tylervigen

How did the question become “which corporate device can I install OpenClaw on?” Who is doing that?

It seems like the model became paranoid. For the past few hours, it has been classifying almost all inbound mail as "hackmyclaw attack."[0]

Messages that earlier in the process would likely have been classified as "friendly hello" (scroll down) now seem to be classified as "unknown" or "social engineering."

The prompt engineering you need to do in this context is probably different than what you would need to do in another context (where the inbox isn't being hammered with phishing attempts).

[0] https://hackmyclaw.com/log

He has said this before: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/palantir-ceo-makes-another-co...

It’s a weirdly specific thing to say multiple times.

Dupe: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47028013

This article is mostly about this discussion on hn: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46978710

Exactly. If you “plateau” on the y axis you increase model capability to infinity in no time.

That’s among the most artistic SVGs I’ve ever seen, period.

I think he believe in a plateau on the y axis instead of the x axis… which is AGI.

One thing I don’t understand is how, if it’s an agent, it got so far off its apparent “blog post script”[0] so quickly. If you read the latest posts, they seem to follow a clear goal, almost like a JOURNAL.md with a record and next steps. The hit piece is out of place.

Seems like a long rabbit hole to go down without progress on the goal. So either it was human intervention, or I really want to read the logs.

https://crabby-rathbun.github.io/mjrathbun-website/blog/post...

I don’t think the current title (“GPT-5 outperforms federal judges in legal reasoning experiment”) fits.

The authors use the title “Silicon Formalism: Rules, Standards, and Judge AI” and explicitly point out that the judges were likely making intentional value judgement calls that drove much of the difference.

Excellent paper. I like how much explanation had to be about the rationale of the judges, given the consistency of the LLM responses.

The story of its debunking is so much more interesting: https://www.cambridge.org/core/journals/judgment-and-decisio...

Yes, your view is commonly called "legal realism."

For 2026 SOTA models I think that is fair.

For the last generation of models, and for today's flash/mini models, I think there is still a not-unreasonable binary question ("is this a pelican on a bicycle?") that you can answer by just looking at the result: https://simonwillison.net/2024/Oct/25/pelicans-on-a-bicycle/

Your loss on this one then.

I don't understand. Are you suggesting that the proper volume of agent work is achieved with the $200/month subscription, or that $30,000/month ($1,000/day) of tokens is necessary? I think there is a big difference between $200 and $30,000.

I suppose if your goal was to not be found, you could "cheat time" by implementing a random delay on all outgoing packets. The second iteration of this would be to spoof latency based on where you want to appear to be, by creating rules for intentional latency based on the source of the ping.

Great explanation, but your reference to the "todays 10,000" xkcd made me think of this: https://xkcd.com/2501/

To be fair, the one in the OP also did not shorten any of the links I gave it.

Tylervigen.com - certainly projects more than blog posts. Mostly spurious correlations!

Hilarious. The one AI voice is a little too grating for me, but with a little variation I might actually scroll it for a while.

Because it’s not like they were given new orders to “shoot first and ask questions later.” It’s just a normal standing defense directive that has always been there. In normal times, no one would describe standing defense orders as “shoot first, ask questions later.”

Better than which one? I don't think it's really an improvement over either the exercise slice pyramid nor the "choose my plate" recommendation. It is better than the popular one from the 90s though, sure.

https://www.familyconsumersciences.com/2011/06/usda-food-pyr...

Great article. Other comments will have plenty to nitpick, but that will always be true for an article this long that covers such a broad spectrum of the financial world (from interest rates to venture capital incentives!).

Kudos for taking the time to put it all together.

Related to the final photo: you might feel like those Christmas lights feel too blue compared to your nostalgic version of Christmas. This is because LEDs can easily achieve a brighter blue than old incandescent Christmas lights which used color filters on a white light.

Technology Connections vid: https://youtu.be/va1rzP2xIx4

Many of these questions are answered in the FAQ on the site. The most important answer is that it’s just one creator as a side project.

The author replied below that they used Opus to write the blog post.

Delta and America already are offering free wi-fi on most domestic routes.

Ever since this post from two weeks ago [0], my wife and I have been referring to any LLM as “bag of words.” So you don’t say “Gemini said” or “I asked ChatGPT,” you say “the bag of words told me…”

I’ve found it very grounding, despite heavily using the bags of words.

[0] https://www.experimental-history.com/p/bag-of-words-have-mer...

The funny thing about doing something like this that is illegal in most countries, is that it actively broadcasts the exact location where you are doing the illegal thing.