HNHacker News
TopNewBestAskShowJobs

untangle

613 karma · joined May 23, 2011

[ my public key: https://keybase.io/bravozulu; my proof: https://keybase.io/bravozulu/sigs/exid1pKokiokFVNfE40Vv9j7UB3VFxQYEHPl0i93qDI ]
submissionscomments
untangle··on Battle for the Internet
I wouldn't care so much about net neutrality if there was open access to the last-mile conduit for broadband to my house. But there isn't. Comcast owns the coax and there is no fiber here (even though I live in the heart of Silicon Valley).

Comcast is conflicted on topics from content to voice service. So neutering net neutrality is tantamount to deregulating a monopoly. That doesn't sound smart to me.

untangle··on Avery’s laws of Wi-Fi reliability
I don't know who this analysis is aimed at but I would advise caution in trying to apply it.

My main criticisms of the article are that it: (1) ignores modern wi-fi mesh technology; (2) oversimplifies "solutions" to the point of false equivalencies; (3) ignores performance and convenience concerns; (4) uses vague language ("it works"); and (5) treats "wi-fi" as a black box that operates in a vacuum and is not amenable to tuning (channels, power levels, freq's, etc.).

Ironically, the author's "buddy wi-fi" proposal embodies a subset of the capabilities of a current consumer mesh setup such as the Amplifi product that I use in my 3-story home.

untangle··on It's been 191 days since Google Drive worked for me
>> Google is now a huge, slow corporation.

They have been huge and slow for many years. Google Drive is non-core for them, which doesn't help. They probably have the data on "number of files per user." But if you are too far into the tail, they probably care little. Now if this were an ad-related issue....

untangle··on Introductory bullshit detection for non-technical managers
If this methodology is overused, you will have your PM/dev team rebelling or leaving in a hurry.

That said, I can see a trimmed-down of this used as an evaluation tool for more substantial product development decisions. Ideally, these questions would be posed to a PM or dev manager and not directly to a coding team.

I also believe that the article is a good training piece for new(ish) general managers that have dev teams reporting to them. Along these lines, the listed criteria are a good thing to keep in mind for those GM's who (like me) sit in on product meetings while remaining fairly inactive.

IOW, the GM can listen-in and try to passively assess whether the team has a handle on these points. If not, address surgically and offline with the right folks.

untangle··on El Niño-like weather increases California precipitation in response to warming
TL;DR: "Although models possess uncertainties, including possible overestimation of tropical convection, our results suggest future GHG-induced warming may lead to an increase in CA precipitation."

GHG = Greenhouse Gas

untangle··on Why market competition has not brought down health care costs
It seems to me that our US HC system is operating in a manner that optimizes the wrong thing. It currently maximizes jobs and an odd form of wealth redistribution. It should be minimizing costs subject to "good" HC (or "adequate"?) for the target recipients (all citizens?).

Let's name our HC goals (the objective function) and then tackle the strategies.

The methods are wrong too, and spin off unfair side effects. For example, corporations by the (insurance) product, not consumers. This gives companies leverage in employment activities.

Edit-> Some form of tort reform (e.g., limitations of liabilities) would help as well. I don't have a current number, but layers of malpractice insurance drive substantial costs.

untangle··on Why market competition has not brought down health care costs
> the problem with healthcare has to be insurance.

It's a big part of the problem. For example, I believed that a certain medical procedure was in my best interests. I was told that insurance often doesn't cover the costs (i.e., the considered the procedure "elective." When I asked the price, I was told $700 – but if I forego insurance claims it's $400. And this was a super-reputable medical establishment. (Half of Silicon Valley probably uses it.)

untangle··on 6 Corporations Control 90% of the Media in America
While still small, Netflix probably represents one of the bigger threats to the Big 6. Of course, this makes it a prime merger target. [0] Netflix is not mentioned in the article.

[0] https://www.fool.com/investing/2016/11/15/better-buy-the-wal...

untangle··on Status.im raises $110M on crowdsale, crashing Ethereum network for the whole day
> It is our belief that messengers are evolving into a new type of OS, and are becoming gateways to our economies and social lives. Status uses messaging as a platform, and by combining both a messenger and a browser we are building a gateway for everyday smartphone users to begin using DApps.... [0]

I'm not sure what this means but it must be a lot because, on paper, they just raised about $10M per core developer. This for an open-source mobile client.

