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unknown_apostle

579 karma · joined July 8, 2014

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unknown_apostle··on Tesla’s Musk Takes Charge of Model 3 Production as Problems Persist
I would say the big problem is financial. Tesla is not profitable and needs money. The thing which keeps the lights on is the willingness of investors to keep supporting high valuations of stock and bonds.
unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
“This is not a continuation. This is an usurpation.”

Fine, call it usurpation already.

Older pagan habits survived in later pagan habits. Pagan habits survived in catholicism. And catholic habits survived in Lutheranism.

And now this whole package, this sponge of history, is just being abandoned.

“You wrote "Of the 2 choices you present me with: as an artwork in a hipster lounge." We are making the assumption that the congregation can no longer support the physical building. What other option you would prefer?”

As an artwork in another church or in a museum or something like that? Where are you going with this?

“You wrote "If you use numbers in the same way as me ..." I understand the comment now is meant as sarcasm.”

No, this was actually not sarcasm. You pick numerous events from all over Christianity’s history. When I pick something, you complain it’s not “current”. Wtf? And now you complain that it’s “tit-for-tat” picking. 2 weights I call it.

“I do not get from your writings that your statements about history are made with a certainty which is not justified.” “your statements about history appear do not appear to come from a strong understanding of that history.”

One thing that oozes from all your writing is that you seem to think you’re lecturing me on stuff I don’t know or that I deny or something.

Aside from a potentially interesting tip on literacy in antiquity, you gave me nothing new.

“My question again is, so what? Cultures change.”

Ok, back on topic.

Yes, culture change.

I care because unlike you, I think the christian habits of our grandparents were interesting, positive and linked us to history. Loosing that is not good, even if you don’t believe in God.

“ (…) Christians stomping out older religions”

No, not stomping out. Usurping them, to use your latest choice of words.

“Yes, "hipster" is a derogatory term. Why else did you qualify it as "hipster lounge" instead of simply "lounge”?”

Sorry, I just wanted to be cool and hang out with you modern kids (<- sarcasm, to be clear)

Heads up: I probably won’t read your reply, as we’re going round and round and round.

unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
"Is that perhaps because you don't have a good understanding of the history, or is it perhaps because recent changes affect you more strongly than old ones?"

Of the 2 choices you present me with: neither.

"This was part of a deliberate plan by the Catholic Church to co-opt local religions. It wasn't really "organic.""

Indeed, to co-opt it. It continued what came before.

"You may want to read..."

Actually bookmarked this.

"Would you rather have the sculpture of Apollo shown as artwork in a hipster lounge, that anyone can see, or destroyed to make way for a Catholic church?"

Of the 2 choices you present me with: as an artwork in a hipster lounge.

"The French revolution is hardly "current"."

If you use numbers in the same way as me, it's literally more current than the stuff you injected (lutheranism, Henry VIII, bishops smacking pagan shrines, Killing Time, Gusta Vasa, ...).

Many revolutionaries in France, like many more recent socialist regimes, aimed to root out christianity and religion in general, not change/extend/temper/reduce/garden wall/coopt/transform/echo/reorganize it.

"The modern France - a mostly secular country - has a lot of archeologists and archivists trying to identify and preserve history, including non-Christian history.""

France has museums and archeologists? Really?

Before you joined, it was about the decline of christianity in Europe, which is not bricks and books, but actual people identifying with and practicing a living cultural heritage.

We're going nowhere here.

"Wow. Really? "Hipster" is a derogatory term meaning...."

Lmfao here.

You lost me.

unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
-> 16 vs 20: I said in the beginning (talking about Europe) "rapid destruction of a cultural heritage that has co-evolved together with the European peoples and even their secular institutions for at least 16 centuries."

co-evolved. I understand that Christianity became big in Europe only centuries after Christ. And that it has changed and fluctuated a lot in its history. But I think there was never a discontinuity of the sort we see since ~2 generations.

"20 centuries" came into play when I deplored a modern fashion in which we're supposed to take the vastness of 2 millennia of highly complex history involving millions or billions of people, strip it from all context, compress it to a few soundbite sized low points and say: "this is Christianity".

-> About continuity and pre-Christian paganism: one of the things that fascinates me endlessly about the christian traditions of my community, is how many aspects of it are obviously echoes of pagan times. Many saints that used to be popular here, are not historical figures but thinly disguised pagan deities. A nearby community has (= used to have) a big tradition of Marian worship, which is almost certainly a continuation of an older cult devoted to a pagan fertility goddess. A nearby Christian chapel built next to a well, located beautifully in a forest in the middle of nowhere, was a place of worship in pagan times. Lots of Roman coins were found around the chapel. People used to walk there and tie strips of clothing from sick relatives to the chapel door. I can go on like this for quite a while. I would argue that the transition to christianity, despite its implicit intolerance at the time, does not seem abrupt but rather "organic".

