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Gas is $2 right?

Temporarily. You successfully tell me where oil prices are going to be in a year, and you'll be the richest person in the world.

http://www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude-oil-price-history-char...

It seems unlikely that the price of gas will be able to go much higher than the US fracking break-even point, which seems to be around $25/bbl. [1]

But yes who knows...coming regulations may change that number significantly.

www.breitbart.com/big-government/2016/01/12/crude-oil-price-still-crashing-toward-25-breakeven/

Between $1 and $1000.

How do I collect?

Arbitrage the accuracy of your prediction against the oil futures market.

There's an implicit requirement for a useful prediction of the price in the GP comment.

Neither number is intended to be all that precise. In a sunny spot, the $5000 would probably be quite a bit more than 1 kilowatt of output. It should anyway probably be 250+ days, so I accidentally controlled for that error.

I would certainly factor the different cost structures in if I was doing the calculation for real (gas could be $4 in a couple years, who knows).

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