I have tried but I honestly just don't get the value prop of these ICOs. The only concept that my mind can latch onto is the basest of explanations – that these offerings represent a chance to ride a gold-rush wave of speculation.

I'm not assigning fault, certainly not with the founding tech team. Its just that the last time I felt so disconnected from a major upswell in the tech marketplace was 1999. Will ICOs follow a similar feast-famine-smaller feast curve?

[0] https://wiki.status.im/

untangle··on No correlation between headphone frequency response and retail price
> The target function suggested by Olive and Welti (2015) is fairly similar to the average headphone response found in this study, with the exception of a deviation of up to about 5 dB for frequencies between 50 Hz and 2 kHz.

I find little fault with the arguments laid out supporting the paper's thesis.

For those commenters making the jump to "sound quality" (which is not the topic of this paper), the quoted observation above conclusively proves that these headphones have differing tonal qualities. Even a casual listener will be able to hear a difference of 5dB in the critical freq range of human speech.

untangle··on Cell – A Self-Driving Web App Framework
For those familiar with the data-driven mobile dev platform Jasonette [0], this is Jasonette for the web. Calling Cell a "framework" is a misnomer – it's a sort of anti-framework.

More clever, innovative app dev tech from the anonymous Ethan (aka @gliechtenstein). Think different.

(I have no affiliation.)

[0] http://jasonette.com/

untangle··on Certified Pre-owned Teslas for Less Than $40K USD
Their list: https://www.tesla.com/preowned?sort=price|asc

I guess the cars in the $30K's are sold.

untangle··on WSJ Ends Google Users' Free Ride, Then Fades in Search Results
>> Why is it Google's responsibility to administer all this?

Setting "don't be evil" aside, Google's only responsibility is to Google.

But here's the rub. Google's product is its users' attention. If they bias their search results enough, (maybe) they lose product inventory.

How much is "enough"? Probably much more than filtering WSJ.

But IMO bias in a search engine – a presumed oracle of truth – is evil. So there's that.

untangle··on Apple adds a tracker blocker to desktop Safari
Let me play back what I'm hearing: Chrome is great because it uniquely protects you from 3rd-party hackers on the internet. Fair enough.

But do Chrome's protections also protect you equally from intercession by Google? I just want to clarify this point in my mind.

untangle··on ICOs and VCs
>> Isn't that what Ethereum is for?

Sure, but Ethereum is a tool. An ICO is the result of a process.

My thesis is that many companies, large and small, could benefit from an ICO...and that the majority of these know little about ICOs, Ethereum, or the relevant government regulations.

The newco would present the following offer to the prospective customer: --We will ready you for a legal ICO within xx weeks. To do this, we will help you define the unit-of-value for your token and then put all systems, paperwork, and processes in place for the ICO. In return, we will receive coins worth nn% of the ICO as a success fee.--

This is a novel variation of an investment-banker play. Over time, large parts of the process could be systematized in software. Much of the ICO scene is scary and wild. [0] Pathfinders might be valued in this wilderness.

These are my raw and unvetted thoughts.

[0] https://www.ico-list.com/

untangle··on ICOs and VCs
> What's the distinction, in precise language?

Good question. I was using the language according to this definition:

"A speculative investment is one with a high degree of risk where the focus of the purchaser is on price fluctuations. The investor buys the tradable good (financial instrument) in an attempt to profit from market value changes."

https://marketbusinessnews.com/financial-glossary/speculativ...

untangle··on ICOs and VCs
Thread-starter here.

I have raised VC, PE, and debt. Early-stage and late stage. Here's my take on "ICO vs VC."

ICO's:

For the investor, they are akin to commodity futures trading. The underlying value of the token is nil, as is the degree of control over the underlying property. But returns from price speculation can be very rich.

For the issuer, they have the money virtually without strings attached. There is no other form of assistance and no loyalty implied in either direction.

For example, I'd be shocked if there were positive "operational" returns from a token like the Brave coin. For that to happen, Google, Facebook, and the rest of the ad industry would have to grant sanction to the vendor of a Chromium-based browser startup yo turn the entire industry on its side. I doubt it. Seriously.

VCs:

For the investor, they get some modicum of ownership and control of the underlying property – sometimes not much but usually a lot. There is an implied responsibility to help with follow-on funding, but nothing solid. The investment is risky but not speculative.