Same for theology. (Btw, with some exceptions, this topic doesn't interest me much personally. Just like I don't care much for all the pseudoscience in secular academia.) But anyways, a lot of christian theology is obviously classical philosophy in a Christian jacket, with influences from Platonism to stoicism. In fact, christianity did something antiquity failed to do: in antiquity, becoming literate and trained in classical philosophy was very much a "1 percenter" thing. Early christianity brought a "pop version" of this literacy to a much broader public.

To conclude, I'd predict the exact opposite of what you said. To me, the current secular world actually seems more likely to destroy traces of what came before. Turning a church into a hipster lounge is so much more drastic than turning a pagan shrine into a church, or a church into a mosque. The French revolution or the various socialist regimes didn't seek to adapt, echo, continue, soften, change, transform, absorb or even abuse Christianity. They aimed to root it out.

The sudden and rapid abandoning of all things Christian suggests the secular revolution is finally succeeding in Europe. It's Brumaire of Year I. Or rather, Germinal of Year L.

Obviously, in all our secular glory and freed from the irrational, time consuming habits of our grandparents, Europe may never know wars or bigotry or superstition or pseudoscience or corruption again. And this time I will leave the sarcastic quip in :-)

unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
The whole thread, for me at least, is about confirming the Guardian article, that Christianity is declining in Europe. I'd say especially in NW-Europe.

I'm not talking about deist intellectuals and their opinions, or academic theology, or about places other than NW-Europe (New Mexico?), or a few big tourist tickets like Santiago.

I'm talking about the popular Christian day-to-day practice of regular people of NW-European communities, of which I can witness the last strange hours in my own community.

It's hard for me to come up with numbers beyond the kind of polls shown in the Guardian article or the drop in callings. It's not like we have centuries of headcount records for all the local events, cults and customs that used to exist here, the amount of tresses tied to chapel walls, or logs detailing the time and effort the local farmers, notables and grandmas spent decorating chapels. There have been no double blind control studies of how going to the village church made people's daily behavior slightly more mellow or made the community tighter here. By now there's mostly old pictures, living memories (less every year) and a rapid dwindling of what little remains today.

The edited stuff you refer to was a sarcastic quip along the lines of "Now that Christianity is gone, I'm sure celebrities or the state will tell us what to do." I removed it because, reading it back, I thought it detracted both in style and content from my main point.

Namely my prediction that future people in my community will regret current people having turned their back on this heritage so recklessly. They may try to reconstruct some of it, but it will be hard without continuity. I can see that happen even if Christian belief itself never bounces back. (Which would actually put such efforts at risk, by making them prone to political recuperation.)

unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
"bring back the witch hunts, the crusades, the Spanish inquisition, pogroms, the Holocaust"

Thanks for making my point.

unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
This is exactly my point: you mix up 20 centuries of christianity with 20 centuries of specific christian institutions and worldly regimes that existed in christian societies. And then you cherry pick some terrible, big historical events. You completely miss the 20 centuries of Christianity that inspired a vast cultural patrimonium and provided courage, justice, moderation and dignity to its laymen and clergy.

Unlike what you say, abandoning this patrimonium has only started recently. Definitely not centuries ago. For instance, where I live, there is still an annual Christian pilgrimage. Attendance started dropping only a few years ago. I'm not sure if it will still exist in a few years. A lot of us are fascinated and sometimes even a little envious when learning about foreign cultures. Yet when our own culture is dying or has died, we shrug. Some even want to beat on the corpse.

Also: "we have all sinned and fallen short of the glory of God" sounds to me like a pretty accurate description of mankind, including Christianity itself. Other ways of saying the same thing are: "don't be too satisfied with yourself" or "try to do better next week". I'd say the first version packs more punch but that's a matter of taste.

(Then again, as I implied earlier in this thread: maybe this matter of taste is an important part of modern Christianity's problem.)

unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
Agree mostly with your answer.

20 centuries of Christianity has been reduced to a caricature. Most people don't even understand what has been given up. It's all persecution, corrupt popes, hatred for science, opium for the masses, child molestation and the flying spaghetti monster.

Like you mention: being active in a church community in the country where I live, will induce flippant jokes at best and real hostility at worst.

I'm also tempted to look at the clergy. They seem to have lost a certain kind of "fighting spirit" and focus on avoiding controversy. Modern masses are spineless and devoid of flavor or a sense of history. It sometimes feels like they hired f*cking Nickelback or the marketing board of the Disney Corporation to advise them on liturgical reform. (Except Nickelback and Disney sell and they don't...)

