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> I'm completely confident that if I could pick which people received the money, I could find a hundred people in London who would show the same pattern

And I'm completely confident that I could as well -- not because I'm a good judge of character just because I'd simply replicate this study grab 100 long term homeless addicts at random and give it to them.

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If you have the resources to do this then please do, and collect the data and write it up. I'll just note that you wouldn't be replicating this study, which was not randomised (they picked 13 people that the charity was already engaged with). This kind of larger scale randomised experiment is exactly what we need to prove the hypothesis.

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