For the issuer (of preferred shares AKA the company), they get the money with all kinds of strings attached. If the VC is top-tier (e.g., Fred, Kleiner, NEA, etc.), significant branding, easy intros, and many other benefits can accrue. If the VC is less prestigious, the operational impact is more neutral. (No VC can make your company grow or be successful – that's on you.)

My opinion:

1. If I could pull off an "ICO" (bad name) at my next company, I'd do it immediately. Great upside and little downside.

2. I say "immediately" because I don't think that this vehicle will last long in its current unregulated state. There will be failures. There are enemies. There will be evil deeds (fraud), and those deeds will involve unaccredited investors.

3. The ICO will be a short-term speed bump to VCs.

4. That all said, who wants to join me and start an "ICO production" company to create the coins and infrastructure for them to do their own ICOs? Speed is life, and I know some VCs... :)

untangle··on What Comes After SaaS?
Lots of parallels between your take and that of this author.

I'm more skeptical than you guys about the Saas/cloud "plumbing" space. There's lots of open-source software out there and I think that value extraction – largely from PMs and devs – will be tough.

BTW, good call on Slack becoming a unicorn. ;)

untangle··on What Comes After SaaS?
I believe that the author's core point is that the SaaS business app space ("SaaS v2") is huge, but it has become a red ocean. He then proposed a viable "SaaS v3" space populated with the likes of Segment.

I don't agree with his v3 vision as I think that AI is a better lever than trying to build an integration platform. The latter is hard, usually involves open source, and has slow adoption.

untangle··on What Comes After SaaS?
I just did a SaaS company serving SMB. We were an all-in-one security play. Well-regarded product.

One of the things that we encountered was a vice between "can you add this filter" and "but I don't need this, only that filter."

In a more general sense, my research suggests that "IT in a box for SMB" is a deadly place to operate. They make sense on many levels, but they don't sell.

I believe that SMBs favor point solutions because they are pain-avoiders. If they've been phished, they want a remedy. Firewall? Content filter" Maybe later...

untangle··on Ford Motor Is Replacing Mark Fields as C.E.O
Ford is losing share – always a scary thing but especially bad in a falling market.

IME, the only way a Board can live with falling market share is if they believe the CEO/company is poised with some "secret weapon" bringing new competitive advantage soon.

Evidently, secret weapons are in short supply in Dearborn.

untangle··on Ask HN: What will coding be like in 25 years?
I think that the current responses aim too low.

Isomorph is really cool, but it's a "next 5 years" (or not) – not 25 years.

The future will be declarative. It'll allow voice input, possibly as the primary modality. Objects and functions will be passe.

IOW, describe what you want the program to do, then we'll refine (i.e., sculpt the details together).

untangle··on “MP3 is dead” missed the real, much better story
The author claimed that codec choice matters little >128k, not that 128k is of equal SQ to 256k.

BTW, if you can easily discern 256k from 320k, I'd venture to guess that you are a 1% "golden ear" listener. OTOH, even my 60yo ears can tell 128k from 256k.

untangle··on Analyzing 10 years of startup news with Machine Learning
Why is machine learning/NLP needed in this analysis?

The categories/keywords are well known, and I believe that simple statistics would suffice to produce the type of results shown.

Of course, the text would have to be scanned and the dataset cleansed/filtered first. But those techniques predate ML/NLP.

untangle··on Diet Drinks are not killing you
> In particular I suspect we may subconsciously learn that sweet foods do not provide energy.

What do you mean by this?

untangle··on Handbrake malware analysis
For those Mac users who are unfamiliar with objective-see... Their free security tools for MacOS are a boon to the community. I think that they are right up there with "little snitch" and the like, especially since they spare the user the typical IDS data overload.
untangle··on I tried Haskell for 5 years
This is an excellent Haskell resource. Grades are given by both application domain (e.g., "web development") and development task (e.g., "testing" or "IDE Support"). Each of the categories has not only a grade but also list of relevant libraries and example projects.
untangle··on Is the GPL Really Declining?
> Right, but doesn't this ends up giving SaaS and server side businesses a weird kinda-nonsensical advantage?

Or "appliance" vendors. SaaS and hardware appliances are two delivery mechanisms that leverage loopholes in GPL requirements.

untangle··on Fathom: a framework for understanding web pages
Prev HN Comments:

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=12060787

untangle··on Want to rescue rural America? Bust monopolies
When I hear "IP" I now perceive "rent." Rent is drag and is a prime mover in income inequality.
← PreviousPage 5 of 7Next →