The cultural loss of all this is imho enormous. It's not just stuff like being part of an active community that includes the broadest possible cross section of the population (across class, age, wealth, profession, personal interests, ...). Or the weekly ritual of this community, the gentle but firm reminder that we're all mortal and that we should at least try to live the good life.

It's also more mundane stuff like the feasts, the fasts, the saints, the pilgrimages (basically an entire village hiking to a nearby basilica), the processions, the choirs, the maintenance of beautifully decorated popular chapels in the middle of fields, all the local cults and customs, some of which probably even predated Christianity, etc. These things gave local places a lot of flavor and it's all gone in a few short years...

Once again, I don't even think you need to believe in God to appreciate all of this wealth. Some day, its loss will be greatly lamented.

unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
This is a disastrous state of affairs, even if you don't believe in God. We are witnessing the rapid destruction of a cultural heritage that has co-evolved together with the European peoples and even their secular institutions for at least 16 centuries.

It's like deciding to cut some organ out of your body just because you don't understand its clinical function (so it must have no function) and because it was involved in some disease a few years ago (so it must be something fundamentally bad).

I marvel at the arrogance, the sheer recklessness of this negligence. Unlike the neglect of beautiful piece of nature, or the neglect of healthy eating habits, I can't see right now how this disaster will be reverted.

unknown_apostle··on 'Christianity as default is gone': the rise of a non-Christian Europe
The main or even only thing 2 countries like Finland and Italy have in common was belonging to Christendom.
unknown_apostle··on What Happens When Bitcoin Miners Take Over Your Town
Long ago given up on cryptocurrency, at least as long as current technical problems exist. But that without government we'd devolve into "bitter, cruel chaos" is definitely not a lesson. That's "not even wrong" level stuff.
unknown_apostle··on Moral outrage in the digital age
Absolutely. Social media may be new, but coopting or even creating "outrage" as a weapon to further a specific political agenda is nothing new. The Chinese cultural revolution with its hysterical Red Guards comes to mind (as a particularly harsh episode).
unknown_apostle··on Takeaways from Nassim Taleb's New Book “Skin in the Game”
Well that was a waste of 30 seconds of my life. Neither funny nor insightful.
unknown_apostle··on More art is being produced and sold than ever before, at ever higher prices
Here's an idea for a (European) art work: collect the subsidy, cash it out in 50 euro notes and put the notes on a pedestal.
unknown_apostle··on More art is being produced and sold than ever before, at ever higher prices
During all of the above, to become a top modern artist: say and do stuff that is very disturbing or controversial to the plebes, but avoid real controversy at all cost when it comes to your art friends.

However, to be a top future artist: say and do stuff which is super controversial to your art friends. Have an actual vision, be fanatic about it and avoid everyone except those who are truly interested in what you do. You'll probably die penniless even when you're supremely gifted.

unknown_apostle··on More art is being produced and sold than ever before, at ever higher prices
True.

Things like gold, bitcoin, stamp collections, art, expensive cars etc serve a similar function: the function of "saving", as opposed to "investing".

With "saving" I mean storing some excess purchasing power in something that doesn't have a counterparty and doesn't generate income, but also can't be duplicated easily so is likely to at least not loose a lot of value.

Of course, all these saving devices have different properties.

Gold and bitcoin are liquid, whereas art is extremely illiquid. Gold and bitcoins are egalitarian, in the sense that a poor man buying gold gets the same thing as a rich man buying gold. Art is elitist and susceptible to huge winner-takes-all effects. All are susceptible to stealing, but cryptocurrencies are susceptible to total failure because of their complexity (bugs, mathematical weakness, ...)

unknown_apostle··on Buy Now, Pay Later Helps JAB Billionaires Build Beverage Empire
So they negotiate 300 days of credit and cajoled you into becoming a kind of banker. But hey, why complain? You're being "rewarded" for the waiting while they grow even bigger (and more fragile) on the acquisitions you helped to fund. It's win-win!

This article is yet another example of how not just the financial economy but also the world of "real stuff" has become calibrated on policies of extremely low interest rates. The financialization of everything is complete.

And here's the important bit of the article:

"Sharply higher interest rates or a sudden spike in futures prices could leave traders with losses or stretch their financing needs as hedging costs go up."

The priests have spent a decade praying and sacrificing central bank balance sheets to the gods of inflation. Some day their prayers will be heard but we may not like it when that happens.

unknown_apostle··on In Switzerland, it's now illegal to boil a live lobster
This morning I looked out of my kitchen window and saw a falcon picking apart a small animal (bird I think). It took an incredibly long time for the animal to stop moving. That's death in nature. We can and should strive to do better.
unknown_apostle··on The Tether Conundrum: a look into a suspicious cryptocurrency
Tether is on Omni layer. Its transactions are registered on the Bitcoin blockchain and I think that makes it traceable.

