I agree with your opinion of politics & Facebook, it's one of the reasons I ended up closing my Facebook account. But the Facebook likes on the Republican side are closer to the current delegate counts (as of April 6) than I would have expected. If you narrow down to Trump, Cruz, Rubio & Kasich:
Trump: 48% Delegates, 53% Republican Likes
Cruz: 32% Delegates, 28% Republican Likes
Rubio: 11% Delegates, 16% Republican Likes
Kasich: 9% Delegates, 3% Republican Likes
Though if you add Carson back in, it stops matching up. And certainly the Facebook Like counts don't match delegate counts on the Democrat side. But I thought it was odd how closely the Facebook figures were matching for the Republicans.