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This is actually only the second time in 12 years that the favorite per the Ladbrokes odds has gotten the award, the last being Pamuk in 2006.

http://www.newrepublic.com/article/123058/who-will-win-nobel...

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I stand corrected, it seems the Literature nobel prize is very hard to guess correctly, they did find out last year's prize early but it was because of a leak.

http://www.cbc.ca/news/arts/nobel-prize-in-literature-won-by...

"Betting on Modiano to win the Nobel surged in the last week, raising questions about a possible leak. David Williams of bookmaker Ladbrokes said Modiano's odds had shortened from 100-1 a few months ago to 10-1 before the announcement."

Edit: I still think a "Startup Stock Exchange" could be fun, maybe based on CrunchBase or something :)

I used to mess around on exchangel.co, but mainly I'm interested in placing long bets which just require some patience rather than trading in the artificial market. I think there's another one out there too that does start up trading.

Thanks! I'll look them up.

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