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zzleeper

3,126 karma · joined July 31, 2009

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zzleeper··on Twitter Blue for $8/Month
Can't it actually be the opposite? Like, sure I could pay $8/no (a coffee plus croissant) but it signals that I care so much about being heard on twitter that I'm willing to PAY for it... Only losers do so, so blue checkmarks a are that.
zzleeper··on My Cloud Storage Crisis
> but upon reviewing my photos I've come to the realization that the vast majority of them are useless. Many of them are videos for my 1SE vlog, screenshots or pictures of things I wanted to share to a friend, or pictures of food. I'll never again look at 90+% of all these pictures, which leads me to the conclusion that 1. I should be more mindful of when I choose to take pictures (and take fewer in general), and 2. I should do something about the best 1% of my photos, like post them on this blog.

I would say way more than 90% of my photos are useless. Heck, every time I take a photo I actually take 3+ and then share the one that looks best. Meanwhile, dropbox automatically backups all the photos and my photo folder keeps getting bigger and BIGGER and BIGGGGER.

QUESTION: What program works best to go through a lot of pictures and delete those that don't matter? I tried the default windows once, xnview, and a few others, and they are all so slow at navigating photos that I would never finish :(

zzleeper··on Home buyers flock to Florida cities devastated by Hurricane Ian
I find it insane how the US govt constantly subsidizes certain activities without many people realizing. NFIP, the implicit guarantees on FHLBs, and a bunch of others just lead to misaligned incentives all over the place :/
zzleeper··on What We’ve Lost Playing the Lottery
Under what argument should it be reasonable to force people to play the lottery and pay $1/week for it?

I don't play the lottery, feel it's stupid and just a tax on impossibly optimistic people (or those good at math), and would be quite annoyed at having to play this lottery and pay money for it.

zzleeper··on Ask HN: Why Hasn't the Doomsday Clock Advanced?
For starters, the game theory discussion you are replying to seems deeply simplistic. Even if you win, you end up with a ruined planet (how many nukes would you need to neuter Russia?), are likely to end up in jail in your own country for doing so, and worst case scenario you fail to wipe out some nukes and then you are even more screwed.

Now, about your point... given on the info he had, Putin thought he was able to rush Ukraine, obtain a fait accompli, and then the sanctions will stop. He didn't knew his army was so bad (dictator's bias and all that), and he cared about his image for posterity, not about the wellbeing of Russia itself. In that case, war was anything but unlikely.

But about the bombs? What does Putin gain with a tactical nuke?

a) It somehow fails during the flight, or fails to detonate = Humiliation b) Soldiers refuse to pull the trigger, he gets a rebellion. c) It explodes, he manages to wipe out 1-2 battalions at most, so it doesn't change the outcome of the war. OTOH, Russia becomes a pariah state and gets blockaded hard (potentially even by China/India), Ukraine gets every weapon they need, and they risk actual NATO intervention.

None of the options improves his own outcomes, so I don't think nukes are as likely as news/reddit posts make it look like.

zzleeper··on 5th Circuit Rules Internet Companies Have No Right to Moderate
Let me guess. Was the 5th circuit judge appointed by Trump, with a super conservative background, from the South, vetted by the Federalist society, and pretty young so he/she will last a long time on the bench?
zzleeper··on A hormone may boost cognition in Down syndrome
Sadly, you'll probably need to give them the hormone before they answer, so people will take seriously
zzleeper··on Stable Diffusion Is the Most Important AI Art Model Ever
I naively asked for a "sperm whale opening its mouth in the middle of the ocean" on DALL-E and got a warning :/
zzleeper··on Canonical joins the OpenSearch community (AWS-led fork of Elasticsearch)
Is there a reason for "why"?
zzleeper··on Adventure game graphics with DALL-E 2
By the way, does anyone have a sense on how long is the wait list for DALLE2? I got into the wait-list at the end of April and am still there.. midjourney is amazing (even subscribed) but I want more variety in my AI art :)
zzleeper··on Faked Beta-Amyloid Data. What Does It Mean?
It's specific to the most important subtype, which single handedly rescued the entire beta-amyloid theory from the waste bin it was headed to in the early 2000s.

Even 5-10 years ago I heard stories of researchers criticizing the "beta-amyloid cabal" for blocking every other avenue for research, as they were the ones in control of the journals (the referees, editors) and grants.

zzleeper··on U.S. public health agencies aren't ‘following the science,’ officials say
> the vaccine is simply suppressing immune response, which helps prevent the cytokine storm that led to severe disease.

"Response" is many different things. The vaccine boosts response b/c you have antibodies, so it's much less likely that your body has to do a hail mary las ditch (cytok storm).

> why so many governments have stopped publishing the case rate breakdowns by vax status.

But there's enough data out there to have a clear picture: vaccines or previous infections won't protect you from being infected by the recent strains (BA.2.75, BA.5, etc) but will protect you from severe disease or dying. Maybe it can be improved by nasal vaccines (what happened to those?) but who knows...

> It makes a kind of intuitive sense: if you make your own body produce some key portion of the virus, maybe your immune system gets tricked into thinking it's not such a big issue?

This one is completely off the mark. For starters, not all vaccines have your "body produce part of the virus", yet all help to prevent severe cases and death.

zzleeper··on Sri Lanka is having a textbook currency crisis, triggered by policy mistakes
But it's not just that. With a free economy the problem would sort-of have solved itself, as there are a lot of poorer countries that don't have currency crises.

