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ultraluminous

215 karma · joined June 10, 2013

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ultraluminous··on Etsy Announces Move to Google Cloud
First of all, as the sibling comment mentioned, no one is waiting for weeks for hardware requisition. Everyone is using virtualized environments and have capacity to spare. Spinning up a new instance in VMware is not harder (in fact easier) than in AWS and hardware costs are SO much cheaper than Amazon's margins.

Furthermore, If you have spiking workloads or hyper growth and can't do proper capacity planning - that's exactly the original AWS value prop, run a hybrid private/cloud environment and extend to the cloud when needed.

ultraluminous··on Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market
"the bank of middle-class parents" is not a real bank. It's your parents. You can pay them whenever (and you most likely never fully/really will, and that's ok). Your opportunity cost might be true and might be "I can't help support my family on a part time job".

Your situation might not be extremely rarefied, but I don't think you grasp the immensely insurmountable advantage you have in this scenario.

ultraluminous··on Student Loan Debt Is Now as Big as the U.S. Junk Bond Market
I coasted through five years of college ... Compared to a 9-5 job, yeah, college was a five year vacation.

If you went to college voluntarily and did not care about neither the monetary constraints nor the opportunity costs, then sure that's a vacation. I suspect pretty much anything can be framed as such under those circumstances. For most people, this is not actually a realistic option.

ultraluminous··on Brown University raising $120M to eliminate all student loans
Both are markets heavily distorted by the federal government.

That's one way to look at it. Another way to look at it is that those "markets" are fundamentally distorted by the in-elasticity of demand. People generally need education and healthcare.

Coincidentally, that's the way almost all of the non-US world chooses to look at it.

ultraluminous··on Workers at Amazon's main Italian hub, German warehouses strike on Black Friday
Yes, but nothing in this speaks to the value of unions. It speaks volumes to the US legal climate allowing massive corporations to subtly coarse employees to vote against their economic interests. Basically what you're describing is "If you'll ask for more rights or better compensation, we'll close down this factory and move it somewhere where people will just say Thank You and shut the hell up". I think that phrase is overused, but this is one of the most obvious examples of Race to the Bottom ever.
ultraluminous··on Workers at Amazon's main Italian hub, German warehouses strike on Black Friday
Democracy is fine and well (caveats apply etc.) but the crux of the OPs comment is the "50 years of anti-union FUD". Maybe union workers indeed have a different set of values and priorities, which prefers the weakening/dismantling of unionized labor. Or maybe they were swayed by decades of a propaganda war waged by american corporations against unions, organized labor or anything that could be somehow be viewed as anti-corporatist. I think discounting that possibility entirely is also a bit dangerous and possibly even simplistic/naive.
ultraluminous··on Amazon Is Becoming the New Microsoft
So you'd also definitely agree that if you're running an ecommerce (or video streaming, or food delivery, or grocery delivery or anything really) business on AWS, Amazon is in the clear for terminating your instances? Just making sure you thought your analogy fully through.
ultraluminous··on Just own the damn robots
Ironically (considering all the prognostication) one of the main examples you cite is factually incorrect.

which is what happened to Microsoft, stagnating its stock for ~15 years

Microsoft stock ticker - https://finance.google.com/finance?q=NASDAQ:MSFT

The longest "stagnant" period is directly after the dotcom bust and up to 2007. In that period the stock appreciated by ~10%. Over the following decade it appreciated by ~150%. Not quite the dramatic hockeystick growth curve startup folk like to see, but pretty reasonable for a company already 30 years old at that point. Either way, the quote above has no basis in reality.

ultraluminous··on Insights into High Frequency Trading from the Virtu IPO [pdf]
But he didn't argue we have "too much" liquidity. The argument is that we have "enough" liquidity and are now expending a huge volume of capital on a literally imperceptible increase in liquidity.
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