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zizee

3,217 karma · joined February 18, 2010

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zizee··on New models and developer products
In people's experience with these sorts of tools, have they assisted with maintainance of codebases? This might be directly, or indirectly via more readable, bette organized code.

The reason I ask is that these tools seem to excel in helping to write new code. In my experience I think there is an upper limit to the amount of code a single developer can maintain. Eventually you can't keep everything in your head, so maintaining it becomes more effort as you need to stop to familiarize yourself with something.

If these tools help to write more code, but do not assist with maintainance, I wonder if we're going to see masses of new code written really quickly, and then everything grinds to a halt, because no one has an intimate understanding of what was written?

zizee··on Sodium batteries offer an alternative to tricky lithium
Having lower total number of cycles, and a tighter operating band has a huge impact on the lifetime cost of operation.

How much cheaper are these types of batteries expected to be?

zizee··on Australian Env Scientist – Gagged and grief-stricken, but not without hope
Firefox's reader view also does the trick.
zizee··on Japan’s toddler superstar: the baby bringing hope to a ghost village
Replacement rate is generally 2.3-2.4

Of 193 sovereign states, about 74 have a fertility rate greater than replacement rate.

It's widely accepted that fertility rates reduce as a country becomes richer. I believe many countries that currently have higher fertility rates, have lower rates compared to their historical highs.

I think things will level out eventually and it's probably a good thing that global populations are peaking. But countries do need to find new economic models that don't rely on continual population growth to papar over the unsustainable nature of our current economic systems.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Total_fertility_rate

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_total_f...

zizee··on Japan’s toddler superstar: the baby bringing hope to a ghost village
It's interesting to see what is happening in Japan as a crystal ball for all countries. Richer countries can usually offset population declines by "stealing" from less rich countries through immigration. Japan is not doing this, and so is shrinking. Eventually all countries will be shrinking (unless trends fail to hold). What does it mean for humanity's future? Can Japan find a new, sustainable model for themselves? Either way, valuable lessons will be learnt from their efforts.
zizee··on The Māori and the Moriori
What you have described doesn't sound that unique to Europeans. The article this discussion was spawned from describes behaviour by Maori against the Moriori that mirrors most of your described points.

I would argue that throughout history, people have been acting like shits to each other, regardless of their point of origin, race, religion, or culture. We're just finally enlightened enough to be examining this behaviour through a critical eye.

zizee··on SpaceX projected 20M Starlink users by 2022–it ended up with 1M
They are behind on their projections from 2015, aboutt what would be achieved 7 years later in 2022. How many business plans that are to be executed over a 7 period hit the mark? I wonder if you hold everyone, every business to such a high standard? Or is their something you dislike about SpaceX?

My opinion what SpaceX has achieved with starlink is super impressive . Sure they are behind schedule, but have achieved so much. They are no longer losing money on their dishes. They have launched thousands of satellites. Their subscriber count is rapidly increasing.

Feb 2021: 10k subscribers Jan 2022: 145k May 2022: 400k May 2023: 1.5 million

https://www.cnbc.com/2022/01/06/spacex-starlink-internet-ser... https://starlinkinsider.com/starlink-surpasses-1-5-million-s... https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/25/spacexs-starlink-surpasses-4...

zizee··on SpaceX projected 20M Starlink users by 2022–it ended up with 1M
Musk has since stated that the satellites were always disabled in the Crimea, as per requirements of US sanctions, and that SpaceX would have turned things on if requested by the American government, but no such request was made. Is he lying?
zizee··on SpaceX projected 20M Starlink users by 2022–it ended up with 1M
They recently started launching highly reflective satellites, which counterintuitively reduces the amount of light scattered in earth's direction.
zizee··on SpaceX projected 20M Starlink users by 2022–it ended up with 1M
What "meddling" are you talking about?
zizee··on SpaceX projected 20M Starlink users by 2022–it ended up with 1M
So, in a presentation from 2015, SpaceX predicted 20M users by 2022, and they missed the mark. This was a presentation to investors, to drum up support for their plans. Subscriber numbers are still increasing. This seems like a case of being a bit late on a optimistic prediction about a massive 7 year undertaking.
zizee··on Tesla breaks down mid-turn and causes more than nine hours of travel chaos
My diesel and my wife's petrol card both have electronic handbrakes. I'm not sure what would happen if either has a battery failure.
zizee··on High-Speed AI Drone Overtakes World-Champion Drone Racers
> Aren't assassinations targeted by definition?

Sure. I should have said assassinations and targetted attacks. The video shows the ability to target specific races/genders/demographics.

> The drone is just a delivery mechanism for the ordinance, and good luck getting your hands on that.

I don't know why a shotgun cartridge could not be used in place of a shaped charge. Just pop down to your local Walmart.

