worrycue

Blade Runner and the entire Cyberpunk genre* extrapolate Reagan’s America where corporations are completely unfettered, dominating the landscape and people’s everyday life in nearly every way.

* Or at least it used to. Most of today’s Cyberpunk media seems to have lost sight of that motif and really just ape the aesthetic (e.g. neon lights everywhere) - a hollow shell really.

> it's just that a lot of its stable-states are hostile to ~~human~~ life

FTFY. We humans are part of nature too.

Take it full circle. Minecraft running Terraria emulating a 32-bit RISC-V CPU running Pong written in Rust - someone already did the latter part I believe, https://youtu.be/zXPiqk0-zDY?si=M0IHSzRLkaddwwKC

> SF is pretty much always about the current day.

SF is often speculative fiction that extrapolate current trends into the future - frequently taking them to their logic conclusion - to explore and critique. Good SF anyway.

Why the heck would anyone pay for the same thing from 2 different vendors?

Frankly, shifting money around might not do anything.

The actual amount of goods and services produced will be lesser and/or be stretched thinner.

The only real way to combat it is to import young people from places with a mostly young population and getting them productive to make up for the productivity shortfall.

You seem to be ignoring his point.

An ever shrinking population of productive people (percentage-wise) is going to have to provide goods and services for an ever growing population of people who can no longer work.

It’s a huge burden. Taxes will be higher - which will have all the associated consequences.

Does it do that because it can check it’s own reasoning? Or is it just doing so because OpenAI programmed it to not show alternative answers if the probability of the current answer being right is significantly higher than the alternatives?

Why do we have to feed the input back? Why doesn’t it do it itself?

Maybe it’s because it can’t tell when it’s wrong and needs to “try again”, and we have to do it for them.

And how often does it get that wrong too?

It’s more likely it’s just, once again, generating the most probable answer - and if you shake the magic 8 ball enough you will get the answer you were expecting.

The biggest evidence that LLMs can’t reason is hallucinations. If it could reason it would have rejected fictional generated output that make no sense.

> They excel at extracting patterns from noise and learning them.

You can argue those are facts too.

> It seems to me that the real question here is what is true human intelligence.

IMHO the main weakness with LLMs is they can’t really reason. They can statistically guess their way to an answer - and they do so surprisingly well I will have to admit - but they can’t really “check” themselves to ensure what they are outputting makes any sense like humans do (most of the time) - hence the hallucinations.

AI has open a real big can of worms.

Frankly, I see AI training on publicly available images to learn a style which it will then reproduce similar to the problem of game clones.

Imagine spending months/years making a game, coming up with the concept and gameplay, tuning the gameplay, … then after release cloners makes a nigh exact copy with slight changes in artwork/text and sell it for 10% of what you are selling - which they can since they put in only a fraction of the effort - and there is nothing you can do about it since gameplay isn’t copyrightable.

Same thing here IMHO. Not an AI specific problem but AI takes “no effort” when replicating an artist’s style vs a human who at least has to practice and learn the style.

I agree it's a social interaction. Just not an in-person one.

I wonder if that would even help. If an LLM knows nothing at all about the software, it might just make up complete bullshit anyway.

> local and provicial governments really dont matter.

Local governments are broke though and their LGFVs owe people a lot of money and can't pay.

The central government I believe is bailing them out - handing out longer term loans to kick the can down the road. It's still a strain on their financial resources.

This isn't their only problem though. Local Government Financing Vehicles are also having trouble servicing their debts - the only way they make money is leasing out land but the real estate sector had imploded. One of their biggest lenders, Zhongrong International Trust Co. also just failed to make payments.

Their economy seem to be swimming in bad debt.

> Rust does not have lazy evaluation

Does one need lazy evaluation to be FP?

Scheme isn't lazy to my knowledge.

> The Chinese housing market was fueled by the familial need to own a house.

And as a store of value I believe since they have nowhere else to invest their savings.

That's kind of late ... Wasn't anyone there keeping an eye on the birthrate?

> Mainly caused by normalizing pork price, last year it went wild due to swine flu.

Seriously? One food can cause the entire economy to slip into deflation?

China has the same demographic timebomb. China's peak labor was like in early 2010s I believe. Their birth rate has been declining the last few decades.

Evergrande has more debt than assets - including property - I believe. They can sell everything at book value and they will still owe money.

Actually it's the US government that made a killing with TARP loans and acquisitions.

Bankers lost their shirts in the whole thing - having to pay interest on those TARP loans or had to sell their shares to the government to get capital to survive.

Jack Ma disappeared because he openly criticized the government.

The "leisure class" (of which many party members are part of) operate with impunity as long as they stay in the good graces of the party leadership.

You will only hear what the CCP wants you to hear. The rest of the "leisure class" flies under the radar.

It's not about managing unknowns. It's about low information speculation taking up all the information bandwidth crowding out high information factual stuff.

The excitable people are certainly “loud” though.

The last few weeks with the LK-99 hype combined with the usual ChatGPT stories, I actually started feeling that maybe the site should be renamed Hype News.

> but that it's odd when there's people who treat an optimistic outlook as an error.

IMHO it’s best to treat any extraordinary claim as BS until proven otherwise as it’s very easy to concoct BS claims. If we take every one of them seriously, it will consume all of our attention and destroy the signal (actual facts) to noise (unproven claims) ratio on this site.

> seemingly because politicians don't want to admit they fucked up

How did politicians fuck up?

What’s the alternative?

According to Cambridge dictionary, Capitalism is,

“an economic and political system in which property, business, and industry are controlled by private owners rather than by the state, with the purpose of making a profit”

So the alternative is state control and history tells us that only works with certain endeavours - e.g. military - and can be catastrophic when applied to things like agriculture (see collectivization).