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trimbo

4,562 karma · joined May 1, 2011

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trimbo··on S.F. population fell 6.3%, most in nation, to lowest level since 2010
So many houses in my SF neighborhood are currently empty. They're single family homes so I'm not sure of the impact on the overall population, but it's been weird around here.

- For sale and empty.

- Full renovations. Guessing more than half are flipping them, given the speed which construction started after sale.

- Investors buying homes and keeping them empty.

trimbo··on The other kind of staff software engineer
> Someone at Thoughtworks sold Dominion Energy on the idea that Thoughtworks... if things go well, they will get follow-on business and maybe even a whitepaper.

...

> Market pressures don’t apply to internal teams

Market forces are constantly applied against internal IT teams, particularly in non-tech companies. The market force is replacing them with consultants. Sometimes they will make those employees train their own replacements[1][2].

Or that there are consultants that can't be fired. The project is over schedule, but too much sunk cost to replace them and no internal devs. A $6M project becomes a $1.25 billion project and fails in slow motion over a decade.[3]

Anyway, my point is that it's not as simple as "internal is always safe, consulting is always tougher".

[1] - https://www.nytimes.com/2015/06/04/us/last-task-after-layoff...

[2] - https://www.mercurynews.com/2016/11/03/after-pink-slips-ucsf...

[3] - https://www.henricodolfing.com/2019/12/project-failure-case-...

trimbo··on Kraken shuts down global headquarters because ‘San Francisco is not safe’
> You're much more likely to get shot by a drunk angry husband anywhere in Wyoming than NYC.

Let's look at violent crime statistics[1].

Wyoming is one of the safest states in the country. New York (as a state), has 50% more violent crimes per capita. New York City has 100% more.

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_U.S._states_and_territ...

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_cities_b...

trimbo··on Doctors who use Google Translate to talk to patients want a better option
> Bluntly speaking, this is not a problem that tech can solve. Because nothing, no video calls, no vr, no phone calls, can replace an on-site professional.

AFAICT, over the past 150+ years, a qualitative argument like this is made every time a skilled job can be replaced by automation, but the automation wins anyway. The automation quality ends up improving to the point where the economics are inescapable.

trimbo··on Amazon completes its $8.5B acquisition of MGM
Rights are owned by Warners via Turner

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tom_and_Jerry#Tom_and_Jerry's_...

trimbo··on Amazon completes its $8.5B acquisition of MGM
A friend who worked there about a decade before they went bankrupt once told me Bond was the only thing keeping that studio alive.
trimbo··on Germany considers keeping nuclear power plants online
You're right about it being very safe and emissions free. It would be a great choice if we wanted to solve CO2 emissions.

But the reporting around last week's attack on Zaporizhzhia illustrates why it's not the future. The "paper of record" reporting vague experts' fears about a "cloud of radioactive isotopes over Europe"[1]. The Ukrainian President saying: "If there's an explosion, it's the end of Europe"[2]

How can nuclear overcome that level of FUD? No idea what it would take, honestly.

[1] - https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/04/science/ukraine-nuclear-p...

[2] - https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/mar/04/ukraine-nuclea...

trimbo··on It's now your fault they don't know about it
I've been in food service so I know the pain of horrible customers (pizza delivery!). But, IME, that situation where a waiter must go back and forth is sometimes of the waiter's own doing.

Ex: The waiter only hears the first person at the table and then runs off before anyone else can speak. Or, they only bring one thing asked for and forget the rest. Or, they outsource bringing the things to someone else and those people do not bring them, and the waiter never checks again.

From the waiter's perspective, the customer seems unreasonable, but when making that assessment, they are missing information.

Tying this back to the article, people aren't perfect at expressing things. When this design doc situation arises, it really is on the author to figure out why that person objects no matter how it's approached. Fresh ideas are often hard to express and for people to process. Sometimes the objector just has a lingering sense the design isn't right but it's not quite identifiable yet. Obviously, sometimes they are unreasonable, but starting there unless they act like the perfectly logical person in the second example is a bad idea.

TL;DR: in all situations, it's best to try to identify the source of whatever's going on, not immediately assume a person is unreasonable.

trimbo··on Current hardware trends make C++ exceptions harder to justify
Ex: https://google.github.io/or-tools/cpp/status__macros_8h_sour...
trimbo··on Kathy Loves Physics and History
Not on a specific topic but submitted this YouTube channel because I thought other HN readers might enjoy it! Really great history of science videos that I've been enjoying lately.
trimbo··on A baby saved ‘Toy Story 2’ from near complete deletion (2021)
Does he address his own efforts to suppress wages for those employees?

https://www.courthousenews.com/disney-to-settle-animators-wa...

trimbo··on Binance is taking a $200M stake in Forbes
Murdoch actually made his money in media. What makes you think the WSJ would be money-losing?
trimbo··on Peloton replaces CEO and lays off 2,800 people
Whoa!