You seem to be arguing that this work speculative fiction isn't interesting because we already have a huge number of ways to kill people, and that it's not currently possible. The point of this sort of fiction is to get us to imagine a world where these things are possible, where it is achievable.

zizee··on High-Speed AI Drone Overtakes World-Champion Drone Racers
The entire premise of the video is not what is possible right now, but what could be possible in the not to distant future. I.e. that these drones do become available to anyone. Easy to acquire, maintain, operate and keep hidden.

It's also not about warring states, but instead very targeted assassinations, where the perpetrators doesn't have to be anywhere near the target, allowing very little risk of punishment, retaliation, or even identification.

zizee··on Cruise robo-taxis involved in 2 San Francisco crashes in the same night
I wrote in this way because I do not know which was the case. I was not there, and have not seen any footage. The article is also fairly vague about what happened.

What information do you have that makes you so sure of how the situation played out?

zizee··on Cruise robo-taxis involved in 2 San Francisco crashes in the same night
Not necessarily. Having sirens and lights flashing doesn't mean that the emergency vehicle can do whatever they like. They need to navigate red lights safely.

So the cruise vehicle could have failed to handle the situation as well as a human driver, but it's also possible that the emergency vehicle wasn't driving carefully enough.

zizee··on Panic Among the Streamers
Is it Spotify treating artists badly? Or is it the labels? Is "terribly treats artists" shorthand for "doesn't pay them a fair amount", or are they doing other nasty stuff?

I was under the impression that the labels suck all the money out of Spotify, not leaving much for independents. Spotify doesn't really have the ability to do much else without dissolving.

zizee··on NASA funds 11 moon projects to help mission to 'live off the land
> 11 companies that received awards are required to invest their own money to pay at least 10 to 25 percent of their projects’ costs.

I'm curious to know if these award "winners" expect to make money on terrestrial applications, or they believe they can make money on the moon. Or perhaps these companies are happy to chip in their own cash for the bragging rights of helping humans return to the moon?

zizee··on A third of North America’s birds have vanished
It is your own biases making you misinterpret my words. I did not say Elon singly handedly achieved anything. But it's undeniable that he did put in effort with Tesla, and that helped bring electric cars to market, helping to start the transition away from ICE.

I don't think Elon is a saint, there's plenty not to like. But I think that you're so angered by him (probably drinking an alternative brand coolaid) that you're willing to discount any positive contribution, action, or utterance from Elon. Usually people aren't all good or all bad, as much as we'd like the world to be that simple.

zizee··on A third of North America’s birds have vanished
My point was not that Elon is a saint, or the best thing for the planet. Instead that there are so many individuals and companies that are much more deserving of your ire. But you're distracted by Elon's antics that you're ignoring much more legitimate threats to the environment.
zizee··on What is a merge queue, and does your team need one?
The point the GP was making is that if merging to main is frequent (bigger team) and build times are long (bigger projects), catching your branch up to master before merging can be hard, as master is moving ahead faster than you rebase+build.
zizee··on A third of North America’s birds have vanished
> all the talk about becoming an interplanetary (mars) species for our own survival has to be the most absurd statement that can be made to dismiss the very real problems...but billionaires need an excuse to play Tony Stark.

This is a thinly veiled dig at Elon musk. It's so weird that you think what he's doing is the problem, with his efforts bringing about electric cars earlier than what would have happened.

He might be a loud mouth jerk, but surely he's not symbolic of the real problem here?

zizee··on S.F. says incidents by Cruise, Waymo driverless taxis are ‘skyrocketing.’
I don't see why this technology would not be applied to minibus type public transportation, and we'll quickly see it enhancing public transportation.

These vehicles are also likely to play a lot nicer with cyclists, vs emotional humans that are angered by cyclists for some reason.

zizee··on Tech debt metaphor maximalism
At least with financial debt, the lender is doing their own due diligence, and is explicit with their book keeping, and repayment terms.
zizee··on How to pass a first-round interview
What is a better alternative?
zizee··on The Last Egg
Well, there are a lot of international agreements to NOT develop Antarctica, and instead keep it as pristine as possible.
zizee··on The Last Egg
The research is not just "we can grow things", but what is required to do it successfully long term, with significant logistical challenges.

You would also bring value to the inhabitants of the base, so it's not just the gain in knowledge.

zizee··on Apple's Vision Pro headset deserves to be ridiculed
At first when I read this I didn't understand that they were examples of people predicting the failure of newly launched apple products. I was nodding along agreeing with each point. I have used "smart watches" and "ear buds" (admittedly not apple) and got bored with the watch after I learnt nothing that suprisingly or actionable, and continually lose ear buds, or have them go through the wash.

But perhaps I am turning I to an old man?

zizee··on California spent $17B on homelessness – it’s not working
Are there any good studies into the most prevalent causes of homelessness? I'd be especially interested that are trying to tease apart cause and effect, without the study author trying to prove out their own preconceptions.
zizee··on Our model suggests that global deaths remain 5% above pre-Covid forecasts
The GP means the policies were sold as the "least worst" option.
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