USD -> USDT and back is traceable using standard investigations of books and banking transcripts of entities dealing with Tether's managers.

Also, Tether is by now an internet-wide phenomenon. It's in the spotlight. And yet it keeps growing.

unknown_apostle··on The Tether Conundrum: a look into a suspicious cryptocurrency
But even then...

Why USD -> USDT -> BTC -> USD?

Why not USD -> BTC -> BTC -> BTC -> USD?

What does the extra layer of USDT really add legally, except for some added obfuscation that a few extra "intra-bitcoin" transactions would add as well?

(Genuine question, this is one of the more fascinating stories I've heard in a while :-)

unknown_apostle··on The Tether Conundrum: a look into a suspicious cryptocurrency
But why don't they buy regular USD? Ask them next time :-)
unknown_apostle··on The Tether Conundrum: a look into a suspicious cryptocurrency
Good question. I'd say either the vast majority of tethers are held by the people behind Tether, and/or the non-Tether people who hold it are massively stupid. Any non-Tether people holding Tether are running a risk, with literally no long term upside. They say cash is the worst long term investment, well, Tether "cash" is even worse.
unknown_apostle··on The Tether Conundrum: a look into a suspicious cryptocurrency
In all seriousness, who needs USDT when you (supposedly) got USD? Who would wire millions of actual USD to buy USDT to buy other coins?
unknown_apostle··on The Tether Conundrum: a look into a suspicious cryptocurrency
I'm very curious to understand this. Who is buying this? What is the real purpose? Who benefits in the end? Why is the daily volume 5 times market cap?

I wonder if it would be possible just through statistical or network analysis of all tether transactions on omni layer, without knowing the full narrative of Tether, to get some idea of the game.

unknown_apostle··on BitConnect Closes Exchange as States Warn of Unregulated Sales
What is absolutely amazing is that, since your comment (only 24 days ago), they granted 500.000.000 new USD tethers.
unknown_apostle··on Economics is overdue for a quantum revolution
"So will the heterodox become the new orthodoxy, and economics go quantum?"

So did Thomas Friedman change his name?

Also, to all people in economics, or rather social sciences: stop with the dinky physics comparisons.

unknown_apostle··on Buffett Says Stock Ownership Became More Attractive With Tax Cut
Because with borrowing or buying futures, your loss is potentially unlimited. So in practice you would rely on stop losses to avoid this. But in a crazy market like this, the stop losses could get triggered repeatedly and you'd get worn out.

With buying puts or similar construction that involves optionality, if you can buy them at a nice price, you're not as dependent on the intermediate path taken by the price.

unknown_apostle··on Buffett Says Stock Ownership Became More Attractive With Tax Cut
He's right about the shorting: to short it using futures is, in a way, to side yourself with potential ruin. Only through put options can you safely do this.
unknown_apostle··on The Near Future of Electric Cars: Many Models, Few Buyers
Yes. Nobody doubts the future is electric (or partially fuel cell-based). But at least for the next half decade or so, we'll still see lots of internal combustion engines being produced. There will also still be some progress in making those engines cleaner and more efficient.

As a sidenote: that's why I liked platinum and rhodium as speculative investments in 2017 and I like them again for 2018. Platinum especially has been declared dead, exactly because of this "future is imminent" sentiment and nobody will supposedly need catalytic converters anymore. Platinum has been comatose for years on end now, despite production shortages and the supply side risk coming from South Africa's politics. Most platinum mines are operating at a loss.

unknown_apostle··on Vietnam Deploys Cyber Warriors to Fight ‘Wrongful Views'
True, a news agency like Reuters aims to be a neutral observer whereas a polemical site like Breitbart wants to influence politics. Reuters succeeds to the extent that it sticks to transmitting basic facts to newsrooms around the world. Which is already very hard to get right.

But a lot of what also passes for quality journalism involves not news agencies but newspapers and magazines. I consider a lot of these to be just more sneaky versions of Breitbart. They are more subtle, use more sophisticated language, have specific formatting and typesetting, have a longer history and they mix up their activism with a broad spectrum of neutral news. (I'm mostly familiar with the press in my own country so it's hard to give widely recognizable examples.)

And of course, then there's publications like The Economist. In my very personal opinion, even though they may be "honest" in their intentions, they still end up giving their readers an illusion of understanding. You don't really know what happens in Iraq or Syria or China from reading the Economist. But it's so well written that you might end up believing you do.

Anyhow, I see enough reasons not to trust anyone who wants to use this fake news scare to punish their competition or to herd the population to the "proper" sources of information.

The untamed internet, when used properly as a source of information, will just give a snapshot of bewilderingly diverse points of view. Which is still not much, but so much better than the best polished story written by the best journalists.

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