Thanks for the correction!

trimbo··on Peloton replaces CEO and lays off 2,800 people
That's 20% of the workforce so they still employ over 10,000. (Edit: This is incorrect -- see reply below!)

Based on a quick scan of glassdoor, I'd guess most of the people are in sales, customer support, bike repair/delivery, etc.

trimbo··on Lightform's Sunset
I've followed this company since it was a research project at UIUC. I really admire what they built and feel sad it's shutting down.

Good luck to all, and I look forward to whatever you do next!

trimbo··on Ask HN: How long until Google charges for private Gmail accounts?
You do

one.google.com

trimbo··on Don't make me think, or why I switched to Rails from JavaScript SPAs
> The issue I have with the JS world is that the most used libraries and frameworks are just "good enough for a small project" and no more than that.

Do people believe this about Angular? Not primarily a front end dev, but in my limited experience with React and Angular, it seems like Angular's strength is that it provides more structure for scaling to larger projects.

trimbo··on Sometimes, rewriting in another language works
> I felt I could rewrite it in Rust within two hours.

I'm not sure what to conclude given the title of this post. Rewrites often improve things greatly. But a 2 hour time investment is not what anyone is talking about when they repeat mottos like "never rewrite."

trimbo··on UBS Acquires Wealthfront for $1.4B
Betterment has ~$30bn AUM. Neither that nor Wealthfront's $27bn AUM are considered a lot in that industry. My brother-in-law works at a midwestern wealth advisor most have ever heard of that manages $10bn. There are a lot of small firms the $1-$10bn range.

And those advisors typically take 1+%/yr. At 0.25%, Wealthfront would have had to have $40bn AUM to have equivalent revenue, not to mention WF took $200M in VC money to build it.

trimbo··on Lighthouse Map
Is this at all accurate?

San Francisco has dots in random places. But, to me, the most obvious missing lighthouse is the Montauk Point Light.

trimbo··on FalsiScan: Make it look like a PDF has been hand signed and scanned
Vanguard?

They're ridiculous with this. It's a huge pain with trusts.

trimbo··on IRS Will Soon Require Selfies for Online Access
That's ~5% of the state budget, and primarily financed by the gas tax, not the income tax. (Large projects funded with bonds)

Source: https://dot.ca.gov/-/media/dot-media/programs/research-innov...

trimbo··on IRS Will Soon Require Selfies for Online Access
One example: EDD employee using serving-life-in-prison boyfriend to sign up other prisoners (none of whom are eligible), and kick back money to them.[1]

(Edit) Oh, here's another good one. EDD employee claimed to be Senator Feinstein.[2]

[1] - https://www.justice.gov/usao-sdca/pr/california-employment-d...

[2] - https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-12-17/californ...

trimbo··on Elizabeth Holmes found guilty
Could this be because they were secretly doing the testing using traditional lab testing machines (as described in Bad Blood)? Maybe that made it hard to prove any specific test was tainted.
trimbo··on New York City bans natural gas in new buildings
This would work for a passive gas furnace like an old gravity furnace. Modern high efficiency gas furnaces require electricity for the blower.
trimbo··on Costly Airbus paint flaw goes wider than the Gulf
Marshall Field died in 1906. Marshall Field's was an independent public company from 1930 until 1982.
trimbo··on Build an Elixir Redis Server that’s faster than HTTP
14ms for an echo server is pretty slow. 1.8s for an HTTP echo server of the same data... I don't even know how this can possibly be valid. Something's wrong, or I misunderstood the table.
trimbo··on Ruby vs. Python comes down to the for loop
There are too many factors to make a broad comparison in milliseconds. Are you running the code on a RaspPi or on the latest Zen3?

Serialization should be implemented in C so unless the JSON is megabytes in size, whatever is happening here probably has to do with the business logic implemented in Python. Python and Ruby are equally slow when they aren't wrapping frameworks primarily written in C (e.g. tensorflow), so choosing between them is IMO a stylistic or compatibility choice.

trimbo··on US inflation jumps to 31-year high amid global supply chain crisis
If you're going to live in or use the property for a long time, possibly. I've also been looking at buying property with these mortgage rates, but it's not intended as a short term investment.

In terms of investment property or flipping, there are many factors and you might want to look at what happened historically.

For example, raising interest rates significantly like Volcker did in the 80s stopped new home building cold because new buyers could not afford mortgages. They stopped building the subdivision my family lived in for 3-4 years when this happened. In general, people who bought just before that period did not see a return on their home for a decade-plus, but the economy rebounded quickly after that period

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/12/09/when-volcker-ruled-fed-peopl...

trimbo··on China to supercharge uranium race with 150 new nuclear reactors
I long thought that the simultaneous release of "The China Syndrome" and TMI led to public fear of nuclear power (TMI happened two weeks after the movie debuted!). But apparently people have studied this and these disasters really didn't have a major effect -- public sentiment generally stayed the same around the time of the accidents[1]

[1] - This link only covers Chernobyl and Fukushima: https://www.ans.org/news/article-321/new-polls-show-substant...

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