To get as screwed up as this you can only achieve with centralized planning, where a single decisionmaker mistake can mess up the sustenance of millions.

zzleeper··on Former Japan PM Shinzo Abe Unconscious After Shooting; Man in Custody
https://twitter.com/nk55zRXFyFv1zgP/status/15452531252876451... Also see this video.. so much smoke...
zzleeper··on Former Japan PM Shinzo Abe Unconscious After Shooting; Man in Custody
Sorry for the ignorance but what's an order drop?
zzleeper··on Former Japan PM Shinzo Abe Unconscious After Shooting; Man in Custody
A few reddit comments pointed that the gun was a shotgun, the arrested suspect was in his 40s and presumably an NCO in JSDF. Nothing about motivation yet, just that he surrendered after the two shots
zzleeper··on Apple TV+ has highest-rated content of any streaming service for 2nd year in row
I barely supports chrome on windows! Website is so bad, I barely used it after I got the 1yr-for-free that you get with your iphone
zzleeper··on Supreme Court Overturns Roe vs. Wade
Are you naive or what? Republicans have lists of candidates for justices that they have deemed so anti roe-vs-wade that they deemed safe to propose for justices. Someone like Thomas is not going to change his mind once he is appointed...
zzleeper··on Crypto Platform Celsius Pauses Withdrawals
The first half of your post might be the median crypto twitter comment.. must admit I almost felt for it.
zzleeper··on Swiss Billionaire’s Mega-Influence on U.S. Politics
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rupert_Murdoch

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Peter_Thiel

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Isaac_Perlmutter

(And yes, for instance Murdoch is technically an American citizen, but for technical reasons i.e. "to satisfy the legal requirement for US television network ownership.")

zzleeper··on Another stablecoin loses peg – DEI team working to restore the peg
Wouldn't it had made more sense for the "market makers" to buy the coins themselves at half the price instead of waiting for arbitragers to just pocket the extra money?
zzleeper··on SEC Charges Nvidia with Inadequate Disclosures about Impact of Cryptomining
I just bought an RX 6600, for about $320. It's definitely not the latest GPU, not even close, but it made me realize something:

Because of the GPU shortage, game makers couldn't rely on enough users having the best/latest card, so now there is not much point in having, say, a RTX 3090, where a 3080 performs as well for most non-mining purposes.

Now, what if crypto enters a crisis (or ETH switches to PoS, which is less likely), and then the next generation of GPUs has almost no demand at the inflated triple-digit prices. That's going to be a huge hit to its market cap

zzleeper··on Maximum Flow and Minimum-Cost Flow in Almost-Linear Time
Richard Peng (and coauthors) has a lot of great work (such as this: https://epubs.siam.org/doi/abs/10.1137/110845914 as well as his more recent paper with Sidford).

But agree with the other commenters that implementing this is often quite difficult and there might be extremely high constants involved.

zzleeper··on Musk announces funding secured for Twitter buy
His approach has been to leverage and leverage and leverage forever. Wonder where he would be in a parallel scenario with a recession in, say, 2018
zzleeper··on Netflix loses subscribers for the first time in 10+ years
I got a year free of Apple TV+ with a new iphone, and I don't quite like it.

Used it to watch Ted Lasso and Foundation, and the browser experience was _terrible_ for discovery and had lots of bugs and counterintuitive things. And it was Windows+Chrome, so no excuse for having such a terrible interface.

Now I don't even care about it, and find it easier to just open netflix or youtube or something else rather than to waste time and brain cells dealing with their crap.

zzleeper··on Elon Musk makes $43B unsolicited bid to take Twitter private
What's the chance of him just polling off a dogecoin? Price went up, he sells, then says "sorry for rejecting my offer" (which of course had "secured funding" and all that).

Would be a great way to make a few extra billion and of course the SEC won't do mcuh

zzleeper··on Consumer prices rose 8.5% in March – highest since 1981
Open question: won't inflation lead to mechanically higher stock prices, specially if it's demand driven?

Say we give duplicate the amount of money in the economy(M1 M2 etc) and prices immediately double. Won't that also double firm revenue, profits, dividends, and thus firm value in nominal terms?

Thus, if stock prices and home prices are +10% in nominal terms, with inflation close to 10%, doesn't this mean they are just breaking even?

zzleeper··on Consumer prices rose 8.5% in March – highest since 1981
Nonsense. 8.5% is literally slightly hotter than the expected 8.4%. From yesterday's Axios:

> Details: Analysts surveyed by FactSet expect the release to show 8.4% inflation over the last year. That would be the highest inflation rate since December 1981. The rate was 7.9% for the year that ended in February.

From this morning (6am) Morning Brew:

> Good morning. Today’s consumer price index reading is expected to show that March prices surged 8.4% over last year. You know who’s not contributing to inflation? The Brew. Today, we’re launching a revamped referral program with cheaper “prices” on swag items…that were already free to begin with.

So the NEWS of the release is that it was 8.5% instead of 8.4%. That's why they pointed it out. Everything else was already priced in by markets.

zzleeper··on Stephen E. Wilhite has died
In case anyone knows, was this related to antivaxxing? With three doses, mortality rate is pretty low now.
zzleeper··on Stephen E. Wilhite has died
Nah, once it's out there people can do whatever they want with it, in the same way that once "xerox" became a common word, it wouldn't matter if Xerox Corp. came and said "hey btw it's pronounced as ZEROZ".
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