Left Behind by Remote Learning
That is addressed in the book(this counter argument was my first reaction as well). Charter schools get kids from lottery(demand FAR outstrips supply) well they did research and tracked kids who were in lottery and did not get in. Their outcomes were far worse than those who got in.

My own conclusion from reading it is that few things really make difference: 1. Charters have strict discipline, violence etc is not tolerated in any form. Public school in bad areas are chaos 2. Schools can easily fire teachers who do not perform well. In public school system you need to rape or murder someone to get fired. 3. Shitty charter schools lose their charter and go out of business

tlear··on Students Left Behind by Remote Learning
Charter school outperform public schools in poor areas by orders of magnitude.

Read Sowel’s Charter School and their enemies, it makes a very a strong argument about the situation https://www.goodreads.com/book/show/50623786-charter-schools...

tlear··on DOJ unveils proposed Section 230 legislation
This is impressively well put. Section 230 protections should not apply if you censor people for saying things that you were censoring them for saying opposite of 2 month back.
tlear··on Why do so many people want us back in the office?
So how do you hire and on-board junior people?

Every remote contract I done I found that when client hires another junior(fresh out of college) person productivity plummets for everyone. When you have one in the office I find that mentoring them and getting them to be useful is much easier.

tlear··on 12-year-old suspended over toy gun seen in virtual class
This is why teachers unions do not want you to have a choice where you send your kid.

Because no sane adult would send a kid to a school that did this.

tlear··on The First Randomized Controlled Trial on Vitamin D and Covid-19
I think there is definitely something here. I never get sick in summer, spring and rarely fall. I run and bike with exposed skin quite a bit. In winter I get sick all the time :(

I think this winter I will run an experiment on myself.

tlear··on 'You're Not Allowed to Film': The Fight to Control Who Reports from Portland
Google it, it was all over the Reddit and even some “news” media bothered to report it. 2 kids white suv, roadblock.. 16 year old finished off with a round to the dome, younger one lived but was severely wounded. There is a video of the evidence destruction(them collecting casings) but it is harder to find.

I think nobody been arrested or charged. Yeah nobody gives a shit about that either

tlear··on 'You're Not Allowed to Film': The Fight to Control Who Reports from Portland
Well cops left in Seattle and let Marxist larpers have a go. Couple dead people later that had to be ended. Well that and looting with a good doze of racketeering(protection money) and assaults on whoever did not look like they fit

Watch the video where they executed one kid, the other who was shot lived because I guess he looked dead so they did not give him coup de grace

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