zzleeper

Sorry but that's impossible. FIVE vaccine related deaths/issues in your small social circle?

Next you are going to tell me you know of a vaccine-related car crash.

Please revisit your priors or who you put trust in, as they might as well lie.

Of course. But buyers still need to be able to afford houses they purchase. With higher rates that might not be true.

I just got a 15yr fixed rate at 2% (!) which made me think a lot about what's behind your comment. In particular, what will happen once rates go back up:

1) Right now we are at zero short term rates, and moreover mortgage rates are propped due to Fed purchases of Agency MBS

2) Say rates go up 2% (not crazy) in parallel. So now your 3.5% becomes 5.5% which is still historically moderate. However, the 5441 required monthly income from your formula is now 6877! 26% increase.

3) What then? Prices go down?

Agree. From experience, people look into how much they would pay monthly and their income.

This then begs the question: what will happen once rates go up even a bit, and houses suddenly require a 50% larger monthly payment.

What worked for me is using Python scripts ("filters") that do all required changes on the Pandoc JSON. I even ended up writing a pythonic layer on top of that JSON ("pip install panflute") so I wouldn't have to deal with the JSON itself.

Out of curiosity, where exactly on IG do you find MCM furniture? Is there a specific hashtag or?

I think it's because people draw the wrong conclusions. Sure, if your body was stuck fighting COVID19 for two weeks and you then survived (i.e. excluding those pesky 700k Americans who didn't make it), then you are better prepared than if your body was stuck "fighting" COVID19 vaccine for half a day (of sleepiness or at most mild fever).

The PROBLEM is that people then say "oh well then to protect myself better against COVID19 what I should do is get infected with COVID19, rather than get vaccinated". I have NO IDEA why so many people are jumping to that conclusion.. but oh well..

It's relevant because of the 1%. The numbers in the study are so low (8 people hospitalized in one, 1 person in the other group) that 1% makes a difference.

Why do you prefer comma for delimiters? I found tabs are less likely to appear within the strings (so less need to quote the strings if a delimiter is found, and thus the files are smaller). And both can be typed with a single keystroke.

The only advantage I would see for commas is if you are editing the file in a text editor that doesn't highlight strings (like notepad) so it's hard to distinguish them from spaces

Didn't they had the same problem a few months ago or so?

In my country the two best economics are offered by a leftwing/socialist and a rightwing/free-market university, respectively.

What always astounded me was that even though the faculties are nuanced and respect both sides, the students are just blindly leftist or rightist when they graduate. For instance, teachers at the pro-markets university know that markets have failures so blindly free markets is usually not the answer. But students? Hell no.

So universities are indeed effective at imparting not just tools and teaching people how to learn, but at brainwashing maybe 90% of the students into following the beliefs they teach them. How do you break that? No clue. But I see the same thing with people consuming media, etc. so I guess it's just a human trait.

Through my employer, I have access to practically all papers I need to download. But doing so is much more inconvenient than using sci-hub than I still prefer the latter.

And of course, don't get me started in the usual ramble about us writing papers, typesetting papers, refereeing papers, etc. etc. for free while Elsev** and friends get $bns every year.

I was in the same dilemma a month ago. Went to the closest outlet and got a great pair of Nike running shoes for about $55 (which I could try before buying).

I think a KEY benefit of amazon is that you know it has everything.

Sure, you might get better Foo at another store, but that's not the same store that sells you the better Bar. So you just default to amzn

We! ould also call this: "How the WSJ lost my trust"

After the Murdoch acquisition, WSJ is playing a very interesting game. Writing high-quality news while pushing very partisan op-eds.

Surprisingly, although people swear they can distinguish between opeds and news, more often than not the strategy works and think the opeds have the goal of informing the reader rather than just pushing an incredibly open agenda.

If 600k Americans died (that was the likely understated number back in Juneish?) then the death rate is way above 1%.

So yeah, a lot. Go google "2021 life expentancy us" and see.the shithole.we are in, even if a lot of other dearh causes went down (like driving)

Perhaps NSO Group should be considered a terrorism-aiding organization. Freeze its assets, track all their employees, backers, etc.

Wonder if they are even helping to hack US government employees through China, etc. (besides just helping to torture dissidents).

Will that create more global warming?

Goodhart's Law at it's finest! I'm betting it started as a fun way to get a nice ("S+") score in the new github badges or whatever they are called.

I think overall Amazon is making a mistake. When I interviewed with them a few years ago, they were well aware of the risk of short-term best choices being bad in the long term (can't elaborate due to NDAs).

For instance, in the short term it's better to take the loss instead of investigate. But that then makes your platform an easy pick for fraudsters, so you end up with way more fraud and way more costs overall. If you were a bit more thorough and spotted scammers better, you would have a higher cost _per incident_ but lower cost overall in the long term.

This is particularly true if you are such a big player that you are the market in practice (so general equilibrium effects cannot be ignored anymore). And reminds me a bit of what eBay did in the past (sided with buyers almost every time without investigating, and made selling much more difficult).

The two icons below "snow" are boxes (on chrome for windows). It seems those are "freezing" and "extreme hot days" but would be great to use a workaround for fonts that don't display all the unicode chars

What would be the best way to access this data for research? I do academic research (mostly focusing on credit) and it might be quite useful to write a paper that cross references this with loan data for a paper with a political angle.

Was on the market 4.5 years ago and it's still the same. We often have simple ideas, identification strategies, regressions, etc. and make them overtly complicated.

Making things easier on the other hand is liberating, but sadly comes at a cost (people might start thinking you only do trivial work)

Definitely true! But if there's a good question then that's definitely doable.

Also I noted your change of field; your github repos and starred repos that pop up on my github main page are much more interesting that the usual r/stata repos

Thanks agains for the contributions, GIS and carto are definitely a super fun and useful field with a greater bang-for-the-buck than most economic papers!

Hi Kyle,

This looks amazing! I wouldn't be surprised if this can be useful for e.g. urban economics, to compute measures of how cities and urban areas grew. Like LA eating into the San Fernando Valley, for instance.

And what would be the mechanism? People with mandated masking get pissed off and start wearing fewer masks than otherwise?

Or maybe something else driving this? Like better weather in the south? (TX, FL)

From what I just learned about sea lioning, it seems you arr doing it :)

Are you serious? Even if you don't know/believe an actual paper, you can always look at first principles:

1) If N95 masks didn't work, all doctors and nurses in ICUs treating covid patients would get sick quite quickly. But that didn't, and in fact they got sick at a similar rate to other doctors (this is from Peru where they had lots and lots of covid)

2) These masks literally stop the virus from passing into your respiratory system. So why would you be surprised if they prevent disease transmission?

I mean you can do the opposite. People who die from heart disease might be more at risk of other things (obese, etc) and are also likely to be old, no?

Not surprised at all the Thomas and Alito are in that dissent..

It was not a rapid test; he got two positive PCR tests paid by his employer.

Mind you, this is in Perú (he works at a mining firm) which was hit really hard in July and then now (one of the hardest per capita deaths).

Also, the Qatar study might not say much about the newer strands